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Storm & Convective Discussion - 01/03/15 onwards

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

well that narrows it nicely ........

haha -That tickled me after I opened the link.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Whooooooosh!!!

 

that looks nice :)

 

we shall see.

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Thunderbolt_ Experienced

Thunderbolt_

Posted
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunshine and thunderstorms. Mild in winter.
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Author
Posted

I think tonight, thundery activity will just be confined to the south east corner. I'd be very suprised if we see anything north and west of the Midlands. I've had a look at the forecasts and I've made a map whixh represents which areas have a good chance of seeing something tonight.

 

post-21671-0-26297700-1430776144_thumb.g

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Thunderbolt_ Experienced

Thunderbolt_

Posted
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunshine and thunderstorms. Mild in winter.
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Author
Posted

Spot on this good guide

 

Cheers. :)

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

I agree Thunderbolt though to be honest looking at the trajectories of current storms, others will probably follow a similar path. Wouldnt be surprised if everything stays over the channel. The usual everything just brushing the UK.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

The GFS and NMM are playing around with a risk of some more storm activity tomorrow night for southern coastal counties. Met Office showing something similar too.

 

post-2719-0-37775600-1430776688_thumb.pn

 

(chart courtesy of NW Extra)

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Nick F Maestro

Nick F

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)

Nice to see the flickering yellow lightning symbol over the SE on the BBC forecast just then for Tuesday morning, their fronts suggest the complexity with an occluded front coming in behind the cold front which could trigger storms too:

 

post-1052-0-54756400-1430776317_thumb.jp

 

Recent WV imagery shows dry slot continuing to push NE towards Sern Britain tonight, as left exit of a strong 150knt jet streak pushes NE, this will have a lot of potential vorticity with it - creating forced ascent and instability, as is evident from cluster of storms over Biscay and Wern France:

 

post-1052-0-45362000-1430776874_thumb.jp

 

post-1052-0-27313200-1430776898_thumb.jp

 

Edited by Nick F
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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Pretty lively over in the BoB now compared to earlier

 

post-16960-0-70153700-1430777410_thumb.p

 

post-16960-0-02174300-1430777562_thumb.p

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted

Right I'm off to bed.

Good luck one and all for the early hours...my window and curtains open, plus early alarms for any morning action (and for, ahem, last ditch revision!)

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

That storm in N biscay heading for Lorient looks to have the channel islands name on it and poss IOW.

 

post-16960-0-68973500-1430778194_thumb.p

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

Estofex forecast valid from 06z puts us nowhere near a lightning area...interesting

Right...now off to bed

...couldn't resist one last look at UKMO precip forecast...going for even more intense looking stuff between 05z and 08z than earlier...defo convective and thundery looking...

Edited by Harry
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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Current storms producing lightning highlighted in yellow associated with the massive blob of cloud, however keeping my eyes on the convective clouds shooting up (highlighted in red) as these have more chance of moving over us (if they develop further..)

post-17320-0-90117200-1430780212_thumb.p

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Sig echo just formed to the west side of the blob(ringed)

 

post-16960-0-58934100-1430780860_thumb.p

 

keep an eye on this.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Some bright echoes showing on the Brest peninsula now but no sferics of yet.

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Allseasons-Si Maestro

Allseasons-Si

Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted (edited)

also ppn growing in intensity moving into SW Midlands, unlikely to become electrified however.

Lol,just about to comment on that,there is curtainly a clear slot there for developments.

 

the Lorient storm has died of death,that will not please many in the SE,hope to see more developments but it is getting late now :lazy:

 

less on topic,check out Ryan meyer in Texas on https://tvnweather.com/live/ for some action.

Edited by Allseasons-si
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