Midlands Regional Weather Discussion

[stripeyfox]

Out of our area, but the Lakes has got a right pelting.

Lots of people stranded. Schools and Parish halls open in Ambleside and Hawkshead for emergency shelters (presume day trippers unable to get home due to bad road conditions)

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

ECM looks a right mess for Monday... Somewhere is going to get pelted, but who knows where 

Flash, Buxton, Biddulph etc

Just now, stripeyfox said:

Out of our area, but the Lakes has got a right pelting.

Lots of people stranded. Schools and Parish halls open in Ambleside and Hawkshead for emergency shelters (presume day trippers unable to get home due to bad road conditions)

 

perfect setup for them, WSW'ly, amazed they don't get pelted most days at higher elevations at least

[The Tall Weatherman]

4 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

ECM looks a right mess for Monday... Somewhere is going to get pelted, but who knows where 

Only a light 42cm dusting is expected.

[MattStoke]

1 minute ago, The Tall Weatherman said:

Only a light 42cm dusting is expected.

Meh. That blob needs to shift 50 miles north but the cold further south

[sheikhy]

7 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

ECM looks a right mess for Monday... Somewhere is going to get pelted, but who knows where 

Its brilliant man!!low is further south and brings back the central north mids in the game!!!its a pretty big shift south and less deep!thats ukmo icon and ecm now!!

[Don]

Looks rather pants for my location tonight and tomorrow now.  Was hoping for at least a dusting, but Met Office showing cold rain only!

[Don]

1 hour ago, Dancerwithwings said:

The latest UKMO HD keeps the faith

Those charts look pretty ok for me, but their actual forecast has downgraded from earlier?

[I remember Atlantic 252]

5 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Its brilliant man!!low is further south and brings back the central north mids in the game!!!its a pretty big shift south and less deep!thats ukmo icon and ecm now!!

GFS though is pants, BBC too

[MattStoke]

UKV catches onto tonight’s snow risk at the last minute.

[Polar Maritime]

Just let the dog out and it's snowing with a fresh this covering already 

[Battleground Snow]

7 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

UKV catches onto tonight’s snow risk at the last minute.

I don't like bringing it up in the mod thread because the same couple of people have a go and get defensive,  but the ukv is really poor with precipitation amounts, it's good at temperatures values that's about it.

Edited December 2, 2023 by Battleground Snow

[MattStoke]

1 minute ago, Battleground Snow said:

I don't like bringing it up in the mod thread because the same couple of people have a go and get defensive,  but the ukv is really poor with prescription amounts, it's good at temperatures values that's about it.

It’s the only model that normally underestimates snow. Many times it’s shown me seeing nothing and I’ve got pasted.

[LeeKay/]

The fog was quite impressive in the early hours of this morning, the dencity of the air made things so silent, quite hard to explain but i would say, simalar to how conditions sound when its snowing - weird.

Anyway, its snow watch time !

[Don]

I think perhaps I'm slightly too far west for snow?

[CoventryWeather]

Monday is moving south pretty much each day - soon most of the mids will be under snow most of the day. Sure I'll enjoy that at college for an hour! 

But tonight is interesting nonetheless. Feel I might be too far south but let's see. 

Edited December 2, 2023 by CoventryWeather

[matty40s]

21 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

Its brilliant man!!low is further south 

Dont bring Barry Manilow into this please....

18 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

GFS though is pants, BBC too

BBC is probably using a week ago models, it's the weekend staff.

[LeeKay/]

Just having a wonder about on 'Windy' ECMWF showing this for midnight, seems to follow the trends on the above snowfall areas that many of you have posted, and a big thanks for that.

 

Edited December 2, 2023 by LeeKay/
It would help if i added the image. OK ive been up from 4am this morning

[Dancerwithwings]

17 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

UKV catches onto tonight’s snow risk at the last minute.

This is what I keep on mentioning that it’ll peep up, and looking the radar that’s starting to happen

[GokouD]

Had the tiniest of dustings here, looks like most of the good stuff is further into North Shropshire. Hopefully this main band shows up later. 

[chris pawsey]

Where do you think the snow / sleet / freezing rain line will be? I'm pretty much inbetween yellow warnings. I'm hoping we'll see snow in the morning, a dusting at the very least!

[LeeKay/]

My bad, the post by me ive added the image just a fyi.

Still going to be up for a long nighter, like when the first snowflakes start falling, be it lampost a bin, car, you know.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, chris pawsey said:

Where do you think the snow / sleet / freezing rain line will be? I'm pretty much inbetween yellow warnings. I'm hoping we'll see snow in the morning, a dusting at the very least!

elevation the key, probably approx 200m for decent snow, 150m or less dusting likely

[LeeKay/]

@Dancerwithwings Yes the pep up is now starting to happen. Good call.

 

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Yes its forecast to pep up now and pep up as it moves in land, anywhere from m4 north according to BBC but to be honest its a now cast situation, some may well be surprised tonight. Light winds and evaporative cooling can come to to play during marginal situations although today's temps there really shouldn't be anything marginal about it the wet bulb temp tonight is the tricky one.

All in all il probably be getting sent loads of pics from my bro @mark in brum and il have a sleet fest in wellesbourne Warwickshire but im hoping we all do well out of it

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, LeeKay/ said:

@Dancerwithwings Yes the pep up is now starting to happen. Good call.

 

you had any rain? I'm sure I have