Milhouse

I just think its important to clarify there will be a partial cool down from the dizzy heights of 30c every day that we saw last week. Tomorrow we will see the chances of 33c being reached somewhere in the London Area. Thereafter going by the GFS and taking into account the latest ECM we will see temperatures dropping back to the mid 20s with 25-27 being still being achieved over a wide area. Early indications show that this warmth will last into the first part of the weekend with hints of a mini plume on the ECM which could see the high 20s back momentarily.

Last Summer, and the summer before that...oh and the summer before that.

Not looking a bad week for us over here this week with an offshore wind. I wont mind some showers if temperatures are still fairly healthy compared to average. low to mid 20s looking likely.

If this week had occurred in the last 6 summers it would have been one of, if not the best week of the Summer. But to some its kind of after the lord mayors show with all this breakdown talk. The fact is that it will remain very warm and humid with scattered heavy thundery downpours. Still summery in my opinion. I notice on the UKMO and GFS 12z low pressue not quite so in charge next weekend as was shown on this mornings runs.

The stats speak for themselves about how good this heatwave has been for some parts. Exeter has seen 12 days over 26c. That compares to just 1 in the whole of last Summer.

Temperatures look in the mid 20s for my area throughout the coming week so not much different to the last 2 weeks. But we wont have the endless blue skies though.

Expect the unexpected for August as no one really saw this July coming.

Just past half way actually.

In the reliable time frame it looks certain that there will be a slight cool down over the weekend before temperatures rise once again into the start of next week. Next week looks like showers, some heavy and thundery, will become more widespread as the week goes on with temperatures falling from highs of 30/31c at the start of the week to the low to mid 20s to end the week. From then its too far out to assume anything but low pressure gathering to the west is shown by the ECM and GFS tonight. The GEFS mean indicates a southerly flow is favoured for next weekend with temperatures more likely to be warm than cool.

The Atlantic breaks through at T+216 with a NW/SE split and cooler for all but still warm in a southwesterly.

ECM looks very warm and thundery with some very warm nights likely with winds coming from a southerly direction. East is best closest to high pressure. I would compare the ECM to the warm spell of August 2011. Hot in places but showers breaking out.

The GEFS mean indicates that Wednesday will be the last of the very warm/hot days before temperatures fall and it turns more unsettled later in the week. From then on it looks 50/50 with some members bringing in a warm southerly and others going for a cooler low pressure outcome.

The ECM does bring low pressure in sooner than the 0z showed but it parks it to the west of the UK through the middle of next week which would keep the heat building northwards. It would mean a much greater chance of some thundery downpours but also some sunny spells in the east.

I just hope we get a nice August with any rain coming at night and temperatures coming in at at least average values. It doesnt have to be as warm as July has been (but it would be nice if it was).

Incredible spell here and it hasnt even been that warm compared to other places. I accept the conditions in the office this week were testing to say the least but out and about outside its been fantastic.

24.2c max but the low cloud has moved in and it's down to 18.6c. I hope we can see some sunshine next week despite temperatures not much over 20c

Indeed, some stormy activity looks quite likely within the next 10 days. The SW would be first to witness this. Dry for all over the weekend though.

I recall a few weeks ago making similarities with 1976 which turned out to be rather foolish at the time as the arrival of the warmth was put back and downgraded. There are similarities showing up for next week however looking at the ECM. .

Looking at the charts i dont see the east coast fairing particularly well with cooler temperatures and more cloud likely to persist into next week. In the 1976 heatwave records for Spurn Point 40 miles north along the coast from you have temperatures of 20/21c with a similar looking wind off the sea. Which is still warm however.

Monday next week looking particularly hot and humid with very light winds and upper temperatures around 15c.

Vast swathes? high teens?

The first day in a long time when it fely truly hot. Between Hull and Beverley the car thermometer read 30c although it tends to read 1-2c too high.

Warmest day of the current spell at 26.5c

The BBC forecast still showed the best warmth to be found in southern areas though such as to the west of London. The GFS clearly shows more warmth across North Yorkshire and the NE England than today.

The focus of the heat will shift to northern England tomorrow with 30c possible in the Vale of York. After a cooler spell the warmth also returning to Ireland aswell.