Ireland Regional Weather Discussion

[gman144]

Something close to brewing for valentines, anyone with more weather knowledge shine a little light? I know snow here hard to predict a day or 2 ahead never mind 2 weeks ish.

[mountain shadow]

No posts for nearly three weeks! Me thinks we will be getting a bit busier soon.

The SSW and MJO aligning to hopefully give a bitter spell early March.

[ronan]

I am going to Iceland for 10 days at the start of March. Its looking a bit chilly. Lol

 

 

 

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

On 20/02/2023 at 10:45, mountain shadow said:

No posts for nearly three weeks! Me thinks we will be getting a bit busier soon.

The SSW and MJO aligning to hopefully give a bitter spell early March.

Hopefully if it comes it doesn't go much later into March or April, not a fan of cold springs

[mountain shadow]

2 hours ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Hopefully if it comes it doesn't go much later into March or April, not a fan of cold springs

Agreed, the first couple of weeks of March is about my limit, but this would do nicely!

[Bricriu]

I hope we can get some snow next week. 

[mountain shadow]

22 hours ago, Bricriu said:

I hope we can get some snow next week. 

It's looking similar to December at the moment, with very little snow this side of the Irish Sea.

 

[Bricriu]

13 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

It's looking similar to December at the moment, with very little snow this side of the Irish Sea.

 

I thought the ECM would deliver some to us, but even on the ECM England gets much more. It is looking like a short - lived cold spell anyway. Maybe we will get another crack at it after mid month. 

Edited March 1, 2023 by Bricriu

[mountain shadow]

7 hours ago, Bricriu said:

I thought the ECM would deliver some to us, but even on the ECM England gets much more. It is looking like a short - lived cold spell anyway. Maybe we will get another crack at it after mid month. 

Looks very very poor for Ireland.  Cold and dry mostly.  

[gman144]

Wee touch next week would be nice but spring is in the air, one last hurrah and bring on the heat please. Cheltenham is coming a don’t want that ruined…

[mountain shadow]

This does not look promising...

[Bricriu]

The GFS model that has some snow about next week. The ECM looks largely dry but we do get a snow to rain event. I hope that would change to an all snow event if the milder air is kept further south, but it's fine margins as always. Also if we get snow at night it should stick. We need lots of cloud cover too during the day. It's just a great pity this was not happening 4 weeks ago so we would not have to worry about melting snow. 

[mountain shadow]

19 minutes ago, Bricriu said:

The GFS model that has some snow about next week. The ECM looks largely dry but we do get a snow to rain event. I hope that would change to an all snow event if the milder air is kept further south, but it's fine margins as always. Also if we get snow at night it should stick. We need lots of cloud cover too during the day. It's just a great pity this was not happening 4 weeks ago so we would not have to worry about melting snow. 

As you say, snow much further West on the GFS..

 

[Rocheydub]

Just from my experience, precipitation charts at that distance are pretty useless, we'll know 3 days or so before hand. Fingers crossed for us all!

 

[Bricriu]

Bank that GFS run. Too bad it will all have changed by the next run. 

[Weegaz]

Interesting week coming up, kicking off tomorrow night into Tuesday with temps down as low as -5, Tuesday into Wednesday temps down to possible -7, snow forecasted and a generally chilly week 

[Weegaz]

Parts of the country could get a proper pasting based on the 18z 

[mountain shadow]

11 minutes ago, Weegaz said:

Parts of the country could get a proper pasting based on the 18z 

A GFS run 3 days ago showed us getting heavy snow Tuesday. Not to be trusted.

The Met Office forecasts look underwhelming.

[ForeverPomeroysnow]

Believe it when I see it but some suggestions of a bit of snow for most of us come Friday 

 

[mountain shadow]

3 hours ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Believe it when I see it but some suggestions of a bit of snow for most of us come Friday 

 

Yes, after the disappointments of Winter just past, until it falling outside my window, I won't believe it. The overnight GFS has continuous snow for over 48 hours!

The GFS 6z is terrible. An hour of snow later this week before turning to rain quickly.

If the 12z follow this, then we're stuffed.

The Mat Office have however given us a weather warning for snow showers. 

Edited March 6, 2023 by mountain shadow

[jello]

Looking exciting for Thursday.  Metoffice High impact warning out, low likely hood at the moment. 

[mountain shadow]

1 minute ago, jello said:

Looking exciting for Thursday.  Metoffice High impact warning out, low likely hood at the moment. 

As ever, I'm extremely cautious. 

[jello]

im trying to not get to excited, heres hoping it comes off.  

[na52]

Yea looks like somewhere is likely to get a pasting but from experience of being 10 miles the wrong side of a stalled front in these complicated set ups  I'll try and lock up my excitement until I see it out the window 

[mountain shadow]

18 minutes ago, na52 said:

Yea looks like somewhere is likely to get a pasting but from experience of being 10 miles the wrong side of a stalled front in these complicated set ups  I'll try and lock up my excitement until I see it out the window 

And don't forget the dreaded ' rain at low levels with snow over high ground '.