North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[karyo]

1 minute ago, Day 10 said:

I don't know anymore, I've viewed that many charts today my eyes hurt lol.

It'll prob correct south last minute and hit the Midlands, they deserve an event they haven't had one for ages have they?

haha I know what you mean about the various models. 

[Deep Snow please]

19 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

I don't know anymore, I've viewed that many charts today my eyes hurt lol.

It'll prob correct south last minute and hit the Midlands, they deserve an event they haven't had one for ages have they?

Don't even joke about that until it gets anywhere near us....

[damianslaw]

4 hours ago, Barmada_Casten said:

Personally living in Cumbria (south lakes) I can tell you we won't. Been here so many times before we will either miss out completely or get a minuscule amount to everyone else. Past experience has taught me to expect to be let down. 

No these type of set ups do deliver the goods to south cumbria, frontal systems moving in from the west into cold air, if conditions are right, can bring the heaviest snowfalls to these parts. Better still if the front stalls and pivots, many many times. Last time we had such an event was 16 Jan 2016. Places near the coast tend to see more marginal conditions though and much of the coastal part of south cumbria is low ground, but you don't need to venture to far to the north and the snow can be decent. We shall see, there is every chance the front may slow down somewhat and the colder air dig its heels a bit more, meaning less chance of it turning quickly to sleet or rain. 

[Oakwell]

Seen some snow this afternoon, fleetingly, hope for bit more tonight

[Chris.R]

 Down to 3.7°C now, a good sign as I say. A nice head start before the wind backs. 

[iand61]

Came home from dry in Bury to settled snow in Bacup.

only about a cm but it’s freezing nicely now so hopefully will give a nice base for the main course tomorrow morning. 

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Can see ppn band just off ireland now. Its 3hrs early

[Mokidugway]

Snow accumulations AROME 

1.  in feet 

Edited December 28, 2017 by Mokidugway

[itsnowjoke]

Just now, Mokidugway said:

Snow accumulations AROME 

Think I'm in the area where there's a gap lol

[Weather-history]

Manchester Airport latest TAF suggesting sleet in showers after the main belt has moved through.

[itsnowjoke]

1 minute ago, Weather-history said:

Manchester Airport latest TAF suggesting sleet in showers after the main belt has moved through.

To melt it all 

[Spah1]

yyyyyeeeeesssss❄️❄️❄️❄️

nnnnnnoooooooo???

[northwestsnow]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

yyyyyeeeeesssss❄️❄️❄️❄️

nnnnnnoooooooo???

Apps are a freakin joke.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Starting to think there will be a weak rain/snow shadow over me

[Darren Bown]

Down to 2.5c was forecasted 3-4c for this time.

[SP1986]

15 minutes ago, Stratocumulus perlucidus said:

Can see ppn band just off ireland now. Its 3hrs early

I think the GFS is priming it's victory teeth. 

[Winter Hill]

Drove through Bolton tonight to snow on the Ground. Got to Horwich and nowt here. 

Bolton in Amber warning, Horwich ain't..

[northwestsnow]

11 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

Down to 2.5c was forecasted 3-4c for this time.

Thats good news!!

[Darren Bown]

4 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Thats good news!!

My non digital thermometer is saying 0c, so either way it seems a little colder than forecast. I was a bit worried when it reached 7c around 4 hours ago. These clear skies need to hold on for as long as possible to let the temps drop as much as possible.

Edited December 28, 2017 by Darren Bown

[Chris.R]

16 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

Down to 2.5c was forecasted 3-4c for this time.

 Yes, models over estimating  influence of Irish sea when winds are light. 

[Darren Bown]

1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

 Yes, models over estimating  influence of Irish sea when winds are light. 

Fingers crossed. It’s the first positive thing for snow from this pre event!

 

2.2c now so its dropping quite quickly

Edited December 28, 2017 by Darren Bown

[SP1986]

3 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

 Yes, models over estimating  influence of Irish sea when winds are light. 

I see your point, however.. and my experience suggests it is often cold to start with on clear nights, but it gradually becoming warmer through the night. But then that could be the issue of living on the top of a hill rather than anything else.

[Chris.R]

9 minutes ago, Darren Bown said:

Fingers crossed. It’s the first positive thing for snow from this pre event!

 

2.2c now so its dropping quite quickly

Tbh I foresaw this happening.

Still 3.7°C here but when you have light winds you only need a slight distance from the coast to lose the influence of the sea. The lighter the winds, the less distance from the coast you need.

 

irrelevant later on as winds back off-shore anyway. 

Edited December 28, 2017 by Chris.R

[shadowfax]

-1oC on my weather station and the car. Sheet Ice everywhere following a brief snow shower which gave a covering. 

[itsnowjoke]

Well I don't know what temperature it is but the dreaded  onsie might have to make an appearance 

Edited December 28, 2017 by itsnowjoke