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Chris101

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Everything posted by Chris101

  1. Chris101
    Thunder heard at last, out to my west.
  2. Chris101
    Everything this end of the CZ looks great as it goes up but then soon collapses.
  3. Chris101
    Enjoyed catching up and reading everyones accounts and posts through the morning, its clear that quite a few have had some very memorable storms that they won't be forgetting, it makes a change not to have to trawl through 20 pages of drivel about "What a load of rubbish", "The MetO and models are crap" "I was meant to get a storm right over my house" just to find the decent posts. Keep up the great reports people
  4. Chris101
    Looks like Undulatus Asperatus, an amazing cloud to watch on timelapse
  5. Chris101
    Cracking day across EA, temp didn't go much over 5c and skies looked amazing, lovely picturesque winter convection with classic rain/hail/sleet/snow shafts streaking down. Days like today remind me why i love the weather whatever it brings.
  6. Chris101
    Good to see people in the North getting a pasting, some lovely photographic scenes today with some getting more than expected. Bright blue skies here and a nice crisp chill, temp 7.1c
  7. Chris101
    Temp here 3.0c, and after rising fairly quickly for a couple of hours Dp has settled at around 1.7c for the last hour.
  8. Chris101
    Very fine drizzle here not long started, unable to tell from lampost so put black top on and some of it is definitely of the snizzle variety.
  9. Chris101
    Temp 4.3c Dp 1.0c
  10. Chris101
    I'm pretty happy with the next few days, cold air was brought in a tad faster on the 06 gfs than the 00, something to look at over the next 24 hours to see if it can come even quicker, but that comes at the expense of the lows sliding further South and less precip for the UK. Sunday through to Tuesday gives confidence that cold uppers are ok to good, i wouldn't even think about precip for those days, may not even be known until a few hours before with troughs and showers. So from then we now have a battle of will we get the Scandi in place, models overnight seemed to go the right way and hold the atlantic troughing back. The 06 fails really with a good scandi, maybe the 06 just hasn't got the signal yet, maybe it has, that is yet to be resolved.
  11. Chris101
    I was going to let someone more knowledgeable answer, i personally go with adding 10 so 4/5 imo is the right area.
  12. Chris101
    Gfs 06z has -5 850's reaching my region a lot faster than previous, any showers on the back of Saturdays slider could be much more wintry by Sunday morning. A small area of -10 air down to the SE corner by 120, that with SST's would hopefully bring the shower trains as it moves down.
  13. Chris101
    My opinion would be Leeds, Sheffield down to Peterborough, Notts through to London, Thames Estuary. On the previous drawing the red line is beginning at Leeds where the heaviest precip is now pushing in, the red line is the line i would go with. But then my mind might just be trying to pull it in this direction.
  14. Chris101
    Been snowing proper for about 40 minutes now, yes my lampost has a coating down one side
  15. Chris101
    Hi all, I don't write much on here, but still read everyones thoughts and obviously learn a lot from the very knowledgable. Am i right in thinking that you can have the worlds most expensive computer to model but at the end of the day accuracy comes from the data that you put into it. Now i was always under the belief that the areas we want to get the cold from are very data sparse areas compared to the amount of data that is available from the more zonal areas, am i right in thinking if you put a ton of data in from zonal areas and considerably less from our North that this is why models can be way too progressive for a return to normality. Cheers Chris
  16. Chris101
    I do have a preferred weather type, Thunderstorms, but there isn't any type of weather that i don't like and think is awful. I suppose when we get one of the HP systems that brings grey clag for week after week, i find myself hoping it will move on to bring something different, but i don't dislike it, its weather and thats what i love.
  17. Chris101
    One thing a true weather enthusiast would never say
  18. Chris101
    Don't worry Suffolkboy your not missing anything, its been pretty much snow/rain mix all morning and then when a heavy radar echo comes over a few minutes of big fat wet flakes, but then a return to snow/rain mix, its been fun to watch but never even starts to settle.
  19. Chris101
    Light snow falling here for the last few minutes.
  20. Chris101
    Hello everyone in SE/EA from a chilly Bramford, Its been a while since i was last here, but thought i'd pop in seeing as i'm starting to like the looks of the models, i've had a quick look through the last couple of days of the thread, a few new names i see and some of the old names seem to have gone, where is Tom and the snow cup? Well best of luck anyway that we all get a few inches over the next week or so, i'll try and get on as much as i can to see how were all doing
  21. Chris101
    2 cells passed here over the last hour, one to the North about 3miles away and a huge cell to the South only half a mile away, lightning was amazing from this one and very loud booming thunder.
  22. Chris101
    I would certainly be looking NW, or if the convergence can link up then straight up, looks a good zone to be in.
  23. Chris101
    Thats what i'm thinking, the rain coming in behind killed the on shore breeze, which in turn killed the convergence line.
  24. Chris101
    The storms grew because of the sea breeze, not died because of it.
  25. Chris101
    Also looking at the winds on GFS i'm positive now that it is a low that were seeing starting to turn.
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