North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards

[Guest]

22 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

Well the UKMO has the low quite a bit further north, honestly the snow risk is really secondary and low risk for our region, its the rain we need to watch out for. Might not rain all the time but it will likely to be heavy and persistent. 

I think it's fair to say the Atlantic is back and the SSW will not deliver anything too cold for the UK. 

 

I agree the rain is the one to watch at the moment. Things will change regarding snow potential later Wednesday into Thursday, but the rain is now set in

The SSW/Atlantic bit is premature though, given the models general 'lack of a clue' in FI. I do know some like to peddle the Atlantic/zonal train though  

[Weather-history]

Bonkers GFS 12z ensemble gives just over 32cm of snow

 

 

[cheshire snow]

4 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

The way I see it is like this:

If you’re on high ground above 150 m get excited now because you’re going to get battered.
If you live below this but East of M6 get excited now because you’re going to get slightly battered Thursday – Friday then heavily battered.

West of M6 could get battered Wednesday night then it’s boring until Friday night then could get slightly battered.

if you live in the south, go and throw toys in the mad thread.

Let's hope for no more corrections south.

C.S

[frosty ground]

27 minutes ago, Geordiesnow said:

Well the UKMO has the low quite a bit further north, honestly the snow risk is really secondary and low risk for our region, its the rain we need to watch out for. Might not rain all the time but it will likely to be heavy and persistent. 

I think it's fair to say the Atlantic is back and the SSW will not deliver anything too cold for the UK. 

 

Not sure its fair to say that but we will soon see.

[A Face like Thunder]

3 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

Do I say it’s like this. If you’re on high ground above 150 m get excited now because you’re going to get battered. If you live below this but East of M6 get excited now because you’re going to get slightly battered Thursday – Friday then heavily battered.

West of M6 could get battered Wednesday night then it’s boring until Friday night then could get slightly battered.

if you live in the south, go and throw toys in the mad thread.

Is this what we're going to get from Chris Fawkes or Ben Rich this evening? Or (more likely) Owain Wyn Evans on the NW News? I thought it was only Tomasz Shafernaker who could give us a forecast like this! Love it!

[Rain Lady]

Weird thick low black wall of cloud approaching from SSW.   Fells lost in cloud.

Max today 6.0C .  Now 5.7C.  Pressure falling.

This afternoon chain of geese flew over going west.  White stoat very busy catching mice.   Maybe they know something.

 

 

[frosty ground]

2 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Bonkers GFS 12z ensemble gives just over 32cm of snow

 

 

Short of a meter over the time frame in Oldham

[cheshire snow]

13 minutes ago, Chris.R said:

The way I see it is like this:

If you’re on high ground above 150 m get excited now because you’re going to get battered.
If you live below 150 m but East of M6 get excited now because you’re going to get slightly battered Thursday – Friday then heavily battered.

if you live West of M6 get cautiously excited because you could get battered Wednesday night then it’s boring until Friday night then could get slightly battered.

if you live in the south, go and throw toys in the mad thread.

you will be known as sir Chris is this verifies after the storm mame

C.S

Edit

Check your PM guys update on @Kasim Awan

[severe snowstorm]

12 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:

Is this what we're going to get from Chris Fawkes or Ben Rich this evening? Or (more likely) Owain Wyn Evans on the NW News? I thought it was only Tomasz Shafernaker who could give us a forecast like this! Love it!

Where is Rob McElwee when you need him! 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

20 minutes ago, A Face like Thunder said:

Is this what we're going to get from Chris Fawkes or Ben Rich this evening? Or (more likely) Owain Wyn Evans on the NW News? I thought it was only Tomasz Shafernaker who could give us a forecast like this! Love it!

not heard of Eno Equator for a bit

[itsnowjoke]

27 minutes ago, ItIsGee said:

i love your forecasting techniques!

Me too

[itsnowjoke]

22 minutes ago, Rain Lady said:

Weird thick low black wall of cloud approaching from SSW.   Fells lost in cloud.

Max today 6.0C .  Now 5.7C.  Pressure falling.

This afternoon chain of geese flew over going west.  White stoat very busy catching mice.   Maybe they know something.

 

 

I saw a robin and two wag tails does that count 

I’m guessing you being the rain lady just go outside and do an anti rain dance

[Had Worse]

29 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

That ensemble P07 drops just under a meter of snow 

I worked that out yesterday at 960mm

[itsnowjoke]

Anybody heard anything about Day10 ?

[Thunder Snow]

Hoping to see some snow wed night into Thursday, but before then alot of rain

[WillinGlossop]

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

Anybody heard anything about Day10 ?

What’s happened to Day10? 

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

Anybody heard anything about Day10 ?

I haven’t I meant to message him, hope he’s alright and recovering.

[itsnowjoke]

1 minute ago, WillinGlossop said:

What’s happened to Day10? 

He has that horrible virus

[WillinGlossop]

Just now, itsnowjoke said:

He has that horrible virus

Oh ouch hope they and family are ok  

[itsnowjoke]

1 minute ago, Chris.R said:

I haven’t I meant to message him, hope he’s alright and recovering.

I did message him when he last posted but haven’t had a reply

[Chris.R]

@cheshire snow Can I also have the PM about K A?

Edited January 18, 2021 by Chris.R

[itsnowjoke]

Just now, WillinGlossop said:

Oh ouch hope they and family are ok  

I think his wife has it too according to his post 

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

I did message him when he last posted but haven’t had a reply

 

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

I did message him when he last posted but haven’t had a reply

[Slidergate '17]

16 minutes ago, Dexter said:

Where is Rob McElwee when you need him! 

Rob McElwee was amazing. Francis Wilson on sky also made me chuckle, his delivery was sublime at times.

[Chris.R]

1 minute ago, itsnowjoke said:

I think his wife has it too according to his post 

Yep