Novel Coronavirus – China

[Guest Delete Me]

Just now, Donegal said:

The worrying thing is I think the USA will take a long time to get this under control because of how laxed they are and with travel continue to spread it around the globe. 2 months down the line every country in the world bans us citizens from entering. Now wouldn't that be ironic. And Mexico closes the border haha

Mexico closing the border would be the ultimate jaffa cakes take

[Skullzrulerz]

3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

New cases have fallen in Italy by 820 compared to the same update yesterday. Deaths have increased by 71.

Lombardy report is not been released yet ?

[northwestsnow]

12 minutes ago, Paul Faulkner said:

631 deaths in Italy now YIKES!

So sad.

And the total number of deaths is really climbing.

[The PIT]

Still no cases in Sunny Sheffield amazing considering how many overseas students are here.

[northwestsnow]

10 minutes ago, Paul Faulkner said:

USA going BYE BYE! 

Thats really scary.

A lot of people are going to die, loved ones ...

 

[Skullzrulerz]

Sadly the report is not yet completed

Full report should be in around 6pm 

 

[Guest Delete Me]

Slovenia has closed its border with Italy now and Norway has announced it has 304 cases with 8 contracting the virus from unknown origins.

[Ryukai]

Personally, I'm thanking our lucky stars that we haven't had a major natural disaster during all this.  Can barely imagine the chaos if a major earthquake occurred in a highly populated area of a country with a high infection rate ><  Evacuation centers/camps would become insane spreading grounds, along with the possible collapse of the local health centers/hospitals etc, it would truly be an unmitigated disaster like something from a disaster movie/novel.

[nick sussex]

1 minute ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Sadly the report is not yet completed

Full report should be in around 6pm 

 

You mean it could be worse than that ! Good grief . 

[feb1991blizzard]

2 minutes ago, Paul Faulkner said:

Slovenia has closed its border with Italy now and Norway has announced it has 304 cases with 8 contracting the virus from unknown origins.

Should have done it a while back, or Italy should have been pro-active and done it for them.

[northwestsnow]

The US is going to turn into a real s*** show in the coming days ....

 

[Bristawl Si]

Just now, nick sussex said:

You mean it could be worse than that ! Good grief . 

Grim. Very grim. Is Italy same as the likes of Spain re funerals? You know, 2 days after death is normally the funeral? I expect family and friends will be banned as well. Sad times.

[swebby]

11 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Cases was 9172 and 463. So a reduction in cases compared to few days but an uptick in deaths.

Deaths are a backward looking measure, there will be a lag relative to new cases, neither of which make for reassuring reading in regards to a CFR.

However, flip side is the sheer number of cases in the RoW linked to Italy suggests their case numbers might be way off.

[Skullzrulerz]

Just now, nick sussex said:

You mean it could be worse than that ! Good grief . 

Unfortunately yes..

Government Agency will be doing a daily update at 6pm (GMT) that should update all of the inflected areas 

So could be that some reports are incomplete

[Ryukai]

3 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Sadly the report is not yet completed

Full report should be in around 6pm 

 

That's roughly 7 deaths an hour, or roughly 1 death just under every 9 mins in the last 24 hours with the current figures.  

[nick sussex]

1 minute ago, Bristle boy said:

Grim. Very grim. Is Italy same as the likes of Spain re funerals? You know, 2 days after death is normally the funeral? I expect family and friends will be banned as well. Sad times.

Probably . It’s a Catholic thing and Greek Orthodox is similar which I have experience of .

Its turning into a catastrophe in Italy , really sad situation there .

[Snowy L]

Rate of increase is starting to slow at least, but that mortality rate is ridiculous. Worse than overwhelmed Wuhan, worse than third world sanction-hit Iran, nine times deadlier than South Korea. Something is going very wrong I hope it's just thousands of mild cases being missed.

[Summer Sun]

 

3 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

Unfortunately yes..

Government Agency will be doing a daily update at 6pm (GMT) that should update all of the inflected areas 

So could be that some reports are incomplete

Italy data looks to be complete

Quote

 

In Italy, since the beginning of the Coronavirus epidemic, 10,149 people have contracted the Sars-CoV-2 virus, 529 more than on Monday. Of these, 631 died (+ 168) and 1,004 were healed. Currently there are 8,514 positive subjects (the bill rises to 10,149 - as mentioned above - if there are also dead and healed in the calculation): 619 more than yesterday.

There are 5,038 hospitalized patients with symptoms; 877 are in intensive care, while 2,599 are in fiduciary home isolation.

The data Region by Region

Here is the number of people infected (total) in the individual regions:

• Lombardy 5791 (+322)
• Emilia-Romagna 1533 (+206)
• Veneto 856 (+74)
• Piedmont 453
• Marche 394 (+51)
• Liguria 141 (+31)
• Campania 127 (+ 19)
• Tuscany 264 (+42)
• Sicily 62 (+1)
• Lazio 116 (+15)
• Friuli-Venezia Giulia 116 (+36)
• Abruzzo 38 (+13)
• Puglia 59 (+10)
• Umbria 37 (+2)
• Bolzano 38 (-)
• Calabria 13 (+2)
• Sardinia 20 (+8)
• Valle D'Aosta 17 (+6)
• Trento 52 (+10)
• Molise 15 (-)
• Basilicata 7 (+1)

 

 

https://www.corriere.it/salute/malattie_infettive/20_marzo_10/coronavirus-italia-10149-casi-631-morti-bollettino-10-marzo-008ff264-62e3-11ea-a693-c7191bf8b498.shtml?cmpid=tbd_6be163c8Io&refresh_ce-cp

[northwestsnow]

1 minute ago, nick sussex said:

Probably . It’s a Catholic thing and Greek Orthodox is similar which I have experience of .

Its turning into a catastrophe in Italy , really sad situation there .

I suspect the Italians had absolutely no choice but to take this action.

Once you start seeing clusters there is only one way its going.

 

[nick sussex]

I wish we’d get clear figures on community transmission v direct links .

Thats the key ratio . Direct links aren’t the biggest concern for governments, the community transmission is what causes the big increase in cases and that’s what happened in northern Italy .

[swebby]

9 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Still no cases in Sunny Sheffield amazing considering how many overseas students are here.

Amazing?

Plenty of foreign students here in Exeter but no cases, yet Devon is one of the leading counties for cases - cos? UK holiday makers coming back from ski trips over half term?  Make of that what you will.

[swebby]

15 minutes ago, Ryukai said:

Personally, I'm thanking our lucky stars that we haven't had a major natural disaster during all this.  Can barely imagine the chaos if a major earthquake occurred in a highly populated area of a country with a high infection rate ><  Evacuation centers/camps would become insane spreading grounds, along with the possible collapse of the local health centers/hospitals etc, it would truly be an unmitigated disaster like something from a disaster movie/novel.

I think the Turkey/Greece/Syria situation fits your description bar the "natural" bit.

[Summer Sun]

60 to 70% of Germany will be infected

 

[feb1991blizzard]

1 minute ago, swebby said:

I think the Turkey/Greece/Syria situation fits your description bar the "natural" bit.

What about if it spreads to Kenya and Ethiopia, the death toll will end up making the holocaust look tame.

[nick sussex]

1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

60 to 70% of Germany will be infected

 

Is that over the longer term in several waves . Surely she can’t mean from the current spread .