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chris78

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Everything posted by chris78

  1. Too many let downs for me to believe it yet, I think we will get an easterly just not sure how severe. But, wow some of the charts the last few days have been jaw dropping. I might not believe them but this is still getting exciting.
  2. lovely boring weather, dry warm and tools and clothes not plastered in cold mud...bliss. Ill still be fruitlessly hoping for snow though!
  3. As a mostly outside worker and a cold lover,, im in a tricky position, for me it needs to be bone chilling cold with hard frosts, this almost cold we have all winter is not for me at all.....if its not proper cold, id rather have mild. I have a new hated phrase.....Cold Zonal....not for me thanks!
  4. my weather station (only a cheap one) reads temp 3.9, windchill - 6.3 that cant be right can it?
  5. Just back from the morning dog walk, temp here isnt very low, 2.0c, but it feels really really cold, coldest Ive felt all winter with a brisk wind...brrrrrrr. Wrap up warm!
  6. 87 and 91! Last night there was a post in there saying coldest and snowiest period since the 16th and 17th century! If the sea aroind the uk doesnt freeze...im calling this a let down.
  7. You say they have dumbed it down, but people here are complaining that, too many warnings stop people taking notice. Well isnt that treating people as dumb, the meto are hoping people have enough sense to read the warning and understand the likeliness element. To assume people cant do that and change the system would truly dumb it down.
  8. But most of the recent warnings are be aware yellow warning, its only us snow nuts that read that as a promise of snow, for instance todays warning states a medium likelyhood, so when people say they got it wrong, they didnt. When they go orange and red and still nothing happens maybe they have a case to answer, but its not their fault if people expect an event that they have said only has a medium chance of occurring.
  9. BBC weather talked about rain for England and Wales on Sat and Sun, I was only half listening but i dont think they mentioned snow at all.
  10. What he is saying is, March 2018 may or may not be cold, but March 2013 has nothing to do with it. There is a one in six chance of me rolling a six on a dice, if I roll five sixes in a row there is still a one in six chance the next will be six.
  11. Fair enough I was in Scorton that day......... I know im being very fussy now, but that was the end of March (23rd maybe?) which defiantly made it very notable, but somehow didnt feel like proper winter snow.
  12. I wouldnt want to speak for everyone but.........When its been a while since any snow, people say they love snow and would be happy just to see it fall......but lets be honest, when we say we love snow, we mean we love lying snow that covers every surface, and lasts more than hour or two......sadly for Preston if that happens once every 15 years we doing well.
  13. Met office warnings for thursday sound interesting, although as it starts as rain (with heavy snow showers to follow) is it likely that coastal areas will be wrong side of marginal?
  14. Proper dry snow, a dusting on cars temps, that mean there is at least of chance of sticking around for more than 2 hours. Even if this stopped right now its the best snow event since 2010
  15. Its because they have invested so much time and hope into what had looked (and still maybe) an epic cold spell, their brains just arent prepared to accept it might be watered down, they eventually accept it, but the initial signs of a downgrade always get the same reaction...denial.
  16. And we are back to cognative dissonance issues in the model thread. We are allowed to shout as much as we want about one cold chart, but dont dare to comment on any chart that may be considered a downgrade.....its just one chart after all. Every time its the same
  17. Chris, im just a negative old sod, other than pain of past failures I have nothing to go on. (hope that helps!)
  18. I think for coastal locations you will probably be right again, if I lived further inland Id be getting exited though.
  19. Looking at the more intense stuff coming closer, and the current snow/rain line, it's looking good for lots of you isn't it? As ever, probably too coastal here, but even here not out of the question. Unless I'm missing something ( a definite possibility) it will be snow for lots of people.
  20. Rain here, very light. A look at the NW precipitation type radar, must be a familiar site to us west coasters. Many of the snow memories described above have looked exactly today's radar here, snow within touching distance but not quite. I think if you live here you shouldn't be looking for snow in the models or forecasts but deep cold ice day type weather, that's the only way we can get sticking snow isn't it?
  21. This one only starts at 1960, but look at the west of our region. We have never been snowy. http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/511200/1/N511200CR.pdf
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