Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards

[Lightfox]

Gutted so far lightning too far west to see but i did hear thunder but still nothing visible to the eye, I’d like to get a thunderstorm today and a decent one at that.  Especially if it’s after dark as then, at least i should see the actual bolts 

Always crosses plymouth as just rain hardly ever electrified 

[SilverWolf]

For anyone worried about the storms going just north from Devon, I wouldn’t… I’ve been keeping an eye on those as I’m working outside. They started out as a line of storms at the far tip of Cornwall, and are building up as they travel both east and north - looks like the warnings for later could be pretty accurate! 

Edited September 5, 2022 by SilverWolf

[Ashme]

It's coming

 

[Super_Uwe]

Some heavy rain in Kingsbridge, looks torrential looking out to the east and south east. No thunder or lightning though!

 

[Fiona Robertson]

TORRO has issued a tornado watch 

[OddSpot]

Prawle Point East webcam

NCI-PRAWLEPOINT.ORG.UK

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Webcam at Prawle Point South Devon

 

[Super_Uwe]

Ha! Just as I posted, a flash of lightning and a rolling boom to the east...then another boom

Reading the storm forecasts, am I correct in saying that these storms are the first part, with the second more widespread part forecast for later this evening and overnight?

Edited September 5, 2022 by Super_Uwe

[Liam Taylor]

Any thunderstorms in Doncaster today thanks  

[Iceman2606]

Strong Thunderstorms - Night Time-Lapse of 5 September 2022

 

[TQWX]

Storms heading towards Torbay just now. A decent rooftop view from this cam:

https://www.camsecure.co.uk/torquay_harbour_inner_dock.html

 

[Harry]

Looks like a repeat of yesterday evening/night across the SW approaches at the moment - just much earlier and much further west.

Curious to see how that line evolves through the evening.

[Mark Parsons]

6 minutes ago, Harry said:

Looks like a repeat of yesterday evening/night across the SW approaches at the moment - just much earlier and much further west.

Curious to see how that line evolves through the evening.

I'd say the lightning is more severe than last evening just to the west of the Channel Islands moving into Lyme Bay, if it maintains the current strike rate when it gets closer then there will be fun............

Edited September 5, 2022 by Mark Parsons

[snow raven]

12 minutes ago, Harry said:

Looks like a repeat of yesterday evening/night across the SW approaches at the moment - just much earlier and much further west.

Curious to see how that line evolves through the evening.

What do you think of our chances this evening/over night Harry?  Do you think anything will reach London/SE?

[TQWX]

Torquay looking east:

https://www.camsecure.co.uk/torquay_sea_view.html

 

[TQWX]

Just heard first thunder here.

[Slysi100]

Thunder and lightning in Dartmouth. Heavy rain

[matty40s]

I think the Dawlish cam is next in line for some action in the next half hour.....

Dawlish Coast Live Streaming Webcam

WWW.CAMSECURE.CO.UK

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Live webcam from Dawlish in Devon UK viewing the beautiful coastline. See the waves crashing in on a stormy day and the Gulls soaring high and low - some beautiful sunsets can be seen here too.

 

[WillinGlossop]

56 minutes ago, Ashme said:

It's coming

 

My mum and aunties in Ilminster, Horton & Broadway would appreciate some torrential rain ️️️️

Edited September 5, 2022 by WillinGlossop

[Supacell]

Currently just northwest of Worcester. Wondering whether I should just stay put. I'm nicely in the risk zone now.  Just need to keep track of the radar and find a good viewpoint

Edited September 5, 2022 by Supacell

[TJS1998Tom]

I can see some towers at Birmingham NEC now

[Harry]

17 minutes ago, snow raven said:

What do you think of our chances this evening/over night Harry?  Do you think anything will reach London/SE?

Honestly @snow raven I wouldn't like to guess.

There seems to be more 'potential' tonight than last night in terms of CAPE, but the models are chopping and changing as to possible coverage of storms for our area.

I would say on balance they have been fairly favourable over the past 24 hours, so I am reasonably optimistic (but not expectant).

In terms of timings for best chance, this is what the models seem to be suggesting:

UKV (12z) - 20:00 and 00:00

AROME (12z) - 00:00 - 02:00

WRF-NMM (06z) - 22:00 - 02:00

WRF-NMM (Higher Res) (06z) - 22:00 - 01:00

The most organised potential is further west it seems to me, but my motto is where pressure is falling and you have decent CAPE (tonight up at around 1,000 for a good few hours), you can get a little excited.

If I was a gambling man, I would NOT in a million years have said lightning would be as frequent or anywhere near as widespread as it ended up being last night!! As for tonight therefore, who knows!

Keep an eye on that band of storms moving NE across the SW over the coming hours is the best advice I can give and hope for some storms to develop ahead of this line.

[OddSpot]

Rumbling away on this Dawlish cam with sound. You will see Video Unavailable but just click on Watch on Youtube

https://www.youtube.com/embed/xsD21zBb73o

[matty40s]

You can hear the hail on this one!!

 

[ChannelThunder]

Nay bad at all! Direction of travel is NNE so Dorset looks best for this batch. Watching for further developments to the south and east of this line for those of us a little further east. 

Looking at how crap my photos are from last night, I'm seriously hoping for another chance tonight! 

Good luck everyone. 

[wimblettben]

5 minutes ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:

Nay bad at all! Direction of travel is NNE so Dorset looks best for this batch. Watching for further developments to the south and east of this line for those of us a little further east. 

Looking at how crap my photos are from last night, I'm seriously hoping for another chance tonight! 

Good luck everyone. 

Already looking like another fail then by the looks of it for here.

Unless another system of storms magically forms miles further west then I can see it being just another repeat of last night only more earlier.