SW & CS England Regional Weather Discussion

[Frosty hollows]

Warning for snow in my area. I kid you not! 

[Mapantz]

At the very least, its nice to be within a shout, even if it doesn't produce the goods for the South coast, as an example. 'A' chance is better than no chance at all. A very good chance the further inland you are, though. 

Edited January 10, 2017 by Mapantz

[khodds]

If they (METO) are uncertain then I don't think it's going to happen

[Mapantz]

Also worth noting, a chance of thunder mixed in with showers that affect parts of our region on Thursday.

[Frosty hollows]

8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

At the very least, its nice to be within a shout, even if it doesn't produce the goods for the South coast, as an example. 'A' chance is better than no chance at all. A very good chance the further inland you are, though. 

The met office matrix thingy says it's unlikely the rain will turn to snow. I just think the possibility of a dusting of snow doesn't really warrant a warning. I think some of the forecasters may have learned their ramping up skills on the MAD thread!

[MidnightSnow]

I think it's going to be too marginal on Thursday.. but there's a risk of more showers on Friday that would fall as snow. 

[Zephyr]

EURO4 is starting to come in to range over the next few runs even this will chop and change I expect until down to about t0z 

 

[Nights King]

5 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

I think it's going to be too marginal on Thursday.. but there's a risk of more showers on Friday that would fall as snow. 

I think that feature is our best hope and chance of something, those showers will do nothing away from Exmoor and Dartmoor the occasional 3 min light flurry making it past wales maybe.

Meto highlight that risk too by putting a warning up.. I dont see any warning for fridays showers. 

Edited January 10, 2017 by Nights King

[lettice]

Sleet for mid afternoon showing here on Thursday from Met office now. Was snow and sleet from 12-6pm when looked at Met office site early hours of this morning.
Still lamppost watching is the best of fun.

Saw this yesterday on Gav'sWeatherVids podcast;

Edited January 10, 2017 by lettice

[Nights King]

52 minutes ago, Nights King said:

Yesterday you had a warning.. 

Don't worry it will all change again by wednesday lunchtime.

There you go your other warning is back 

[khodds]

I'm preferring the warning and meto app forecast at the moment because it's an advisory and sas its marginal.

this means snowmageddon.

reverse psychology.... will it work?

 

[Bristawl Si]

1 hour ago, Nights King said:

game on. Will it be our first failed warning for snow of the season.. 

The BBC weather forecast just now forecasts heavy rain for Thurs. Friday dry.

[ARTDEMOLE]

23 hours ago, Andy Bown said:

Literally watered down!

Hope it is Frozen......

Or Flaky....

[Bazray]

.

[Dorsetbred]

9 minutes ago, Bazray said:

.

That looks more like a KKK head dress than a weather warning..

[Bazray]

Just now, Dorsetbred said:

That looks more like a KKK head dress than a weather warning..

Lol

[MidnightSnow]

Seems legit.

Edited January 10, 2017 by MidnightSnow

[festivalking]

45 minutes ago, Nights King said:

There you go your other warning is back 

Huzzah!

[AWD]

46 minutes ago, Bristle boy said:

The BBC weather forecast just now forecasts heavy rain for Thurs. Friday dry.

I can see nothing but sleety rain for our area as the conditions are too marginal for lowland urban areas like Bristol.

However, those like Mullender (or whatever he calls himself nowadays, lol) with some altitude on their side could make all the difference, with some snowfall distinctly possible.

Long way to go in terms of PPN distribution still anyway, with the north/south element still to be deciphered too.

Edited January 10, 2017 by AWD

[khodds]

13 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

Seems legit.

Haha! Excellent!!

[AWD]

FWIW, both the Arpege and WRF NMM models have the "wave" running through the channel, missing all but the beaches of Dorset & Hampshire;

 

If anyone is heading to Cambridgeshire over the weekend though, the 06z Arpege models some snowfall over there;

[Polar Bear]

46 minutes ago, Dorsetbred said:

That looks more like a KKK head dress than a weather warning..

Or a cockerel? ....

[Nights King]

38 minutes ago, AWD said:

I can see nothing but sleety rain for our area as the conditions are too marginal for lowland urban areas like Bristol.

However, those like Mullender (or whatever he calls himself nowadays, lol) with some altitude on their side could make all the difference, with some snowfall distinctly possible.

Long way to go in terms of PPN distribution still anyway, with the north/south element still to be deciphered too.

Mullender is fine 

I could change it back now I don't work for company that monitor social media  but I like Nk also.

I could be in a good position if it makes it past the south coast!? 

 

[Dorsetbred]

5 minutes ago, Nights King said:

 

I could be in a good position if it makes it past the south coast!? 

 

If the chance happens, we aint sharin' nuffin...

[khodds]

This weather watching is really interfering with my work!! Can't wait til home time!!