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Kiwi

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  1. Kiwi
    Thanks Jackone, it's a deal. Should be plenty of snowy pics from up the mountain...but not so sure whether my artistry with photoshop will manage to hide slushy scenes from the village! Look forward to your update.
  2. Kiwi
    Quiet on here. GFS seems to have firmed up on a spell of very mild air and some very heavy rain (anywhere below 2000m) across the Alps from Sunday 23rd through until Christmas day. I'm not overly happy with this....but being Christmas .....if it's raining I'll be putting my feet up with copious amounts of gluhwein and Jagermeister! Temps start to fall a bit later on Christmas day so I'm hopeful of some decent skiing on the higher pistes in the latter part of the week. Can the lower pistes (currently 50cm) stand up to the torrential rain forecast for Sunday ?.....100mm !! and temps of 5c??
  3. Kiwi
    Grief....didn't realise we had that much rain coming!! Not often that we get more of anything in central south than those of you further west. Looks like Southampton, Portsmouth and Winchester could be very soggy. Fortunately the chalk rivers/streams in the area such as the Meon don't flood very often.
  4. Kiwi
    I think you're right in that it stabilises the snow pack, although cold temps and snow for me thanks. ... but I'm rather concerned about too much thaw and the lack of freezing for many of the lower level runs!! Cold temps, light snow showers and sunshine for Christmas please. .... GFS 12 z forecast showing base +1.7 and top -3.6 with light snow for me on 25th, so with a bit of movement in the right direction as we move out of FI ....and she'll be right mate!
  5. Kiwi
    Thanks Jackone. Not looking to be a great week ahead with, as you said earlier, temps up and down bringing both rain and snow. Outside the reliable I know, but GFS seems keen to throw some particularly warm air at the alps for Christmas eve. Yuk!! I'll not be happy to be skiing in the rain on Christmas day!!...that's why I abandoned Scottish skiing years ago. If Russbach lets me down I'll have to head higher next year ....and no doubt we'd then have record low temps!
  6. Kiwi
    Hi Carinthian, How did the opening day of the season pan out for you?? Yes really looking forward to a white Christmas in Russbach! and very very envious re the snow mobile!!....although it looks like we won't be needing one here in the UK this week ( it's nice to get away from all the sniping and bitterness in the model thread!) As our local snow hound I was wondering if you had a view as to what the big change in the GFS outlook means for central Austria? I've looked at the ski forecast and was suprise that you're predicted to hang on to sub zero temps, even at low altitude (850m). I wondered what the local forecasters are saying? And will this change bring more/less precip? What will the new outlook mean for others further west?
  7. Kiwi
    Hi Carinthian, Yes, conditions are looking great for you ...with plenty more snow to come over the week ahead! Amazing how things can change so quickly ....5 days ago the slopes in Russbach were green but now..........
  8. Kiwi
    My parents and sisters have the pleasure of viewing his unique style...on a regular basis. For those that miss him, TVNZ is a good place to look. http://tvnz.co.nz/breakfast-news/superstorm-sandy-just-immense-metservice-video-5178312 http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/gales-and-heavy-rain-set-hit-video-4751673
  9. Kiwi
    All too often the M4 corridor seems to the boundary between rain/sleet and snow. What's the betting that this will be the boundary once again if the channel low scenario comes off?
  10. Kiwi
    Thanks Carinthian. Good news that the temps are now starting to fall and that snow is forecast over the coming week!! Do most resorts which have very little natural cover at the moment run the snow cannons constantly overnight? What sort of temps are necessary for the cannons and what sort of depth can they add to the pistes?
  11. Kiwi
    I'm 5 miles north of Basingstoke ...no lightning here ...blowing a hooley and the rain should be hitting here v soon
  12. Kiwi
    mmm ...ground is already saturated here with lots of standing water. I suspect that there could be some flooding issues here abouts tomorrow. My father in law lives down in south somerset and said that by lunchtime today the road outside his house had already flooded. The 24hr totals are showing an additional 39 mm in that area ...not good
  13. Kiwi
    Thanks for the updates Carinthian ...as you say fingers crossed! At least deep FI is keeping my hopes up. What is being said by local forecasters re the current mild spell and prospects for the end of the month and the all important opening of the ski season?...My wife is already gleefully suggesting Christmas Market/shopping trips into Salzburg if we have a lack of snow (22-29 Dec)...A long way off that yet but I may become suicidal!
  14. Kiwi
    Yes that would be a nice one to add to the wish list
  15. Kiwi
    Thanks Jackone I really enjoy this thread each winter....and I like the positive outlook re mild now rather than later in winter proper! We're off to Russbach, Austria 22nd-29th Dec (Near Abtenau...Dachstein West ski area) It's low altitude 820m up to about 1620m , so always a gamble early season, though we've been in the past and luckily had snow down to village level. I'm not too worried about the mild weather now but the developing high pressure does concern me. What is the likelihood/signal that this will persist into December? I've just been up the dry slope with my boys this morning ...and to be honest we'd like some of the white stuff for our Christmas hols! re Scotland ...would it be a good idea to have a separate thread for this?...I go climbing a couple of times each winter in Scotland and as I'm sure you know the local variability in weather conditions from one range to another can be huge!..... cloud/visibility levels, wind etc etc. We will often alter our weekend plans because the weather conditions are so much better just 20 miles down the road. (This winter's plans are Ben Lawers Range in March and South Glen Shiel Ridge in late Feb).
  16. Kiwi
    Should Michael Fish have done porridge?!
  17. Kiwi
    Yes, a real change on the cards. I'm sure that some need to take a step back rather than taking every GFS run as gospel. I've been away over the weekend, come back and looked at the various models GFS, ECM, fax etc and am more than happy with prospects....given the mild muck we usually face at this time of year. Also looking forward to the blizzards over the weekend....in the Austrian Alps, on account of skiing over Christmas in Russbach...just up the road from Abtenau. Given your local knowledge Carinthian does this sort of northerly flow give good precipitation amounts over this part of the Alps?
  18. Kiwi
    Yes likewise here, to the north of you. Seems to be a stream of very heavy rain moving up from the south -southwest along/just to the west of the M3. Could be some fairly heavy rainfall totals locally.
  19. Kiwi
    and they'll be made very welcome (subject to the appropriate criminal record checks!)
  20. Kiwi
    And there was me thinking that the sun never sets on Eastbourne! But, yes I know what you mean Coast . The lack of sunshine over the summer has got me down somewhat. This week has been a welcome respite, but I'm not looking forward to the short cloudy days of autumn and winter.
  21. Kiwi
    Isn't this looking to be shortlived though?? perhaps Thur and Fri, before low pressure pushes up from the SSW?
  22. Kiwi
    Sounds grim up North! Not a cloud in the sky, or a breath of wind here. 27.6c !
  23. Kiwi
    That's awful! Also problems in NZ with snow cover in both North and South Island resorts. I took this from the Otago Daily Times "Queenstown is a convenience for Australians, but ... there are a lot of full flights leaving Australia for America. It is easy for them to say, 'Kids there's no snow in New Zealand, let's go to Disneyland instead'." Mr Hartshorne said the lack of snow meant only those who had prebooked their holidays would arrive in Queenstown this winter.
  24. Kiwi
    This battle of the models always makes good interesting reading. The GFS does seem to have been fairly consistent on the coming set-up for the Olympic opening ceremony. The ECMWF has been the one playing catch up in my non-tech eyes. Bluearmy points out that the GEM picked up on the pattern on the 17th. The GEM it seems is often overlooked as we focus on the GFS v ECM debates. And what about our friend Piers, who is often dismissed out of hand ? ...he said this (taken from the Telegraph on the 16th!) “We’re very confident that there will be a lot of rain – a deluge, really – during the entire Olympic period, and we are 80 per cent sure that the Opening Ceremony itself will feature heavy rain, including hail and thunder.†What models/methods does Piers use? ...and can we get access to these? I'm sure they'd make interesting reading/debate
  25. Kiwi
    Yes Tongariro national park has several volcanoes. Another close to Mt Tongariro itself is Mt Ruapehu. Ruapehu has a couple of large ski resorts on it which will be busy now. I used to ski at Whakapapa frequently and we were always aware of the siren warning system, which involves skiing/climbing out of the valley to avoid the lava flows!! http://www.mtruapehu.com/content/library/Whakapapa_Volcanic_Hazards_map1.pdf (And there are some amazing views of Mt Tongariro and Ngauruhoe from Whakapapa)
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