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EML Network

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  1. EML Network
    another day and the super computers fail...where is all this PPN then ?? lmfao what a joke according to the Met and the BBC is should be under a massive area of PPN by now which should be heading north into the UK. All I see is a thin band which is hardly moving. disassterous forecasting over the past few days by all agencies really.
  2. EML Network
    Personally I blame thw daily fail and express for constantly telling everyone every week that theres going to be snowmageddon....if anyone has blood on thier hands its.them and certainly not the Met Office
  3. EML Network
    Freezing rain in Hove as well, makes a really strange noise as it hits the windows blown by the wind , it's falling onto a thin layer on snow courtesy of an insanely heavy 10 minute snow shower here which left everything redusted, there was already a patchwork of snow, ice and partially melted ice as the freezing rain hit here so I fully epect to wake up to the sound of tooting horns and cars crashing into one another here. Thank god I have the day off work tomorrow !!
  4. EML Network
    OK starting to get a little heavier now here in Hove, might just be a temporary blip, hard to tell if it's all snow, more a mix of snizzle but with bigger flakes mixed in, will fortunately there's still some patches of ice and snow outside so if that metls I'll know it's rain, roads don't have that damp look about them so we might just be lucky here as the Uppers are due to creep above freezing temporarily between now and midnight and if we can remain under some fairly heavy PPN then it might cancel it out, really is on a knife edge along the S.Coast, less marginal inland IMO
  5. EML Network
    it's sooo frustrating there's a big hole in the PPN right over us and it seems to have been here all day with PPN brushing past us to the West, were right on the periphery and have been for most of the day
  6. EML Network
    strange it's just pathetic snizzle here in Hove, microscopicly small flakes probably the size of sugar grains, I think our best chance of seeing some snow all be it temporary before it turns to rain is late tomorrow morning/ mid day
  7. EML Network
    Thus far nothing, just a few flakes blowing around as per the past 2 hours...I think I could walk faster than this band of PPN is moving NE
  8. EML Network
    Does anyone know what the hell is going on ?? I can't keep up with this, all I can see is a galactic sized blob of precipitation that seems toi fizzle out about 3 miles off the coast here only to reappear ion the radar about 3 miles north...now were under an amber warning ?? This really is chaotic and I don't think anyone has a clue what's going to happen at +3 let alone further ahead. a few flakes blowing around here over the past few hours I wonder if a secondary low is forming in the channel as per 12z ECM yesterday ??
  9. EML Network
    This is torture, sitting here watching the snow simply running 3 or 4 miles away arrgghhhh
  10. EML Network
    Snow has picked up here in Hove but its barely made a dusting ...still lets see how the day pans out..hasnt got that same continental element and so.its stubborn to settle
  11. EML Network
    Hey Lottie xx
  12. EML Network
    Looking at the radar returns I should be under a heavy snow shower here in Hove...very odd as what im seeing isnt even close to the intensity that the radar is showing and its such a thin band that its likely to be gone soon. Been up sice 4am watching this come in...I fear a lot of us might be dissapointed with this one...unless it somehow back builds and intensifies
  13. EML Network
    Yup a few whispy flakes blowing in the wind ...getting steadily heavier but at a painfully slow rate.
  14. EML Network
    absolutely hammering it down in hove a good level 3 - 5 cm now. And still it comes down. Just wow !! Cant wait to get out in it soon
  15. EML Network
    Its been snowing again steadily in hove foe the past 15-20 minutes...really wasnt expecting as much as this. Very happy
  16. EML Network
    Amazed at local variations..weve had 3 or 4 cm here right on the coast in hove ...i expect more higher up...yet others nearby have had nothing...seems were in a.good location Going to walk to work today...and take the.scenic route :-) I.e the hilliest :-)
  17. EML Network
    Somehow "wow" ...doesnt do it justice...never seen snow settle so fast literally a few cm in the space of 10 minutes cant seem to upload images from my phone sadly
  18. EML Network
    Totally agree....not to mentiin the fact that the GFS ince again picked up and ran with this run after run, whilst the ECM was having none of it. I dont care what the stats apparently show, but the GFS has been head and shoulders above the other models this winter, its no surprise that the GFS is the model that is the "default" model of choice when coming to sites such as this one. This will be nearly an all rain event in the SE and a snow to rain event in the SW...expect to see the UKMO change thier wording on their 3-5 day outlook today removing the "uncertainty" aspect and mentioning the dreaded rain word...or maybe freezing rain.
  19. EML Network
    lots to look forward to between Mon and Thursday, but that spoiler low is being modelled to visit us quicker and quicker on each run at this rate by the time we wake up on Thursday any snow may have melted :-(
  20. EML Network
    The ECM @ 240 Looks sad, it's as if it's saying ''I'm lost, I'm supposed to be in Paris, but I ended up in Scotland"
  21. EML Network
    So which is it ? 2 experienced posters on here giving conflicting opinions regarding the chances of an all snow event in Southern England or a mostly rain event at the end of the week. Having run through all the GFS runs (again) I can see that there is much more of a cluster than before going for a more southerly route with the centre of the LP going through Belgium(ish), I'm feeling a little more upbeat after seeing the following runs in the GFS 12z suite and I hope that this ''trend'' continues on following runs, I might have been a little too eager to throw my toys out of the pram...we'll see. Peturbation 1 No 3 No 7 No 8 No 9 No 10 No 13 No 15 No 16 No 20 So that's 50% of the peturbations taking the low through northern France and NOT STALLING and retrogressing slightly West and North into the UK ala the Op and Control run. A significant number, the Uppers only tell half the story.
  22. EML Network
    Dont need to...if youve followed the charts over the past few months youll know that the ECM has consistently shown different output to the GfS only to come kicking and screaming inline with the GFS. Indeed the ECM was having none of the cold spell for a while when the GfS sniffed it out several days earlier. The ECM is already in its 0z run falling more in line with the GFS solution regarding the LP from the SW. Its 0z run yesterday had it going through France and already its modelled several 100 miles further north. Id be over the moon if the GFS backs down, but if anything its doing the opposite and.bringing it in faster
  23. EML Network
    Can I borrow some of your rose tinted glasses please, love it how folks just say to ignore the GFS run, sorry but it's been dogged run after tun after run in bringing this Low up through the south of the country and essentially stalling mixing out the cold uppers and bringing milder Atlantic air. just 2 days ago the GFS had parts of the southern half of the UK under -16 uppers for the 1st March, just 2 days later and the uppers on mid day for Thursday are creeping towards 0 !! That's a swing of 16 degrees in just 2 days, no wonder people are getting upset. IMO the snow that's going to fall between Mon - Wed will be just hit and miss showers, we had a real shot at something truly memorable for the back end of the week and going through the various gfs 06z runs, as well as those from the previous 4 it's clear for all to see (except those with rose tinted glasses) that there's a high probability of this current cold spell, becoming a cold snap of 4 days. If I lived in the Midlands, however of the North East then I would be getting very excited as you guys look to be in the sweet spot. I'm just as guilty for doing IMBY posts, but for longevity of cold the trend is that by next weekend most of the UK will be back to average uppers, all be it probably cold still at the surface and any laying snow will soon melt probably by rainfall. Enjoy it whilst it lasts folks, because if the GFS is right (and let's face it, it has out performed all other this winter) ...it will be over by this time next week for the majority of us.
  24. EML Network
    There's enough time for it to be wrong, but the GFS is bringing that milder air in faster and fast with each run, although I have also noticed that at the same time it's making less and less progress East, if the trend continues it might not even make it to the UK and stall to the South West of the UK. The UKMO + 144 overnight chart is very similar to the ECM though, If the GFS doesn't back down over the next few runs I'd say were looking at a 3 or 4 day at best cold spell with snow opportunity's but by next weekend it will probably be feeling more spring like, I'll be reading the afternoon METO text update with a lot of interest
  25. EML Network
    So this is now fast turning into a severe 3 day cold spell...whoopy bleedin do. !! Not even any front edge snow now for this pesky low and for us in the south its game over by Thursday morning. Ohh well guess we should just enjoy it whilst it lasts
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