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South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat

Nick L

By Nick L
in Regional

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Bristawl Si Maestro

Bristawl Si

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Posted

Looks alright that forecast more promising then i expected, no doubt ian will be on later nowcasting

Looking at that forecast you're in a sweet spot by the looks of it

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted (edited)

He did also mention the track is still uncertain.

 

Yes if it tracks further east elevation or not I could end up with less snow by morning than I have now..  :bomb:

 

Taster for Gloucester by 9pm first looking at radar...

Edited by Nights King
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Erbyskerby Rookie

Erbyskerby

Posted
  • Location: Constantine Bay, Cornwall
  • Location: Constantine Bay, Cornwall
Posted

Well the ground has turned White here!

It's now snowing

Yay, good for you! Is it proper snow or that weird hail/sleet/rain combo?

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chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted

I am still nervous being on his southern boundary (mendips - northeastwards) for snow/rain :unsure2:

 

 

Looks like a nowcasting event NK , I have been out all day and didnt even realise this little Polar Low was in the forecast. I have just checked out the Polar Low thread and where it actually lands looks open to debate !  

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nettie Aficionado

nettie

Posted
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
  • Weather Preferences: frosty, lots of snow and good ol fashion thunderstorms.
  • Location: Bulford, Wiltshire 98m asl
Posted

Going by ian's forcast just now I should be seeing the white stuff about 04:00am. Right then alarm clock set and tourch ready!! I really hope this happens. :)

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted (edited)

Well if the ECM were to verify, any disturbances in the Northerly/North Easterly flows would produce snow on most days for a vast part of this region from the 1st February right through to the 8th February. How? A brief interpretation of the 850s suggests they will range from -6 to -7 throughout. Next we would simply need to concentrate on the expected precipitation and that I'll leave to a daily watch of the radars and media forecasts. 

 

Exciting times.

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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Jayfromcardiff Experienced

Jayfromcardiff

Posted
  • Location: Caerphilly
  • Location: Caerphilly
Posted (edited)

Looks like a nowcasting event NK , I have been out all day and didnt even realise this little Polar Low was in the forecast. I have just checked out the Polar Low thread and where it actually lands looks open to debate !

I can see it turning nasty in that thread especially with everyone being of an east bias haha. Edited by Jayfromcardiff
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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Looks like a nowcasting event NK , I have been out all day and didnt even realise this little Polar Low was in the forecast. I have just checked out the Polar Low thread and where it actually lands looks open to debate !  

yes, Chris, it all depends on where you live  :wink:

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liam300 Rookie

liam300

Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
Posted (edited)

Currently says rain for south central all evening & early hours of the morning?

Edited by liam300
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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Wales is getting battered by quite a few showers according to the radar, now will those Cotswolds hills stop them coming across to East Wiltshire and West Berkshire and Oxfordshire I wonder. They are forecast to die out but things aren't going to plan so far, to my mind at least. Cornwall getting a few wintry ones drifting in from of the coast too.


Currently says rain for south central all evening & early hours of the morning?

 

Who, where, when?

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chris55 Accomplished

chris55

Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
Posted

yes, Chris, it all depends on where you live  :wink:

 

 

Ha!! Will be interesting watching it track south, right over the Westcountry :)

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kent Experienced

kent

Posted
  • Location: Poole Dorset
  • Location: Poole Dorset
Posted

Temperatures and dew points are going up, does this every night its so frustrating when you expect the reverse.An hour ago the low was 2.1 and now 2.9 Ive given up.

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Am I likely to be in the rain or the snow as I am practically under where it goes out?

I wouldn't like to guess at the moment Beka......lots of variable outcomes, so best to watch the radar..........It's up in the air.........(no pun intended........actually I can't believe I just typed 'its up the air'....how cliched is that?......FAIL!  lol)

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

It seems temps will be on the rise for many across the region during the first part of the night/morning. The hi-res models do seem to favour it further east.

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katemart Enthusiast

katemart

Posted
  • Location: Southampton, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, hot, hot! Or cold, cold, cold!
  • Location: Southampton, UK
Posted

We have killed the radar :fool:  (i know, I should pay for netweather extra but I don't know what any of it means so would be wasted money)

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khodds Experienced

khodds

Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
Posted

Our temperature is going up too 1.7 at 5.30, now 2.4... Why is this? Can someone explain? Ta!

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MP-R Maestro

MP-R

Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
Posted

Well I don't think I've ever experience a polar low that has dumped rain here so it would certainly be a first and typical of this winter for it do so lol.

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

Our temperature is going up too 1.7 at 5.30, now 2.4... Why is this? Can someone explain? Ta!

Slightly warmer uppers moving down from the Northwest, ahead of the developing low.

4pm

post-15177-0-39969000-1422559555_thumb.p

Midnight

post-15177-0-16354500-1422559577_thumb.p

Edited by Mapantz
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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Well I don't think I've ever experience a polar low that has dumped rain here so it would certainly be a first and typical of this winter for it do so lol.

knowing our luck, by tomorrow night the headlines will say 'tropical low brought record warmth & rain to south west england last night'  :80:

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liam300 Rookie

liam300

Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
Posted

Currently 1.9c with dew point at 0c, Will wait and see what happens?

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted (edited)

Slightly warmer uppers moving down from the Northwest, ahead of the developing low.

4pm

attachicon.gifviewimage (10).png

Midnight

attachicon.gifviewimage (9).png

Forgot to mention, they will lower on the wrap-around as mentioned by AWD earlier.

Edited by Mapantz
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Blue max 90 Rookie

Blue max 90

Posted
  • Location: Forest of Dean, Gloucestershire 98m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Forest of Dean, Gloucestershire 98m ASL
Posted

Yes if it tracks further east elevation or not I could end up with less snow by morning than I have now..  :bomb:

 

Taster for Gloucester by 9pm first looking at radar...

Taster is here, light snow falling now. Thinking here could be in a good spot for tonight

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