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North West England Weather Discussion 14/11/15 Onwards

Liam J

By Liam J
in Regional

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Spurry Aficionado

Spurry

Posted
  • Location: Wigan 259 ft ASL where it always rains
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Sun ,Snow and Cold
  • Location: Wigan 259 ft ASL where it always rains
Posted

No doubt the weekend will be cooler ,but as for the so called 'Cold Spell' the whole thing has been extremely disappointing ,Rain again today , temps at 5c, can't believe the BBC are still talking about the bitter cold ,I was in Sweden over new year and daytime temps were about -3-4c and at night down to -10c, that is a cold spell , it got even colder after we left...I think we've become soft  and too used to mild damp rubbish

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chicken soup Aficionado

chicken soup

Posted
  • Location: blackburn
  • Weather Preferences: heavy snow/ heatwaves
  • Location: blackburn
Posted
2 hours ago, snowydog said:

Hi all 

resident of NI here. Usually take part in the Ireland discussion thread. However I'm flying into Manchester Monday morning and in Manchester Monday night. Driving to Blackburn on Tuesday afternoon and back to Manchester on Tuesday night with a flight home on Wednesday morning. 

I'm no good at reading models or anything, what's the general consensus on the weather in that part of the country on Monday / Tuesday / Wednesday? 

Bit worried about driving my hire car if there's going to be any snow or ice. Had a bad experience in Liverpool last time I had a hire car (kids throwing bricks from railway station that hit my car) 

Any info would be greatly appreciated  

Thanks

 

You wont have any worries in blackburn...most snowless town in britain....more chance of snow in ethiopa than blackburn ...lol.

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Spurry Aficionado

Spurry

Posted
  • Location: Wigan 259 ft ASL where it always rains
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Sun ,Snow and Cold
  • Location: Wigan 259 ft ASL where it always rains
Posted
1 minute ago, chicken soup said:

You wont have any worries in blackburn...most snowless town in britain....more chance of snow in ethiopa than blackburn ...lol.

Sorry but I think Wigan get's less snow :-(

 

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
2 minutes ago, Thunderbolt_ said:

Hmm... interesting. The temperature has been rising a fair bit in the last 40 minutes or so. It was almost -2C here, but now it has risen to -0.4C. There must be a bit of an moderating influence from the Irish Sea coming in.

no cloud coming in? mine rises fast when cloud rolls in

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted (edited)

Uh oh....... SE breeze tomorrow night means hardly any snow for most of Greater Manchester. Unless there is another mechanism that will help it be different?

Edited by Frost HoIIow
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damianslaw Maestro

damianslaw

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Another day and again sudden developments occurring making a mockery of the forecast. Trough/shortwave feature to the NW popping up out of nowhere to spoil what was looking like a dry weekend.. alas cloud set to invade throughout tomorrow and Sunday certainly not going to be dry.. on the plus side we should see some snow tomorrow night and into Sunday.

 

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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
3 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Uh oh....... SE breeze tomorrow night means hardly any snow for most of Greater Manchester. Hopefully with the precip coming down from the NW this may change the outcome to a more positive one.

It is a light southeasterly flow so no precipitation shadow for Manchester.

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted
Just now, karyo said:

It is a light southeasterly flow so no precipitation shadow for Manchester.

Cheers. Hopefully this will turn out fine.

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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
1 minute ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Cheers. Hopefully this will turn out fine.

Let's hope that the track of the band remains the same :)

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Frost HoIIow Accomplished

Frost HoIIow

Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, karyo said:

Let's hope that the track of the band remains the same :)

Fingers crossed karyo.

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karyo Maestro

karyo

Posted
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
  • Location: Brighton (currently)
Posted
6 minutes ago, KasimWeatherQuarnford said:

Have to disagree. SSE wind seems much more likely. ( and at least above the surface a more westerly component seems likely ) probably a light shadow 

image.gif

I'd be worried for a shadow if the wind was projected to be strong.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Author
Posted

No doubt if I get ppn tomorrow evening it will be rain here near the coast at low elevation just like today with -7c 850's it was just wet! As far as I'm concerned it can keep away so I have a chance to get a decent frost with clear skies instead of 4/5c and rain! Hopefully get a half decent cold spell before winters over with no marginality involved for anyone! Nothing marginal during March 2013 and yet here we are in mid winter and it's pants lol :p On the plus side it's -0.3c atm!! 

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

Best thing to happen tonight is a huge drop in temp, then to cloud a bit tomorrow to stop any diurnal heating, to give the temps the biggest knock. A max of 1-2c is a blessing for tomorrow. Let's see what it brings.

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted
4 minutes ago, karyo said:

The 18z gfs has the precipitation much further west and lighter so the majority of the region misses out.

This is what the BBC has been saying this evening too.

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Day 10 Maestro

Day 10

Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
Posted
7 minutes ago, karyo said:

The 18z gfs has the precipitation much further west and lighter so the majority of the region misses out.

Just seen that, another let down on the cards!!

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Snowy L Maestro

Snowy L

Posted
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts
  • Location: Burton-on-Trent (90m), Larnaka most Augusts
Posted

On the flip side dew points and surface temperatures are looking good for the Monday event, at least the first part of it.

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I Cumbria Marra I Seasoned

I Cumbria Marra I

Posted
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold/snow winter, Warm/hot summer, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales
  • Location: West Cumbria, Egremont 58m (190.3ft) ASL
Posted

Huge shift south at only 24 hrs (!)

Netweather GFS Image     Netweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand..........................down the ramp we go, so frustrating.

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

In all fairness, a lack of precipitation tomorrow night may mean a bigger chance of snow on Monday.

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted
3 minutes ago, I Cumbria Marra I said:

Huge shift south at only 24 hrs (!)

Netweather GFS Image     Netweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

Netweather GFS ImageNetweather GFS Image

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand..........................down the ramp we go, so frustrating.

This could be good for a colder period Sunday/Monday as the warm sector is now forced SW.

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Cheshire Freeze Maestro

Cheshire Freeze

Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
Posted

But ECM and Euro 4 say further E. ECM in-between Euro4 and GFS so I'd take that as a middle ground and puts us right in the sweet spot.

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iand61 Maestro

iand61

Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
Posted

A couple of snow showers this afternoon but other than in the shade, it seemed to soon disappear.

its a shame that such a lovely bright winters day can be spoilt by showers that once again failed to live up to expectations and I'd have preferred the showers to keep away if that's the best it could do.

 

-2c now under clear skies so at least the ground should be ready for tomorrow night last minute let down.

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pip22 Accomplished

pip22

Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, warm weather not too hot, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
Posted (edited)

Just back from Tenerife. What a contrast between here and Tenerife it was 32C there and minus 2 here.  Another downgrade for snow here? Nowt changed here.

Edited by pip22
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