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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion - 1300z 12/1/15 ------>

A.J

By A.J
in Regional

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

Latest GFS

Chart weatherbell

 

Looks like a close but no cigar event knocker I dare say I'll see sleet with elevation but unlikely to see snow now.

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

2.1c maximum here today, now that is cold to very cold when compared to the average. Yet, the search for the holy grail white crystals continues, I simply hope the 12zs provide some chances. Will certainly be watching as others have mentioned time and time again, snow is real difficult thing to forecast but whilst the probability of it falling for some of us remains, I remain optimistic and as ever, my glass is half full. 

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted (edited)

Looks like a close but no cigar event knocker I dare say I'll see sleet with elevation but unlikely to see snow now.

 

Yup but you can't put much faith in the GFS snow predictions, even at this range. Best stick to the METO guidance but even they can have problems.

 

Anyway at the moment Cs and Ac encroaching from the west.

Edited by knocker
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dec10snow Aficionado

dec10snow

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
Posted

:rofl:  :nonono:  Just looked at the met office regional map for Tuesday into Wednesday and it shows a mix of rain, sleet and snow all the way down to devon with no real line or pattern although somerset and Bristol has rain for most with devon under more wintry ppn it makes no sense.

I'd imagine that'd be for the mild sector and the mixing zone of the milder and colder air, which'll lead to rain rather than snow... Just a guess based on what I've seen!

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Euro4 06z take on things for ppn type on Wednesday morning,

 

15012106_1906.gif

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Can see the frontal cloud beginning to arrive from the west, about to scupper another chance at a proper cold night.

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

post-8439-0-90884000-1421680690_thumb.jp

According to the Metoffice it's not going to rain/ sleet or snow for most of the week except Friday, Tuesday and Wednesday have less than 20% chance

Confused.com

Fromey

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted (edited)

GME is our friend, lets hope the other 12z make this trendy 

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82300-model-output-discussion-16th-jan-12z-onwards-smile-while-you-post/page-47#entry3130224

 

Although as pointed out by a helpful Mod Thread poster, it was the wrong time scales. I retire officially  :fool:

Edited by karlos1983
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jethro Accomplished

jethro

Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Posted

Sounds simple but try turning it off and on again? First try just closing the browser and re opening, but if not then the whole computer system.

If that still doesn't work you can try clearing cookies... That may fix it?

Thank you. Tried the on/off thing, didn't work. Cookie clearing????? I take it you didn't mean hoovering up the last of the shortbread...that's about the extent of my knowledge on the subject! Fired it up in safe mode instead now, the writing is now HUGE. 

 

It's blinking cold out there today, I'm guessing reading through this thread that the only chance we have of seeing white stuff falling is if we empty the odd bean bag out of the bedroom window?

  • Like 3
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Paul Maestro

Paul

Posted
  • Location: Aviemore
  • Location: Aviemore
Posted

Anyone else having problems viewing the forum? Everything else working absolutely fine on my computer but the community pages on here - type face turns into teeny, tiny size.

 

Sounds like you've set a weird zoom for the page - does pressing ctrl & + zoom it in for you? 

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

in terms of the GFS in the shorter term for our region, OUCH!

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jethro Accomplished

jethro

Posted
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and lots of it or warm and sunny, no mediocre dross
  • Location: Cheddar Valley, 20mtrs asl
Posted

Sounds like you've set a weird zoom for the page - does pressing ctrl & + zoom it in for you? 

Thanks Paul, I'll give it a go.

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted

-0.5c and falling, its just a case of how low we can get before the cloud rolls in now.

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

Sweet Jesus, according to a chart just posted on the 12z 10c now on Wednesday!!!! Wtf flip/flop

Fromey

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andy_leics22 Rising Star

andy_leics22

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
Posted

-0.5c and falling, its just a case of how low we can get before the cloud rolls in now.

How high is your location?

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Rich_Clements Rising Star

Rich_Clements

Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
Posted

Sweet Jesus, according to a chart just posted on the 12z 10c now on Wednesday!!!! Wtf flip/flop

Fromey

that has to be an error (outlier)

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Sweet Jesus, according to a chart just posted on the 12z 10c now on Wednesday!!!! Wtf flip/flop

Fromey

 

If referring to Mark Bayles post, that's precipitation not temps i think

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Author
Posted

at T30, The GFS is normally on the ball, as are all the most used mid-range models.....still, saying that, snow is notoriously hard to forecast, the GFS isn't bringing much ppn into the region sadly as dewpoints (from an IMBY perspective) aren't that bad.....I guess we'll just have to wait and see

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

How high is your location?

 

Over 250m with hill behind me climbing up to 290m hasn't done me much good last 2 winters though.. :nonono:

 

-1.4c and falling fast, really is a shame we cant just get one clear night to record some stonkers.

 

Now -1.6c

Edited by Nights King
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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Changed my plans to go to Sussex on Wednesday instead of Thursday as I knew snow chances were looking good for the downs on Wednesday morning, then the GFS goes and rolls that mush out grhhhhh

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Wilxy Seasoned

Wilxy

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
Posted

-0.3°C after a high of 5.0°C thought it seemed a tad to high but was on par with most local stations.

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Rich_Clements Rising Star

Rich_Clements

Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
Posted

Interesting that Swanage has been colder than here all day. 2.5°C here, 0.5°Cin Swanage.

Swanage is in a bit of a bowl though

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