Ireland Regional Weather Chat

[ronan]

Because they change all the time Bob. They have me as sleet as well but if you check the Netweather week ahead for my area they have snow. These things aren't reliable. Precip type and amounts can't really be forecast until 24/48 hours out and even at that can be wrong. Take for example my last snow fall was forecasted at 3-8cms but i had a foot of lying snow. Wouldn't worry about the finer details just yet.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

I really don't get the model thread today, either some posters are on the wind up or if a snow flake doesn't fall in little creighton then it's no good for anywhere lol, and if I read yeah but 90% of the population won't be affected one more time...... How about oh it looks like up to large areas of Ireland, Scotland Wales, England could be affected, seriously for the love of Mike

Is this definitely nailed on, why have met office mostly sleet and rain down on the precipitation forecasts on wed and thurs?

This morning bob it had me down for sleet on Wednesday night, rain on Thursday, this has now changed to snow Wednesday night, sleet on Thursday, I swear it changes everytime I look at it

[ronan]

ECM sticking to its guns and almost identical to this morning. I would say this is now pretty much nailed on for Wednesday/Thursday but beyond that is still a work in progress.

[be cause]

my postcode on weather2 produces a forecast of snow from Wed 9am till Thu 3pm when it turns to sleet for a while . Pomeroy should be buried by Saturday ..

[stormforce 10]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif

 

hmm, ecm 12z not as good as 00z. only one run though.

 -850hpa line gets lifted out of Ireland repeatedly and cold spell comes to an end earlier. only one run, could be upgrades in the morning, hopefully.

[Abyss]

Lol Pom. Boards.ie is worse. Some people have said Winter is over since Xmas on there. Another this week said no Easterly or NE until March at least then posted this morning with excitement proclaiming hints of a NE for this weekend. It would put years on you. Anyway looks good this week and lets enjoy it.

[ronan]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2401.gif

 

hmm, ecm 12z not as good as 00z. only one run though.

 -850hpa line gets lifted out of Ireland repeatedly and cold spell comes to an end earlier. only one run, could be upgrades in the morning, hopefully.

Storm probably a good idea to dismiss that chart saying it is a week and a half away. Get this first blast midweek out of the way then see how we stand then. Save that chart then see how it changes over the next week. I for one would be happy with a week long cold spell. Even this upcoming cold spell popped up out of nowhere so maybe it will break down and maybe it won't. We shall see.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Country file weather for the week ahead looking good from Wednesday onwards, including the weekend, winds coming straight from the North from Thursday onwards, nothing to bad looking for me to see yet

[Sparky72]

Saw country file too and sounded promising, but I didn't see too much precipitation?!

[ronan]

They won't show to much precip 3 days out. Would expect that to change come tomorrow night in to Tuesday morning. Looks like a couple of fronts will move down from the NW which could turn in to a snow fest. Heres hoping anyway.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Yup Ronan, there were a couple of fronts indicated in that Northerly flow so I for one would be hopeful

[ronan]

Any links to the countryfile forecast? Wouldn't mind a nosey. If not I'll have a look later when I get on the PC.

[stormforce 10]

Storm probably a good idea to dismiss that chart saying it is a week and a half away. Get this first blast midweek out of the way then see how we stand then. Save that chart then see how it changes over the next week. I for one would be happy with a week long cold spell. Even this upcoming cold spell popped up out of nowhere so maybe it will break down and maybe it won't. We shall see.

ah yeah, all the caveats apply.I don't get sucked into daily chart runs anymore. main focus wednesday evening ready at the lamp posts and radars.

Edited January 25, 2015 by stormforce 10

[Abyss]

Stay out of the model thread this morning that's all I have to say lol

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Noted Bomber, still looks good for here though from Wednesday onwards to early next week, after that it's a guessing game

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Wow New York is going to get absolutely hammered with snow today and tomorrow!!!!

[Weegaz]

The forecast between MetO and net weather for this week are chalk and cheese with net weather showing snow from Wednesday lunch right through to thursday evening and met showing either sleet or rain.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Meto now showing snow for Wednesday and Thursday for my area weegaz it had rain for Friday and this had now disappeared

[ronan]

That model thread is real depressing! Lol. We are looking at a week long NW/N Yet some people are still looking the holy grail! I can wait for this to hit Wednesday!

[stormforce 10]

That model thread is real depressing! Lol. We are looking at a week long NW/N Yet some people are still looking the holy grail! I can wait for this to hit Wednesday!

yes ronan and by god it's gonna come like a bat out of hell on wednesday.

[ronan]

yes ronan and by god it's gonna come like a bat out of hell on wednesday.

Yeah it definitely is! I see the BBC etc are still reluctant on detail with regards to precip amounts. This is probably due to embedded troughs in the flow popping up at shortice. This will prob end up a now casting event and some areas will see alot more than other especially where showers merge!

[Sperrin]

Updated met office warning. 5-10 cms for low levels across N Ireland. 10cm + for elevations.

[sundog]

Wonder how many showers wil make it across to the eastern side of the country?  Im hoping i will do better then recently but whatever happens the north and west will do well yet again.

[Neiller]

Updated warning comes as no surprise. As I said yesterday I thought the estimates were very conservative.

[ronan]

Just seen that Sperrin. That's just an estimate to. Probably end up being more than that.