manutdmatt1986
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Posts posted by manutdmatt1986
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London & South East England
Snow 0600 on Sun 10 Feb 2013Open/Close
Issued at: 1115 on Sat 9 Feb 2013
Valid from: 0600 on Sun 10 Feb 2013
Valid to: 2359 on Sun 10 Feb 2013
Early rain over western Britain is expected to turn to snow as it spreads eastwards during Sunday. Snow cover is likely to be very variable, with some places seeing little settling, others 2-4 cm, and with the potential for 10 cm or more over parts of the Midlands, Kent an Essex, especially later in the day. The public should be aware of the risk of disruption, particularly to travel.
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North and east london mentioned on latest bbc matt Taylor for 2-5cm or considerably more
So, both myself and my family and friends up in Harrow could see snow
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The NAE 6z is even better for the South East. Snow throughout http://www.weatheron...S=0&WMO==
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12/18 inches by midweek!
Are you from Kingston, Canada?
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Temperature -1, dew point - 2. Why can't the front hit now?
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Morning fellow regionals!
I've not been in MOD/MAD yet and maybe I shouldn't at the moment!! NAE hi-res still moving around a bit so I've animated the Netweather Extra NMM precip charts to see what you make of them for the range they currently cover:
Look at those Frenchies sticking their tongues out at us just the other side of The Channel. we are all in the EC, you'd think they could send that 50 miles North wouldn't you?
That looks like a right wintry mix for the South East. If the system tracks further North we will end up with rain. The system needs to take a southerly track for us to see snow.
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That NAE run and the Met Office updates are a lovely thing to wake up to. I've pretty much written off my chances of seeing any snow here so that is a big surprise!
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Met Office now has 6 hours of sleet for me amongst all the rain. Upgrade!
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Oh well, as we apparently don't exist any longer, what should we call ourselves now??
Any ideas? [NO FISH RELATED NAMES PLEASE]
Nosnowfoundland
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It's not going to snow and here's why
The final nail in the coffin
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Didn't I say earlier that we'd see an upgrade for the 18z?
Yeah, our rain might be colder now
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http://images.meteociel.fr/im/8710/gfs-2-48_opz7.png - Shame the GFS precipitation charts are rubbish :-(
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Just been to the doctors who's told me to watch what I eat...
so have booked tickets to Newbury races tomorrow...
Will they be on???
These jokes really are just flogging a dead horse now.
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Oh dear! I assured my wee granddaughter that it wouldn't rain or sleet or snow, last night...It did all three!!
Can you promise her it won't snow on Sunday or Monday too?
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If I can't have a Kent Slapper or a channel low I'd rather have mild weather and an early spring. Can't be arsed with these slider/front stalling scenarios for my area. I have seen 2 inches all winter.
2 inches? Wow, you're so lucky!!!!!!
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At least the GEM is good for the South East on Sunday into Monday - http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&carte=0&mode=2&archive=0
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I think tomorrow will be the day we come into agreement r.e the most likely track of the low. Ians thoughts are encouraging as if it will be Cold enough in SW it definitely will be elsewhere
Yes but, if Ian is saying that the snow risk for Central and South Western areas is higher then that could mean the frontal is going to stall further West and may leave many Eastern areas dry. It really is on a knife edge for much of the country!
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I'm a bit confused. To me the model runs this morning looking abysmal for snow on Sunday and Monday, especially in the South East, yet I see people saying the opposite. The low looks to be too far north to me resulting in the uppers being too high. Am I reading the charts wrong?
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Only out to 50+ hours but, the very cold uppers are further West on this run. http://imhttp://images.meteociel.fr/im/7862/gfs-1-60_kww3.pngages.meteociel.fr/im/6888/gfs-1-54_uza1.png
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Why does the netweather site use the Gfs output for its forecasts if it is so pony??!
The GFS is the only model that has all of it's data publically available for free. You get what you pay for I guess
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http://images.meteociel.fr/im/3346/gfs-2-120_nru6.png GFS has Sunday as a rain event on this run.
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So guys going by sundays charts where is the rain/snow borderline likely to be? Going by the comments it looks as though the midlands/south east look like being in the fireing line, whilst south wales wales and the west country missing out with yet more rain......any clarification will be much appreciated!!
Looks to me like the front way stall just to the West of the extreme South East. Like it did in January. The details are bound to change before then though.
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Very nice ECM once again, Sundays Low ever so slightly further west than the UKMO with the very cold air wrapping back round at 144.
Ian F just said on Points West that today's snow showers for our region "could pale into insignificance come Sunday into Monday"
Met obviously seeing the snow risk as far West as the Westcountry (to include many other places I should think). This has the potential to be really good for many!!
So long as it actually gets far enough East to hit Kent this time! Always a thin line between dry, snow or cold rain in these situations. Going to be a fun few days ahead.
South East and East Anglia Regional Discussion 8th February 2013>
in Regional
Posted
I've seen torrential rain followed by settling snow before.