Storm & Convective Discussion - 12th June 2015 onwards

[poseidon]

I predict this track for the storm coming into Kent, what do others think?

If it survives it could form into a monster or then again just turn out to be a damp squib 

 

track.jpg

Suddenly some strikes further inland now.

[Hirudine]

Ouch! Sounds painful! I trust your feelings, thunder is a sure thing for London now.

 

 

Hah! Well it's gone darker NE of me at the moment, so we'll have to wait and see if that one goes pop or not. Don't think I'll benefit from that one though.

[VillagePlank]

humidity here in Essex now on the rise

Differential surface based humidity can act as a trigger particularly with dry dew point depressions at around 700hPa.

All to play for

I predict this track for the storm coming into Kent, what do others think?

If it survives it could form into a monster or then again just turn out to be a damp squib 

 

track.jpg

Looks promising for Medway!!! Must be past 6pm, lmfao

[Azazel]

So, thats Kent, London and East Anglia/Peterborough in the best-placed spots, just need Lincolnshire to get something and my prediction from this morning will be bang-on.

[> mark]

All looking rather calm at the moment.

[Ben Sainsbury]

The huge clump of torrential rain NW of Caen, it's looks like it's on the brink of a few sferics! As long as it pushes with the front it could come great timing, heads up!

 

The Kent storm has rapidly grown in size according to Sat24!

Edited June 12, 2015 by Ben Sainsbury

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Where did you get the turn from?? Most of the stuff in the midlands is still heading WNW?

Yep in regional said I would check 850s and it would take the stuff just north of central London and almost bend directly west

[VillagePlank]

So, thats Kent, London and East Anglia/Peterborough in the best-placed spots, just need Lincolnshire to get something and my prediction from this morning will be bang-on.

Not until much later. And possibly only rain by then. But lots of rain. I mean really lots of rain.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

There is a lot of speculation in here tonight which has no clear foundation to it. It's frustrating.

If people want to make a speculation can they back it up a bit or you're just building or dashing other people's hopes!

An example: "The storms in Kent will suddenly and without fathomable reason rise to 40,000 ft where other surface-based French imported storms will slide underneath and die off because they are in the shade. This means huge storms will break out over Edinburgh"

[Spikecollie]

Well,  I've got more thunder and nearer than yesterday and that was not forecast. I still think patience is a virtue for you all in the SE UK. Someone must have T&L as it's reached shore now from N France....

[Gordon Webb]

radar echos in the SE seem to have eased a little bit

[VillagePlank]

The huge clump of torrential rain NW of Caen, it's looks like it's on the brink of a few sferics! As long as it pushes with the front it could come great timing, heads up!

If cells move slightly faster than front, then you can back building which means the birthplace overhead of lots of cells so feels like storm is a really big one

[Wet'n'Dry]

Where did you get the turn from?? Most of the stuff in the midlands is still heading WNW?

 

But I'm not in the Midlands!

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Hello new cells on Kent welcome to England

[cobbett]

This so called event is as I thought late morning a bust - nothing on the horizon apart from some activity in the Far East. Will be interesting to see what flak the metoffice get tomorrow !

[Gordon Webb]

But I'm not in the Midlands!

 

according to radar it's more N than NW

[NO LONGER POSTING]

Apparently someone said it's over?

😂 lol

[Eye to the sky]

Big spots of rain in Derby,but nothing remotely thundery!!.

[IanR]

This so called event is as I thought late morning a bust - nothing on the horizon apart from some activity in the Far East. Will be interesting to see what flak the metoffice get tomorrow !

the bbc were hyping up the word thunderstorm and had that weather globe thing in the background with cg's strobing in it.  you know then its a bust 

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Going dark to the south here in Essex!! What a decision I made as it stands!!

[StormChaseUK]

No they weren't the majority were elevated storms

They may have been once feeding from above when crossing the channel, but over here yesterday they were surface based.

[Buckster]

new cells developing over North France

 

might get a chain of them

[Spikecollie]

This so called event is as I thought late morning a bust - nothing on the horizon apart from some activity in the Far East. Will be interesting to see what flak the metoffice get tomorrow !

 

Hello new cells on Kent welcome to England

Please...Vous êtes bienvenus au Royaume-Uni

 

En réponse: nous sommes enchantés!

[Marcus_surfer]

Disappointing for south wales after all those warnings. Its just patchy light rain

[Buckster]

feels even more humid last 30 minutes

 

quite unpleasant indoors

 

off outside with a glass of wine I think