Rocheydub

They are learning all the time!

Well, you did ask for it! :-)

It won't be mild, but I doubt it would be cold enough for most for snow or wintery precip. It would be on the cold side of normal. EDIT: It wouldn't take much of an adjustment for it to be a cold chart. A correction south by a couple hundred miles and it would be game on!

Yep, agree strongly, unless we can grasp something trop lead. Maybe Alex will trigger something off as it is so unusual. Not to discount a SSW happening at all, just looking less likely. I will of course bow to recretos and chiono et al if they differ with me, just my understanding.

Cool. Love me gadgets! Slightly off topic, but would love one of those... May I ask how much it was?

I've trawled through all the high Res charts I can find, and it looks bone dry for us snow starved east coasters. While I'm enjoying the cold while its here, the Dublin snow shield that the mildies installed in 2011 has been very effective!!! F3ck3rs! Pressure and general conditions will be not right tomorrow for any precip here and Sunday's event looks to be a cold rain event. Maybe a window of opportunity to get my fix on Sunday morning in the Wicklow mountains, but I haven't heard any good reports from up there either!

Funny, but I want everything to shunt another 400 miles west! Never going to happen. It really is knife edge stuff for you guys across the water though. Could be high risk, high reward!

Not a flake! Lovely crisp and clear morning, very hard frost out there, but not a flake! Very disappointing!

Can't believe I waited up for lamp post nothingness! Argh! 2010 is like a lifetime away!

Looking at the radar, there will be little or no precipitation getting this far tonight. Disappointing. It's freezing out now on the roads, and no gritting being done. Madness. I saw snow/sleet rain mix about 6 today. Looked nice, but none stuck so the wet roads and freezing temps will cause havoc later!

One heavy sleet to snow shower that lasted about 15 mins then died away. Lovely to be lamp post watching again....

And 12 hours further on!

Clear blue skies here, 4.5 degrees out. Maybe I'll get lucky after dark, but I'm not hopeful. Envious of you guys up there, you have had lying snow about 5/6 times since we last had down here in 2010!

Sadly, with that large chunk of vortex to the NE, there will be no omega block there. That's a significantly poorer chart on UKMO. Disappointing runs this morning. That said, 5 or so days of cold wintery weather to enjoy now, we deserve this respite from warm, wind and rain!

Sleety rain. the best of this winter so far!

That really is a frigid cold pool a gathering up over in Mainland Europe and Scandinavia. If we could tap into that beauty with that Atlantic undercut dragging it our way, these wee islands would get an absolute pasting. Knife edge stuff though. Great model viewing!

I think I should walk to work this morning, the pushbike is being sneered at by my inner health and safety mind! Very icy looking... Great overnight ECM UKMO runs too... Long may these last!

One thing for sure, this has been fascinating model watching! Nearly every time in the past where we had the shortwave drama or the will it slide debacle, we (SACRA and coldies members) have nearly always lost out. The UKMO has performed very well, and stuck to it's guns (assuming the un-thinkable doesn't occur) but I would suggest that while the UKMO has been rock solid in it's evolution, I would expect to see a halfway house between the superb alignment of UKMO, and the ECM at about 120/144 which will still be very good. The GFS has traditionally (in my memory anyway) being overly progressive with blowing away blocks. It's sometimes correct, but we'll know in about 5 days, how correct it is. Remember until T72, in this volatile NWP output, it's not all done and dusted. I expect another rogue run or two before this is signed sealed and delivered! As a weather enthusiast,

Those automated forecasts are not that reliable as you know, I'm just using my memories about how models have played out these things in the past, I suggest that there will be some weather warnings issued tomorrow or Thursday. Fingers crossed MS!

5 degrees, windy and overcast, feels a lot colder in that breeze mind you! The window of opportunity is really going to be from Thursday on, as was the case according to the models a few days ago. I'd say we'll all see some whiteness, depends on location the depth etc. Don't be despondent yet folks, the real cold is due in 36/48 hours or so!

Cold, dry and crisp with a biting w/nw wind. Currently 2.3 degrees.

This upcoming cold spell is not related to a SSW. It's tropospherically led.

Yes, that's Wicklow mountainous area... Couple of hundred metres ASL. And some buddies on Facebook that live there are confirming this with Nowcast!!! It's absolutely bucketing down here, biblical thundery downpour, with the odd flake of sleet in it. The road outside resembles a small river at present. The Met radar shows a huge area of intensity of rain right over my house... 3.2 degrees at the moment. Wouldn't take much to turn this to snow... I feel! Shame, because the intensity would have meant a dump of snow!!! Havent had any since 2010!

3.5 degrees and a sleety mix in the heavy rainfall.

Assemblies???