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Chris101

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Everything posted by Chris101

  1. Chris101
    Always a worry being this close to the coast, that gap around the EA coast on accum charts has always been noticeable in the run up to this event although now we move on to high res charts it seems that gap may be closing, Dan Holleys graphic certainly shows this. @DelkaI'd love to be a lot closer that way thats for sure
  2. Chris101
    I'm heading to Alconbury on Monday, hoping it gets deeper as i head that way.
  3. Chris101
    In the meantime........Lovely looking squall line crossing the region at the moment.
  4. Chris101
    I'd like to see that nibbler turn into a full on gobble.
  5. Chris101
    Yes it must be a busy place to be right now, i'm worn out and i just look at hundreds of charts for fun.
  6. Chris101
    Morning all Still a lot of detail to be sorted on this Sunday, i did expect the models to be a bit closer this morning, but it seems they have crossed paths and now heading in opposite directions, this isn't a fail yet, but it will always be tight, if the models still don't agree at 24 this will turn into a really good nowcast.
  7. Chris101
    With the angle pretty much the same i think your in with a good chance. If we can get a couple of little troughs running down in that flow and the -10 uppers on the GFS they could be a little bit better than last week.
  8. Chris101
    One thing i'm pretty sure of, by the time we get to Sunday at least one model will have modelled the correct track at least once in the last 7 days, trouble is they won't know they were right till after its gone through, a nowcast for me this one, though we may be able to get it down to a track of a couple of hundred miles wide.
  9. Chris101
    Still happy with the overall pattern on the 06 up to around Sunday, gonna be a few runs yet to give some confirmation on exact position of the slider. Not really looking much further than that for now, though I have seen the chances of another ridge building, hopefully it will firm up a bit once this week's spell gets going.
  10. Chris101
    Did we not just go through the second half of last week going through model turmoil because the ECM really wasnt playing ball at reloading the ridge to Greenland? I even told the wife at the end of last week that the Northerly we had was probably the last when GFS edged towards ECM, only for it to all to suddenly turn around in 24 hours and the Northerly was back on and locked in.
  11. Chris101
    There we have it, thunder and a couple of flashes a couple of miles to my North from a shower that just passed over. That takes me into double figures for this season.
  12. Chris101
    Absolutely crazy, i'm counting that as a storm, fortunately, i have taken the day off. Sorry EES
  13. Chris101
    All the time, i have to do it with the radio going.
  14. Chris101
    Edge of the strong cap just moving away from us now, were moving into the better side.........Fingers crossed.
  15. Chris101
    Sat 24 may show something forming just under the main line of showers, have to see a couple more frames.
  16. Chris101
    Cell moving away from here towards Southwold earlier.
  17. Chris101
    Much stronger cap on the SE side of the convergence line, towers trying hard to make a go of it, gonna take some to get through it, London UHI may come into play later.
  18. Chris101
    Cell moving away to the N/E now lots of distant cg's coming every 10/15 seconds now, a very lively cell.
  19. Chris101
    Big strike to my North curling right round to my West, slowly getting more frequent.
  20. Chris101
    Thunder heard a couple of miles to my North, sky very dark.
  21. Chris101
    I think it is clear to see when watching the strike detector that some strikes (especially some of last nights big crawlers) will plot 20/30 sferics (smaller storms maybe 5/6) so yes, strike rates on detectors ive come to learn can be very misleading.
  22. Chris101
    Some extremely long crawlers going through the main rain, probably why people are hearing thunder without seeing sferics plotted on them.
  23. Chris101
    Absolutely cracking first storm of the year, some excellent intensification as the cf came up the E/A coast, lots of visible cg's and some huge amounts of rain through the central Ipswich belt.
  24. Chris101
    Yes i certainly wont be heading out in the car now, guaranteed gridlock. Getting noisy outside with bins and things starting to bang around, house creaking has started.
  25. Chris101
    May as well put this here aswell, Uk Powers live fault map http://www.ukpowernetworks.co.uk/internet/en/fault-map/
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