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manutdmatt1986

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Posts posted by manutdmatt1986

  1. So much for the medway snow shield- more like the se London/ nw Kent and by the sounds of it south Essex snow, normal service resumed in Kent with medway&East getting the snow like 9out of 10winters do. North Essex has done so well in all the marginal events this winter jammy. ... . . !

    Medway has had 30 minutes of sleet and now nothing to top off a cold spell that has delivered little here but a lot to most of the country.

  2. Yep, me as it happens.

    A period of snow is shown for the weekend but it would turn back to rain after a few hours. There has been a slight trend however for the trough to dig further south on the last couple of runs. If this trend is repeated in the morning we could be looking at a significant snow event in the SE. It's not there yet before anyone gets excited, but with the models its important to look at the trends from run to run rather than just the one chart. This additional resistance from the block is sneaking up on us quietly.

    As an example of how a poor looking chart can deliver big time if someone can find it its worth posting up the chart from last feb which at face value looked rubbish.

    Jason

    Wouldn't bet against it. The models, in particular the GFS, tend to overdo Atlantic incursions and are often too progressive with any breakdown of blocking and cold conditions. Wouldn't surprise me if we did see a decent spell of snow though I do think the Atlantic will push through and bring milder conditions, at least for a while. My main concern for the chances of a breakdown being snowy is that the uppers won't be particularly cold, only around -4 to -6 I think.

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