Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter

[Chris K]

40 minutes ago, Timbo said:

Happy new year to all.

The 15th to 20th January needs to put in the diary, this is the point that we will see major changes to sub zero temps and very snowy conditions.

i will explain more about this period over the next few days, but be prepared for some of the worst snowstorms on par with 87. 

That's a strong, confident statement to make in here...but I look forward to your reasoning and supporting data, of which I assume you are still working on?

Edited January 3, 2016 by Chris K

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

44 minutes ago, Timbo said:

Happy new year to all.

The 15th to 20th January needs to put in the diary, this is the point that we will see major changes to sub zero temps and very snowy conditions.

i will explain more about this period over the next few days, but be prepared for some of the worst snowstorms on par with 87. 

Very optimistic there timbo but a massive statement and one that unfortunately  will leave you disappointed. If you truly believe that to be the case then please , share ? Because it's excactly the kind of statement that leads peeps up the garden path . 

[Paul33]

Go Timbo ..... this is the banter forum not the model forum so good on you and please do lead us up that path !!!

[Buzz]

1 hour ago, Timbo said:

Happy new year to all.

The 15th to 20th January needs to put in the diary, this is the point that we will see major changes to sub zero temps and very snowy conditions.

i will explain more about this period over the next few days, but be prepared for some of the worst snowstorms on par with 87. 

Is your real name Piers Corbyn but any chance? If it is, you forgot to post in bolded, coloured capital letters.

[tinybill]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

 

well you never  know  the gfs  might be pointing us  to the  holly grail !!    in fantasy world   for 5  days!!

[Frost HoIIow]

Big differences between west & east Germany right now. 7C in Dusseldorf but -10C in Berlin.

 

 

[Spikey M]

1 hour ago, Timbo said:

Happy new year to all.

The 15th to 20th January needs to put in the diary, this is the point that we will see major changes to sub zero temps and very snowy conditions.

i will explain more about this period over the next few days, but be prepared for some of the worst snowstorms on par with 87. 

Have I stumbled onto the Daily Express forum in error?

[knocker]

37 minutes ago, tinybill said:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?mode=2&ech=204

 

well you never  know  the gfs  might be pointing us  to the  holly grail !!    in fantasy world   for 5  days!!

It did that last night and most of the other thread had an 'episode'.

Edited January 3, 2016 by knocker

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

1 hour ago, Timbo said:

Happy new year to all.

The 15th to 20th January needs to put in the diary, this is the point that we will see major changes to sub zero temps and very snowy conditions.

i will explain more about this period over the next few days, but be prepared for some of the worst snowstorms on par with 87. 

Well, this is the ramps thread!

[Weather-history]

A poor day: wet

 

[conor123]

Yikes lord have mercy gave up chart viewing and posting for 2 weeks, viewed once last week finally and saw the most incredible easterly and winter on the way which I instantly knew would fall apart, didn't bother viewing charts again till today and shock horror as usual it's stuck over the north sea god forsaken washout muck again.

Only difference now is changed from 12-15c washouts to 7-9c washouts, great. I'll try again in another 2 weeks.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

 

5 minutes ago, conor123 said:

Yikes lord have mercy gave up chart viewing and posting for 2 weeks, viewed once last week finally and saw the most incredible easterly and winter on the way which I instantly knew would fall apart, didn't bother viewing charts again till today and shock horror as usual it's stuck over the north sea god forsaken washout muck again.

Only difference now is changed from 12-15c washouts to 7-9c washouts, great. I'll try again in another 2 weeks.

I would rather have 12-15C, models don't look that bad for our location, should be no washouts, but question mark over wed/thurs, don't expect the rain to move through overnight, washout systems never do

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

MOD thread has gone OTT based on one ECM operational!

[shotski]

4 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

MOD thread has gone OTT based on one ECM operational!

Yeh and to think winter was over a couple of days ago !!!! 

[Allseasons-Si]

4 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

MOD thread has gone OTT based on one ECM operational!

Yes,and we are discussing what the models are showing,surely there is nothing wrong with that,after all,it is the model discussion thread

with the background signals pointing to cooler/cold for the latter part of January,the ecm/gfs are showing it,why not

[I remember Atlantic 252]

10 minutes ago, chrisbell-nottheweatherman said:

MOD thread has gone OTT based on one ECM operational!

yes, that ECM run will never happen, but still signs of a change around mid Jan, to maybe something less wet, even if only for a few days

[I remember Atlantic 252]

4 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Yes,and we are discussing what the models are showing,surely there is nothing wrong with that,after all,it is the model discussion thread

with the background signals pointing to cooler/cold for the latter part of January,the ecm/gfs are showing it,why not

agree with that as well, posted it my self

[shotski]

2 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

agree with that as well, posted it my self

Exactly, it seems it's justified to declare winter is over ( all 2 months of it ) but to talk about an operational run at 10 days is forbidden . 

[shotski]

10 hours ago, mushymanrob said:

well its not making for very good discussion - sensible discussion anyway. there no end it sight to the mobile wet unsettled westerly flow and unless you like talking about when the next rain band will arrive, the next storm, the next strong wind, or how wet itll be - then model watching will be pretty drab over the next two weeks at least.

Mmmm Really !!!! 

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, shotski said:

Exactly, it seems it's justified to declare winter is over ( all 2 months of it ) but to talk about an operational run at 10 days is forbidden . 

Of course it's [to say that winter is over] nonsense...We won't know what happens until it happens?

[heccygabber]

Lol in model thread they are posting cold charts 7+ days away, don't they ever learn? It'll be gone tomorrow probably.

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, heccygabber said:

Lol in model thread they are posting cold charts 7+ days away, don't they ever learn? It'll be gone tomorrow probably.

Off you go, then - educate them all?

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

19 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

Yes,and we are discussing what the models are showing,surely there is nothing wrong with that,after all,it is the model discussion thread

with the background signals pointing to cooler/cold for the latter part of January,the ecm/gfs are showing it,why not

Not saying that at all, merely that some are, IMO, getting a touch carried-away.  I'd love to see it verify, though.

Edited January 3, 2016 by chrisbell-nottheweatherman

[Bristawl Si]

I'll be keeping an eye on the Meto outlooks over next few days to see if their model output is picking up on a colder theme coming.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

What we really need now is someone with access to the Glosea model and Met Office forecast thinking...