North West England Regional Weather Discussion - 09/12/2017 Onwards

[Mokidugway]

Wind has changed no sea influences  for now

 

[carl1980]

-0.2c just got home from the theatre Royal, icy on untreated pavements

[iand61]

1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

I feel you are in a prime slot ian- esp with that altitude- possibly a good 10cm for you

Hope so but looking at the speed that the front is forecast to pass through, it’s gonna take some seriously heavy snow to give the totals the Met O are going for.

just a thought to anyone with more knowledge than me, what’s the chance of any sort of slowing or stalling taking place or is it just going to race through into Yorkshire.

[Mokidugway]

Just now, carl1980 said:

-0.2c just got home from the theatre Royal, icy on untreated pavements

Are you a thespian  ??

[Joe Bloggs]

I’m not sure if anyone has posted this yet, but this is the 12z arpege - soon to be updated. 

Looks good for many in the NW. only really Manchester that misses out - presumably the model is factoring a UHI effect http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpegeuk-42-20-0.png?28-17

[northwestsnow]

Just now, iand61 said:

Hope so but looking at the speed that the front is forecast to pass through, it’s gonna take some seriously heavy snow to give the totals the Met O are going for.

just a thought to anyone with more knowledge than me, what’s the chance of any sort of slowing or stalling taking place or is it just going to race through into Yorkshire.

I may be wrong, but im thinking the meto think the front will slow down as it approaches the pennines- iv'e seen precip pep up massively when it approaches this area (admittedly that is almost entirely when its rain)but i imagine the same will apply- cotton mills were built in this area for one reason- its very damp!

Bit disappointed the front looks like hitting around 4am- i do like to see falling snow - was hoping it would hit around 7am but looks like i will have to set the alarm for 6 now...im certainly not doing an all nighter!!

[Chris.R]

1.7°C dp 0.4°C. I can smell burning sugar or tost out of the window lol

[Day 10]

3 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Are you a thespian  ??

He's thinking of a dramatic answer

[Had Worse]

Just now, Chris.R said:

1.7°C dp 0.4°C. I can smell burning sugar or tost out of the window lol

Tht will be the toffees

[Mokidugway]

4 minutes ago, Day 10 said:

He's thinking of a dramatic answer

Got to make the most of it as no point being on NW When you're 8000 miles away ,lol

[karyo]

11 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

I’m not sure if anyone has posted this yet, but this is the 12z arpege - soon to be updated. 

Looks good for many in the NW. only really Manchester that misses out - presumably the model is factoring a UHI effect http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpegeuk-42-20-0.png?28-17

The 18z Aprege has just rain for the Greater Manchester area and also for places to the west. This is quite a downgrade from earlier output.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php 

Edited December 28, 2017 by karyo

[Joe Bloggs]

7 minutes ago, karyo said:

The 18z Aprege has just rain for the Greater Manchester area and also for places to the west. This is quite a downgrade from earlier output.

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php 

Yep this chart shows it quite well too. http://modeles7.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege/arpege-42-13-0.png?28-23

Still, not long to wait now. 

At this stage it’s best to stick to the radar and look at your dewpoints. I strongly suspect it’ll be a full rain event for us, maybe some initial sleet. 

Edited December 28, 2017 by Joe Bloggs

[carl1980]

16 minutes ago, Mokidugway said:

Are you a thespian  ??

No lol,took the kids to see snow white,had fake snow falling in the theatre, probably the only snow I'll see around here

[Day 10]

Looks like rain here 7am or it may have even blown through by then judging by the latest TV forecast.

[Had Worse]

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=1&map=330

+20 hours might explain where the quick totals are sourced from.

[BlackburnChris]

8 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/arpege.php?ech=3&mode=1&map=330

+20 hours might explain where the quick totals are sourced from.

 

If only NMM was correct . 

[Chris.R]

1.3°C, falling even quicker. Need to get some sleep now if I’m getting up at 4 AM. 

[Spah1]

Well just took 10 mins to read through the 8 pages. 

Must be some sleet on the way 

alarm set for 5am. 

Kids walking boots and warm clothing lined up in the hallway. 

Peel Tower it is then. 

 

[Spah1]

It’s so annoying not having people’s Location in the username info. 

[Had Worse]

Just now, Spah1 said:

Well just took 10 mins to read through the 8 pages. 

Must be some sleet on the way 

alarm set for 5am. 

Kids walking boots and warm clothing lined up in the hallway. 

Peel Tower it is then. 

 

Ice axe and crampons

[Mokidugway]

4 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Ice axe and crampons

Or pumps and buckets lol..

[Spah1]

All said and done I keep coming back to this. 

They have the best info and people studying it. 

A massive upgrade from yesterday for Chorley. 

15 min drive to East Lancs if it’s naff here. 

[Allseasons-Si]

8 minutes ago, Had Worse said:

Ice axe and crampons

Flip flops

[Day 10]

3 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

All said and done I keep coming back to this. 

They have the best info and people studying it. 

A massive upgrade from yesterday for Chorley. 

15 min drive to East Lancs if it’s naff here. 

The latest local itv weather has it clearing here by 6am now.

[BlackburnChris]

5 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

All said and done I keep coming back to this. 

They have the best info and people studying it. 

A massive upgrade from yesterday for Chorley. 

15 min drive to East Lancs if it’s naff here. 

Yes nice to see Blackburn and Darwen in the amber area .