Storm & Convective Discussion - 12th June 2015 onwards

[Hirudine]

That's the spirit. Grab a beer and enjoy the up and downs of a very interesting meteorological evening

 

I'm hoping I can nick some of my OH's rum 

[VillagePlank]

CIN being eroded here in Rochester as mid/high level clouds start to dissipate

[IanR]

iv'e done some research, i don't think the sea temperature plays a part because since 1990's the sea temperature has increased not decreased, maybe other things are why these things die off?

the seas are below atm ? , especially western side , 

[Buckster]

might just be perfect timing for the S-East - might I add

 

incoming developed storms

afternoon to develop decent temps

eroding CIN at time the storms are arriving

 

I can definately see vertical ascent of the Cu here now

 

[VillagePlank]

might just be perfect timing for the S-East - might I add

 

incoming developed storms

afternoon to develop decent temps

eroding CIN at time the storms are arriving

 

I can definately see vertical ascent of the Cu here now

 

Must be nearly 6pm, then

[UKSupercell]

Nowt here. The only rumble i hear is from my tum - c'mon love, hurry up and get home from work so we can have our m&s dine in for two meal deal.

HA! Quality. 

[Ellozee]

Sat in the garden with a French beer and watching this whopper of a French storm roll in! Last Fridays missed us mainly so the way I see it, were due a good one.

[Condor Vitesse]

Anyone got any links to Webcams in the Dover area

[poseidon]

might just be perfect timing for the S-East - might I add

 

incoming developed storms

afternoon to develop decent temps

eroding CIN at time the storms are arriving

 

I can definately see vertical ascent of the Cu here now

 

Same around here. Pretty rapid change.

[Ben Sainsbury]

The cell SSE of Portsmouth has caught my eye let's see what we come out with!

[Mesoscale]

Typical everything has been heading in a west/north west direction all day and as soon as the storms look to be heading my way they get a more northerly direction, you couldn't make this up, I just hope winds will push it more west as they go more north... just hoping that the sun we had today accounts for something hopefully things start firing west of those storms.

[VillagePlank]

Typical everything has been heading in a west/north west direction all day and as soon as the storms look to be heading my way they get a more northerly direction, you couldn't make this up, I just hope winds will push it more west as they go more north... just hoping that the sun we had today accounts for something hopefully things start firing west of those storms.

Frankly, according to model output, you are just too far North, unless you get very lucky, and that will depend on a combination of the low corridor moving north at approximately the same rate as the frontal systems due in soon.

In any case, likely to be much later in the evening

[Spikecollie]

Well I'm amazed - just walked down to the shop to the sound of loud, distant thunder. Imposing sky and again the humidity has gone through the roof. Orage imminent!

[lassie23]

It's starting to feel right here. I know that's totally unscientific but it does feel like it's getting ready to burst, maybe in an hour or two?

Ouch! Sounds painful! I trust your feelings, thunder is a sure thing for London now.

[Cableguy]

At least its a nice evening, thats the only positive, good luck to those in the extreme SE

[daveywoo1977]

It is not looking good for anything in England at the moment. Could all change but it looks very unlikely. A few rumbles in Kent and that's about it

[VillagePlank]

At least its a nice evening, thats the only positive, good luck to those in the extreme SE

Sigh. Surrey's in for a good chance re imports anytime now until 2am.

Grab a beer and enjoy the evening!

[StormChaseUK]

Not surprised storms did not develop, the majority of yesterdays French storms were surface based.  

[VillagePlank]

It is not looking good for anything in England at the moment. Could all change but it looks very unlikely. A few rumbles in Kent and that's about it

Conditions are only favourable from about now. What do you base this hypothesis on?

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Not surprised storms did not develop, the majority of yesterdays French storms were surface based.

No they weren't the majority were elevated storms

[Buckster]

humidity here in Essex now on the rise 

[Wet'n'Dry]

I predict this track for the storm coming into Kent, what do others think?

If it survives it could form into a monster or then again just turn out to be a damp squib 

 

[bobbydog]

It is not looking good for anything in England at the moment. Could all change but it looks very unlikely. A few rumbles in Kent and that's about it

thanks for 'lightning' the mood in here....

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Here I am at stansted now. Very muggy here, more so than further north previously!

Can't wait to see what gets delivered here. Hoping for some thunder soon.

[Mesoscale]

I predict this track for the storm coming into Kent, what do others think?

If it survives it could form into a monster or then again just turn out to be a damp squib 

 

track.jpg

Where did you get the turn from?? Most of the stuff in the midlands is still heading WNW?