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Everything posted by Daniel*
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Veering to a more direct northerly with a colder injection of air no marginality there also there is a little disturbance running down the North Sea could give extreme eastern counties like Norfolk, more in the way of snowfall rather than blink and you miss it snow shower, lucky spots getting 1-3cm.
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Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Daniel* replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
One day in December in my back yard it reached 16C with limited sun remarkably overcast an extradonairy month for all the wrong reasons, I doubt this will be surpassed anytime soon. -
A few of us could see a covering Issued at: 1159 on Sun 6 Mar 2016 Valid from: 1900 on Sun 6 Mar 2016 Valid to: 0900 on Mon 7 Mar 2016 Wintry showers during Sunday evening and night will allow ice to form readily on untreated surfaces and where showers wash off earlier road treatment. Where showers are most frequent, localised accumulations of between 1 and 3 cm could occur. Please be aware of the potential for difficult driving conditions and slippery surfaces. Wintry showers will continue to run in off the North Sea through Sunday evening and night. Many of these showers will fall as snow, though in areas on and very near the coast showers are more likely to fall as a mixture of sleet, snow and hail. Where showers are most frequent localised accumulations of between 1 and 3 cm could occur, although over the North Yorkshire Moors accumulations are likely to be locally higher and closer to 5 cm. Surfaces which are either untreated or see showers washing off any earlier treatment will readily become icy in these showers. Cambridgeshire, Essex, Norfolk, Suffolk
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Model output discussion - 20th Feb onwards
Daniel* replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
UK on the fringes as per, mid month onwards does look interesting unbelievably it is not time for "hibernators" to call it a day yet. If we could tap into that we would be laughing even this late on, I do not think cold conditions will be for everyone as in all likelihood there would be an abundance of cold rain/sleet down south it does not really bother me. But interesting to see how this pans out could end up with a very chilly Spring stretching to April and beyond? With what the strat is getting up to, Eurasia may be being fooled into winter mode when at a time the landmass is supposed to be breaking out of it.