Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Cheshire Freeze

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    19,123

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    66

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Cheshire Freeze

  1. Cheshire Freeze
    GFS getting close now in FI to where I had expected the evolution to take us. There have been hints for days now but no model has really run with it thus far.
  2. Cheshire Freeze
    That cold to the E is inching closer and closer each run too. I mentioned that after the 0z this morning.
  3. Cheshire Freeze
    Means little at that range but GFS deep FI could be special…Arctic HP meets heights to the S with huge swathe of brutal uppers to the E.
  4. Cheshire Freeze
    Serious cold inching closer to our E run by run
  5. Cheshire Freeze
    Cold longevity looks to be increasing to me. Forget short term slushy snowfalls, I’m more interested in the bigger picture.
  6. Cheshire Freeze
    I hope a snow shower can pass through Cheshire!
  7. Cheshire Freeze
    ICON going with an extension of cold…pretty locked in from this point-
  8. Cheshire Freeze
    Here we go, jet buckled
  9. Cheshire Freeze
    Looking good at 210, might not make it this run but a big nod to the EC E’ly here- You want to look for HP being advected N through, or just to the west of, the UK ahead of a sharp trough. Almost there…
  10. Cheshire Freeze
    It’s not poor. The 18z has actually taken a step towards extending the cold. Look at the pressure patterns- 12z- 18z- Look at the polar heights and the ‘arc back’ of heights ahead of the N Atlantic LP on the 18z
  11. Cheshire Freeze
    Thursday night looks prime thickness wise for convective streamers to pile in from the ENE. Wouldn’t rule out a more organised trough feature pushing SW in this flow, though uppers will obviously moderate somewhat around the trough if it happens (marginal).
  12. Cheshire Freeze
    An E’ly around D10 has been hinted at for a couple of days now, even on the GFS…though you had to read between the lines. It has repeatedly shown a cold HP ahead of the reinvigorated Atlantic troughing.
  13. Cheshire Freeze
    As far as I know the BBC weather just uses the previous EC det run.
  14. Cheshire Freeze
    GFS 0z wants us to get the BBQs out after the cold spell I think the question is now, how much of the blocking will we lose before the background signals turn in our favour after mid month?
  15. Cheshire Freeze
    Around -2C here
  16. Cheshire Freeze
    Hovering around freezing here
  17. Cheshire Freeze
    The Euro trough is such a great feature of an El Nino winter to have.
  18. Cheshire Freeze
    Nice two prong vortex attack there
  19. Cheshire Freeze
    Love to see this- after a couple of days lull the next bout of amplification shows its hand upstream CW in full effect higher up-
  20. Cheshire Freeze
    Put it this way, I can’t remember too many starts to winter featuring a two pronged assault on the vortex (and it is a full blown assault). You’d have to think there may be a memorable spell of winter weather on the way within the next 4-6 weeks.
  21. Cheshire Freeze
    Looks more assured than 2022 at this point to me. It’s not just Greenland based, the jet is completely buckled to buggary with the HP in situ further E.
  22. Cheshire Freeze
    The typical zonal flow looks absolutely snookered to me by 216 hrs on the GFS 0z
  23. Cheshire Freeze
    No one mentioned Dec 2010? Wasn’t it just 0.1C away from being the coldest December ever recorded?
  24. Cheshire Freeze
    I’m more struck by the extent of that Eurasian snowcover and the TPV sat starkly atop that blocking. Surely has to be strat ramifications from that going forward.
  25. Cheshire Freeze
    Sustained cold spell on the 18z GFS. In the freezer pretty much as uppers at this time of year (for the next 7 weeks or so) will go colder and colder with minimal solar input.
×
×
  • Create New...