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Chris K

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Everything posted by Chris K

  1. Chris K
    I was driving home from Bristol looking North and the skies did indeed look amazing. Towers were shooting and we had a downpour at home. Shame it didn't come to much more in the end. Think the fact it stayed cloudy for half of the day did not help at all.
  2. Chris K
    Indeed...think it'll be a nowcast jobby for me personally. Just going to wait and see what happens. Still rather cloudy here but the sun is almost breaking through and it does feel quite humid.
  3. Chris K
    Showery rain moving in from the SW through the day, but the emphasis on the heavier thundery showers seems to have been pushed a bit further North than what was shown yesterday evening. Midlands, C/S England and some parts of the SE looks like a good shout today whereas originally a fair portion of the W Country was in the firing line this afternoon/evening. Not much so from the overnight charts. Still, we will see what happens. It is still way too early to lose confidence or call it a bust...you need to be looking at how things develop from mid-afternoon really.
  4. Chris K
    Thanks again! Very helpful for people learning, such as myself.
  5. Chris K
    Brilliant! Thank you
  6. Chris K
    True but they did quite well earlier this week with their warnings I thought Here's hoping....just inside the zone but feel my area may be breeding the showers rather than actually being in any.
  7. Chris K
    Perhaps a daft question, but can someone explain what to look for with regards to the amount of shear to help me improve my learning on how to forecast where storms may develop? I do have access to charts that show LLS(low level shear 0-1km and also DLS(Deep level shear 0-6km). Which is used more commonly in terms of forecasting organised storms? Or is it both?
  8. Chris K
    Hoping tonights ECM op verifies close to what to shows...settled weather for the bank holiday and if the cloud stays away, pleasantly warm. Going to a friends birthday on Sunday afternoon, who is planning a BBQ. If its sunny that would be the icing on top of the cake
  9. Chris K
    Must be the same thundershower I'm watching to my South!
  10. Chris K
    A couple of rumbles of thunder here just now from the quick downpour we just had. Now moving off on its travels. Edit: Although saying that it seems to be moving slowly just had a couple more flashes of lightning
  11. Chris K
    Just thought it may be worthwhile quoting weather09's post from late yesterday evening. Quite technical but very good from a learning perspective :)I think once again it was a very good analysis of his for today's overall chances. Don't give up hope of seeing something later but equally I wouldnt get too hyped up about it.I think this weekend is looking quite good for some areas for heavy and potentially thundery showers. I'd much rather have something to hope for than absolutely no chances.
  12. Chris K
    I just hope this trend being shown in the models for the end of this week doesn't become entrenched, with troughs loitering over the UK until they fill in until another takes it's place...that is rather reminiscent of late Spring/Summer 2012 I believe...
  13. Chris K
    Ohhh so another storm moving from a different direction towards me today...Wonder if this one will die out just before it reaches Bristol again
  14. Chris K
    Also (whilst uncertainty still remains), if that modelled Low Pressure system does indeed move in towards the weekend, that could provide some interest if it slackens as it crosses the UK as shown in today's runs. Wouldn't think about it too much at this time though, as it is still 5+ days away and these charts will obviously change. Convective shower potential is present throughout this week at times before this moves in (if it does). :winky:
  15. Chris K
    Yes you are right...famous last words - plenty of time left yet! :ph34r: Still waiting for my repeat of 9th May 2008, when that line of thunderstorms from a stalling cold front lasted for hours over parts of S England and Wales. Best lightning show I can remember personally. At least some people got something out of today! Better than last Spring where I cannot remember even having any storm opportunity at all..
  16. Chris K
    Ye they are gradually making their way down towards me, but at the same time lightning activity is on a more westward track and decaying somewhat. I can see dark skies to my North-east as I'm only 20 or so miles SW from Gloucester where the storms are now. Can also hear faint rumbles to. My eyes are on the showers around Swindon, but it's getting to that time now where the likelihood is for only the leftover rain blessing me with it's presence.
  17. Chris K
    Indeed. Looks like it is going to skirt about 20 miles to the North of me towards Stroud/Gloucester. Can see the dark skies in the distance but other than that a quite muggy afternoon with hazy sunshine here!
  18. Chris K
    Yep haha! All lightning activity seemed to drop dead as it approached Bristol....nothing new there!
  19. Chris K
    Clawing at my screen in desperation as it would be a first direct hit in a fair while... ....but I think lightning activity is calming somewhat now, going by the radar.
  20. Chris K
    Ohh not that far away then really and seemingly heading in my direction..Start doing some storm dancing please AJ to keep it going!
  21. Chris K
    Some sporadic sferics being detected in the SE near the coast and with the main band of precipitation not due until later this afternoon/evening, there may be a few lucky people, if rather hit and miss. Seems a bit too weak personally but you never know...
  22. Chris K
    I'm not really a heatwave fan in all honesty. (Especially as our office buildings have the excellent design of glass ceilings....) The only time I don't mind it, is if it is broken up by nice big thunderstorms to tone down the humidity a bit. Other than that, give me settled weather with sunshine, 24-26 degrees Celsius and a gentle warm breeze. Lovely!
  23. Chris K
    Well....I suppose it is better to have it now than in Summer....*gulp* The trend for the SE to see the better weather still seems evident in the models, but with the migration of high pressure from the azores seemingly wanting to move into Europe and beyond, the further East it gets I would assume then that the door opens more easily for Low pressure to follow in from behind. It still looks a bit uncertain as to how the High pressure behaves once stretching across us into Europe. Some still go for it sticking close enough to allow a milder contiental feed to drift across the Southern half of the UK, whereas others allow the Low pressure influence more of the UK from the NW, bringing cooler unsettled conditions to a more widespread area...
  24. Chris K
    Perhaps...our local forecast in the W.Country by Ian F mentioned heavy showers moving in quite early with perhaps a few rumbles of thunder. Personally I am not expecting much (except rain), but we will see!
  25. Chris K
    Not sure what the chances are for Bristol to see anything today, but if not, some further opportunities perhaps tomorrow and Thursday by the looks of things....a bit of a now-cast situation as I am sure everyone is aware. Good luck to those are are perhaps more in the firing line today! get some piccies if you can
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