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Cheshire Freeze

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Everything posted by Cheshire Freeze

  1. Cheshire Freeze
  2. Cheshire Freeze
    Really decent event for here. This last batch has put down a cm or two.
  3. Cheshire Freeze
    Road covered here. Just seen a car pull out of a junction and skid across to the other side of the main road.
  4. Cheshire Freeze
    Yeah a nice coating here now. Snow at this time of year tends to stick well…it’s what I always bang on about. It’s why I prefer snow a few weeks either side of the solstice. Out of that period, the ground around here is just too warm and it melts readily.
  5. Cheshire Freeze
    D10 EC and 18z GFS look very similar to my eyes.
  6. Cheshire Freeze
    Haha it’s ok. Had long COVID that went on a few weeks but feeling better now mate
  7. Cheshire Freeze
    Lost 7kg since COVID a few weeks back!
  8. Cheshire Freeze
    Heavy here now
  9. Cheshire Freeze
    Run the radar and the stuff out west is actually arcing round into the Midlands
  10. Cheshire Freeze
    Very marginal here. Seems to be some melt of ice and the graupel. Need the heavier stuff.
  11. Cheshire Freeze
    Looks to go straight through Cheshire
  12. Cheshire Freeze
    I’d be more than happy with an inch here tbh
  13. Cheshire Freeze
    An early Jan SSW would be optimal. Effects would coincide with the coldest week of winter statistically.
  14. Cheshire Freeze
    Sat night
  15. Cheshire Freeze
    Rain symbol here on Meto automated now
  16. Cheshire Freeze
    As long as that remains the case, we’re pretty much one bout of amplification away from something very wintry…given the CW you’d have to say the dice are loaded in our favour.
  17. Cheshire Freeze
    I feel we’re on the cusp of something potentially extreme into December. That cold to the E has been building steadily for a while now.
  18. Cheshire Freeze
    Not really concerned. I’ve seen the UKV miss features at less than 24 hrs lead time.
  19. Cheshire Freeze
    Hard frost -5.5C UKV fairly spot on. Going for -7C over the next night or two.
  20. Cheshire Freeze
    Getting towards -5 here now
  21. Cheshire Freeze
    Definitely more cold ensemble members today rather than the unanimous mild we saw yesterday in them. This is what I was saying yesterday…watch out for the ensemble members falling a few at a time over successive runs. To me, at least, a proper easterly is a very real possibility within the next 3 weeks.
  22. Cheshire Freeze
    Completely agree with you Mike. Seems we’re on the same page.
  23. Cheshire Freeze
    EC going Scandi route at D10 too. Following Atlantic ridge would make sure of that…would have been nice to see past 240 hrs. That’s good enough for me this evening.
  24. Cheshire Freeze
    Yeah if there’s one main strength of the GFS op, it’s picking up patterns against the grain in FI. It has always been the case. You’ll rarely see ensembles pick up an E’ly before the operational. What tends to happen is the ensembles fall a bit at a time (if it happens).
  25. Cheshire Freeze
    I’ll tentatively put my money on the E’ly I think. Momentum will be working in favour of a slowing Atlantic, not the other way round.
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