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Daniel*

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Everything posted by Daniel*

  1. I can only speak from a Londoners point of view being quite sheltered.
  2. The forecasts seem to suggest the worst of the winds will be for the far S the GFS on the other hands has the swathe of the worst winds cutting through an area which does not even have a yellow wind warning currently that being much of East Anglia that is extremely odd?
  3. I'm not sure it is erased from my memory therefore it was a no show here elsewhere I can't comment.
  4. Disagree entirely we've not seen such equivalent wind speeds since October 2013.
  5. Talking of snow seems rather insignificant a bout of very windy weather to come, the ITV News London forecast said 60 to 70mph gusts warned the risk of minor structural damage, fallen trees, beware of scaffolding ect. St Jude was overly hyped well for my location with gusts in the 50's at best this looks quite a bit worse with winds coinciding during daylight hours - affecting large swathes of Southern England for a number of hours.
  6. The plot thickens it is very marginal the North Downs etc above 100-200m in all likelihood seeing something 'significant' with the help of evaporative cooling & little wind..... e
  7. The ARPEGE model Is not really showing anything of note inland. Uncertainty.
  8. The mention of 60-70mph gusts through the capital is very rare event that should surely warrant an amber warming through a region of 8,000,000 people. disruption & minor damage likely. I'd also expect the yellow wind warning to be expanded north the warnings by the MO tend to be lacklustre a bit behind the times to to speak. Enjoy your Sunday
  9. Hi Adam, This is a graphic produced by Met Office in what to expect. I expect to see the amber zone widened.. Current warning zones: Regarding Tuesday it is very uncertain a quite big mass of precipitation with intensity is expected was that not mentioned? Out of a shortwave tracking over us, engaging with relatively cold air it is marginal! the 6z has the snow falling mostly north of the M4, it seems to change run to run.
  10. Hi Amanda, This is from GFS 18z a slight tone down with swathe of strongest winds slightly further north compared to 12z nonetheless London right in the path of worst winds according to this, the south coast will not be seeing the worst Inland will to your distress.
  11. A rough day here the windiest in a long time....a few violent gusts, v wet as well. Quite a good snow event for Tuesday a day after the gales perhaps severe gales for London & Home Counties oh boy it would be nice! As a shortwave moves over us, consistently being modelled even by high res NMM. It would most likely be that very wet type of snowfall that sticks to everything...fingers crossed as it has passed 3 years in London of not having a proper snowfall, very overdue is it not? In these barren times.
  12. Stafford is most certainly not south, the boundary between mid to upper part of the country IMO.
  13. Comparing to yesterday 192 it seems increasingly looking that the big old block of HP is going to exert some influence on Western Europe retrogressing westwards....
  14. GFS is also showing that 'wave' feature Nick, accompanied by a small low ahead of it. Wet snowfall a distinct possibility for southern counties particularly on back edge as colder air is dragged in possibly turning initial rain into sleet/snow for S/E.
  15. Indeed quite concerning, only a few days ago those strong winds were being modelled out in the channel & northern France, the South East of England has not seen those sort of wind speeds in years.
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