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Please stick to discussing the model output in this thread. For more general chat , please use the winter/cold weather/snow chat, banter, moans and ramps thread

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Posted
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters, hot summers
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
Posted

spacer.png

Finally CFS is on tracks!

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted

ICON looks good.

Need the UKMO to firm up on the Greenie ridge in the t+120 range.

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 2
Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted
8 minutes ago, mountain shadow said:

ICON looks good.

Need the UKMO to firm up on the Greenie ridge in the t+120 range.

T96 looking better, t120 this morning had the LP to our NW blow up somewhat.  T72 to t96 has it diminishing

BFTP

Posted
  • Location: Pontypool, 132m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Pontypool, 132m ASL
Posted

Cold coming a bit earlier on the GFS(P) 12z

06z - image.thumb.png.249380b604af4f26d0620fb309f7e00a.png

12z - image.thumb.png.2ebc20eec7d43c59bdc60cb99b6b0ee1.png

Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted (edited)

UKMO T120 

EF23362E-A5B3-4BFB-8E4E-B5CC0254F460.gif
 

And 144 39202C92-1F78-4C32-BCC8-0983DCAE4150.thumb.gif.455b28fcd60920a09bf74aa4e5e5f961.gif

Edited by ICE COLD
  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted

image.thumb.gif.0d37280e7a80d52f0e233a3d564d1fe1.gif
 

t144....where does that go?  I tell you what...there’s nothing to come from the west!

 

BFTP

  • Like 9
Posted
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish Plumes, Blizzards, Severe Frosts :-)
  • Location: Castle Black, the Wall, the North
Posted
2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Ukmo looks good to me at 144!

Cut off nicely and ridge about to head up

UN144-21 (13).gif

Good as in ..not mild..I’ll drink too that..oops not updated yet!?

9B7FDECA-5D69-4D7B-B90B-727118135D91.thumb.png.daf24aaac3a8f1c152dfa4ebbf25a3dc.png

  • Like 6
Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted (edited)

06z at t156


image.thumb.png.00a2c3546da08641b780d611a551897e.png
 

12z at t150

image.thumb.png.feddac308643484129a8b4731c276c7b.png

 

I know which one I would prefer to be right

 

BFTP

 

 

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST
  • Like 5
Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted
2 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

image.thumb.png.00a2c3546da08641b780d611a551897e.png
 

 

 

why are you showing the 6z run??

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted

T168 is so much better than the 6z 

0BC2CFD0-5964-4D19-AFB2-E6A26295D5A3.png

  • Like 4
Posted
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Location: STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
Posted

GFS shows front stalking and turning to Snow on Friday. Not as much as ECM as the front fizzles in situ...

22C7CAA0-CD1C-4E4B-B701-AD6076F49B60.png

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
Posted
1 minute ago, Penicuikblizzard said:

To compare the two runs

the 2nd run wasnt showing for some reason

Posted
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winters, hot summers
  • Location: 50/50 Greece/Germany
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, fromey said:

why are you showing the 6z run??

This I don't understand, the comparison off "middle" and "full" runs is just...

GFS data usage

 

spacer.png

 

Source: https://www.metcheck.com/WEATHER/gfs_gdas_observation_amount_quality.asp

 

Edited by Vikos
Posted
  • Location: Near Gouda, Holland. 6m Below Sea Level.
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, snow, ice. Very hot or very cold.
  • Location: Near Gouda, Holland. 6m Below Sea Level.
Posted

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(134m asl)
Posted

Here we go...

a lot better than the 06z run.

gfsnh-0-180.thumb.png.10699448af906efa36329a22b0738091.pnggfsnh-0-186.thumb.png.fab367ce210df27ad498d7424d30c045.png

  • Like 6
Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Location: Coventry
Posted

Para has to ruin it .Blows up the low and doesn't cut it off. Hopefully the ridge behind can still get up to Greenland.

Well It wouldn't be the UK if all the models were in agreement would it.

gfsnh-0-144 (11).png

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Hertfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW AND FREEZING TEMPS
  • Location: Hertfordshire
Posted
Just now, Cold Winter Night said:

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

Getting there a lot quicker lol . 
 

T186

D9AA7606-408D-4B24-993B-726C6CC28E86.png

  • Like 3
Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
Posted
1 minute ago, Cold Winter Night said:

GFS speeding up quite a bit.

At +168h already solidly ridging into Greenland.

 

GFS-168 10jan12.png

It’s heading for a Boom

 

BFTP

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
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