Storm & Convective Discussion - 12th June 2015 onwards

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I'm moving my attention to the potential for some proper severe weather associated with that plume scenario developing in FI.

These little desperate early summer storm days just not cutting it for me anymore.

So much effort for sporadic and unpredictable pulse lightning just not worth it IMHO

[Harry]

I'm moving my attention to the potential for some proper severe weather associated with that plume scenario developing in FI.

These little desperate early summer storm days just not cutting it for me anymore.

So much effort for sporadic and unpredictable pulse lightning just not worth it IMHO

Yup, but as its FI I'm not even going to bother to look much at it let alone get 'ready' for it in anyway.

On the 18z it grazes the south (again!) while on the 00z it doesn't exist for us.

We need a pretty wholesale change in fortunes really...the blessing is we still have not any real heat this summer, but if it's reserving itself for July/August then all the better in my eyes

[Stuart]

well there a risk of storms up here but you know my luck there wont be

[Richard Taylor]

Also a risk here Stuart (at least the airport weather thinks so). Although tbh I just want to see SOME sunny, warm summer weather now!!

[Greeny]

*messed up an edit*

Edited June 21, 2015 by Greenday

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Well an exciting horizon looking at the model chat.

Some VERY warm weather potentially and this would fit nicely in with the numerous so-far-unsuccessful heat pump events.

I'm quietly confident about an interesting couple of convective months (for the southern half of the UK at least).

Been a long build up to it this year so far but I think the payoff is some fairly regular opportunities for potentially significant weather to come

[Greeny]

Just a quick edition to my earlier post, it didn't really feel humid at all, Its not an essential feel and ingredient for storms.

Wednesday is now showing some signs of potential although metoffice fax chart showing HP close by, the edge of an LP system possibly reaching us however, not sure its very well alligned bringing fronts arriving perhaps a bit too late current forecasts suggest. It is a little early but it only being 3 days away worth a mention.

[Raidan]

Big band of rain to our West if only the conditions were right for storms.

[Harry]

Just a quick edition to my earlier post, it didn't really feel humid at all, Its not an essential feel and ingredient for storms.

Wednesday is now showing some signs of potential although metoffice fax chart showing HP close by, the edge of an LP system possibly reaching us however, not sure its very well alligned bringing fronts arriving perhaps a bit too late current forecasts suggest. It is a little early but it only being 3 days away worth a mention.

Not seeing much in the way of convective potential, unless something hiding aloft in the mid levels.

[Supacell]

Some quite pokey showers running W to E just to my north across the Peak District. I wonder if there is any chance of a sferic or two from that lot?

[Eye to the sky]

Would be nice,but just too far north of here,moving through pretty quickly aswell on the strong breeze.

[Greeny]

Not seeing much in the way of convective potential, unless something hiding aloft in the mid levels.

 

Its downgraded now so not much potential there and with pressure still high of 1020mb I'm sceptical too. Low pressure hanging around nearby in the Atlantic though.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Check out the Plumersaurus Rex on the 18z!!

[weatherobsuk]

Nice train of showers lining up from North Wales into the NW currently, rain is hammering on the window outside atm.

[marshallfarm]

Just got back from a few days away in North Norfolk. Saturday night was stunning. Sat on the sea wall at dusk watching the lightning.

Any how's, bbc saying possible storms in the East again this afternoon. Struggling to see it at the moment

[NL]

Just got back from a few days away in North Norfolk. Saturday night was stunning. Sat on the sea wall at dusk watching the lightning.

Any how's, bbc saying possible storms in the East again this afternoon. Struggling to see it at the moment.

With CAPE values around 300 J/kg a small storm or two may rumble through parts of Norfolk into Kent this afternoon.

[Greeny]

Under a moderate show with a small amount of hail mixed in. Some reasonable cloud heights.

[Tim Bland]

Signs of heat building later this week and into next.  Temps could hit 30c in the SE by early next week, then it can all go bang

 

 

[stainesbloke]

Had to sit down and fan my face after viewing this chart, if only....roasting hot then chances of some serious stormage! Bring it on, enough of the chilly bore-fest already...only this is, am flying out to Spain for a little holiday a week today, really hope I don't miss anything here!

Edited June 22, 2015 by stainesbloke

[alr1970]

With CAPE values around 300 J/kg a small storm or two may rumble through parts of Norfolk into Kent this afternoon.

Screen shot 2015-06-22 at 09.13.35.png

NW Radar is showing recent strikes in Lincolnshire are already this morning.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Early days yet, but I am already planning on perhaps heading to France or Belgium for this possible plume event.

[sparky1972]

afternoon all, few flashes and bangs here, did not last long though

[Allseasons-Si]

Just had a torrential downpour here with hail mixed in,surprised there was no thunder.

 

Lincolnshire the sweet spot AGAIN

Edited June 22, 2015 by Allseasons-si

[Tim Bland]

Early days yet, but I am already planning on perhaps heading to France or Belgium for this possible plume event.

 

If the last "Plume" was anything to go by I would hold fire on booking your tickets (for an event early next week) until the weekend at the earliest!

[Snowshine]

I expect a storm on June 28. For some reason, that day seems have been stormy for England on many years.