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South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 6th December and Onwards...

Methuselah

By Methuselah
in Regional

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted
52 minutes ago, festivalking said:

I packed up last night for this winter but I just can't live without one more downgrade so back for all the fun of the downgrade fair.

So channel low and big snow event this time next week...anyone?

I packed up a long time ago!! 

I will believe it when I see it! Roll on spring

 

fromey 

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted
18 hours ago, Bristle boy said:

The rain's been here since mid-morning. A truly foul day.

I reckon end of the week could be a goer this time for parts of our region. No science, just a good feeling.

How is that holding up for you today? :rofl: :D

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Another cold spell ending before it's even started. :wallbash:

i was almost at the stage of getting fully sucked in again by the models. Incredible really. Seems the metO are facing the same problem with there own models in the medium range. 

The winter that never was.

yes it will probably be colder the second half of this week, with frosts, but not looking extreme......again :nonono:

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fromey Experienced

fromey

Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted

Hi all,

Ian has put some nice info up in the MOD thread for those that are interested.

 

fromey

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
23 minutes ago, fromey said:

Hi all,

Ian has put some nice info up in the MOD thread for those that are interested.

 

fromey

D'oh, as always it would seem I spoke a little to soon lol

oh well, Spring  starts In April then 

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Bristawl Si Maestro

Bristawl Si

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
Posted
1 hour ago, Nights King said:

How is that holding up for you today? :rofl: :D

Lol!

Yeah, looks like it's gone baps up, even before it's started.

Sadly my desire for an early warm Spring to offset this truly dreadful winter looks like being scuppered.

Off to Fuerteventura in less than 3 weeks where the Canaries generally have had a warm Winter with temps often around 23/24c. Last few days struugled to get near 20c, so hoping our cold start to March doesnt filter down there. Knowing my luck it will.

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offerman Seasoned

offerman

Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
Posted
On 16 February 2016 at 3:14 PM, Andy Bown said:

I can see Cley Hill from my upstairs windows Tim, fully expecting Thursday to be the first time in about 3 years that it's been white up there! However when I lived in Westbury I had a great vista of the Western edge of Salisbury Plain and that very often had a clear snow line.

Hi Andy,

I can see Cley hill about 7 miles away from here in Frome and can also recall exactly what you mention. I have also seen rain in Frome but as soon as we reached Corsley Heath it turned to snow. Then even more so and settled up at centre parks and along to heavens gate carpark where we stopped thend sledged near the large stones. 

 

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted
1 hour ago, karlos1983 said:

D'oh, as always it would seem I spoke a little to soon lol

oh well, Spring  starts In April then 

If it was like march 2013 then we shall get endless cold without the rewards down south west... :nonono:

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
59 minutes ago, Nights King said:

If it was like march 2013 then we shall get endless cold without the rewards down south west... :nonono:

I don't think we could be that unlucky this time. we won't replicate that identically, perhaps this time is our turn.  

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Andy Bown Accomplished

Andy Bown

Posted
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
  • Location: Warminster, Wiltshire
Posted

Properly Springlike this afternoon, very pleasant in the garden with it 14.1c however I note Yeovilton and Exeter are at 15c to 16c!! Lots of Stratocumulus and some spotting drizzle but also occasional breaks with warm sunshine.

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted
5 minutes ago, Andy Bown said:

Properly Springlike this afternoon, very pleasant in the garden with it 14.1c however I note Yeovilton and Exeter are at 15c to 16c!! Lots of Stratocumulus and some spotting drizzle but also occasional breaks with warm sunshine.

Maybe the warmest day for a month or so to come... :rofl:

Just hope we get at least one covering of snow this time round otherwise it is a waste so late.

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SteveB Veteran

SteveB

Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
Posted

I hope I do better snow wise out of this late cold spell than I did with the one in 2013 were I had no snow. To be honest though, if it does stay dry I'll be more than happy, give a chance for things to dry out.

Some sun would be nice also, just please no more rain.

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Evening thunder Experienced

Evening thunder

Posted
  • Location: East Devon
  • Location: East Devon
Posted

Reached 15.9C here today! The highest I have recorded in any February so far (beating 14.7C on the 1st this year)

Looks like it was quite sunny with it too, so probably felt very spring like although I wasn't here to experience it, being on a cloudier, damper and cooler Dartmoor.

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted

Models looking cold but essentially dry. But I would say that the area that would likely do well snow wise out of this setup is the south. Cold looks like it will become established, just takes one of the likely many sliders to nudge north a bit and we could be shouting from the roof tops in this forum. 

For the first time in a long while, I'm feeling very optimistic.

yes I have now been sucked in. Reason being, it's very close to the cold actually arriving. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that I'm *struggling* to see how we won't get proper cold in by the end of the week latest, which will be with us for a quite some time.

*disclaimer that I could actually be wrong and usually am. :D

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Nights King Accomplished

Nights King

Posted
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Shepton Mallet 140m ASL
Posted
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Models looking cold but essentially dry. But I would say that the area that would likely do well snow wise out of this setup is the south. Cold looks like it will become established, just takes one of the likely many sliders to nudge north a bit and we could be shouting from the roof tops in this forum. 

For the first time in a long while, I'm feeling very optimistic.

yes I have now been sucked in. Reason being, it's very close to the cold actually arriving. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that I'm *struggling* to see how we won't get proper cold in by the end of the week latest, which will be with us for a quite some time.

*disclaimer that I could actually be wrong and usually am. :D

I know you want to remain optimistic but what is to stop the cold just being mixed out slowly before an eventual breakdown or a an unfavorable slider giving us a rain/sleet event?

To me there is nothing in the foreseeable except for dry and cold although it will make a nice change.

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khodds Experienced

khodds

Posted
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and sunny or cold and snowy. Nothing inbetween.
  • Location: Work: Near Glasto Home: near Puriton
Posted

OMG at Countryfile! He hinted at a channel low :nea:that's b@ggered that one then. Won't happen now. 

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Nights King said:

I know you want to remain optimistic but what is to stop the cold just being mixed out slowly before an eventual breakdown or a an unfavorable slider giving us a rain/sleet event?

To me there is nothing in the foreseeable except for dry and cold although it will make a nice change.

I get where you are coming from NK, but my opinion reading between the lines, listening to the updates from Ian, seeing the models all pretty much agree on height rises and trough disruption in the Atlantic, says to me that this time confidence is high. Will it deliver for us? I'm not sure about that, but I'm certain some of our region will benefit and all of us will feel this cold spell.

maybe it's not an opinion, but a considered response to all the information available, beit models, pros comments etc and a bit of gut feel.

 

Edited by karlos1983
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festivalking Experienced

festivalking

Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
Posted

Karlos hope you are right old chum fear for your soul if all comes crashing down with a damp squib!

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, festivalking said:

Karlos hope you are right old chum fear for your soul if all comes crashing down with a damp squib!

I'm a southerner and an Arsenal fan, I'm used to disappointment. :closedeyes:

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

I'm a southerner and an Arsenal fan, I'm used to disappointment. :closedeyes:

I'm a Spurs fan!:D

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karlos1983 Maestro

karlos1983

Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
Posted
3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

I'm a Spurs fan!:D

Lol Never would have guessed Ed :rofl:

delusional then :oops:

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Author
Posted
1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Lol Never would have guessed Ed :rofl:

delusional then :oops:

Disappointment is my middle name!:shok:

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Dorsetbred Maestro

Dorsetbred

Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, karlos1983 said:

I get where you are coming from NK, but my opinion reading between the lines, listening to the updates from Ian, seeing the models all pretty much agree on height rises and trough disruption in the Atlantic, says to me that this time confidence is high. Will it deliver for us? I'm not sure about that, but I'm certain some of our region will benefit and all of us will feel this cold spell.

maybe it's not an opinion, but a considered response to all the information available, beit models, pros comments etc and a bit of gut feel.

 

Looking at the temps for mid week the suggestion is for 7C during the day, that's not cold, by any means. With those sort of day time temps, it'll even feel like warm rain.

Edited by Dorsetbred
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