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MPG

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Everything posted by MPG

  1. Yes it is interesting, seeing that we are so insignificant in relation to the rest of the world. Greenland is above average, maybe an indication of blocking.
  2. John Holmes is the boy regarding his 500mb charts, fair play.
  3. Not sure from the charts you posted shows a strong PV and how much confidence do we have in the CFS?
  4. GFS lost its atlantic blocking pattern in FI on the 18z & 0z as predicted.
  5. Living up to your profile name again. Not sure why you threw the towel in mid autumn. Normal autumn fare being shown in the output, winter starts tomorrow. The GFS will soon ditch the idea in FI and join the mobile club again.
  6. Yes fair enough.....also he GFS did pick up the initial northerly blast in 2009 before the others.
  7. We have seen this already with heights towards Scandi. The ECM did not even play with the idea. The GFS is showing this at +288!! Hardly something that 'can't be ignored'. If this is still showing at 240 then we can await the ECM.
  8. Yes, but the GFS was hinting at a scandi block then binned it after a few days.
  9. Is this what we have just seen the GFS playing with in the models?
  10. Jumped the gun saying GLOSEA was showing something more seasonal. Anyway that can change again as it already has to a westerly regime. So thats it? What if the 12z shows the ridging again.....shall we not bother to discuss?
  11. Lets wait for the 12z. lets compare yesterdays to todays, then todays 18z with todays. Models have only just started to play with the idea of the ridging, then the 6z flattens the idea thismorning and its all over?
  12. Very mild? eh. Snow for some in Scotland over the next few days as PM air sweeps across bring -5 850's. The high pressure is still to be resolved where it could potentially end up. Scandi could be the location going by some models we don't have access too. I guess in Ireland an easterly element is no good for you, for others could bring the frost and snow. Middle to end of December could be more seasonal.
  13. Posting chart after chart of anomolies showing zonal is easy, spotting the trends to a pattern change within the charts is where the skill lies. Members attemping this should be credited, this is how other members can learn what to look for.
  14. Wow plenty of debate. As I said, temperatures in the eastern equortical area are significantly cooler than in 97/98. I'm not sure you could describe the temperatures as consistant basin wide, but in 97/98 they were. There is a basin wide El nino yes, but not in temperature terms. Taking temperatures this El nino is different.
  15. Maybe, but compared to 97/98 the temperature in the east equortical is significantly cooler. Therefore comparisons to 97/98 need to be cautioned.
  16. Completely different to 97/98. A modoki El nino is emerging.
  17. Very quiet on the netweather MO discussion threads this winter. Very strange seeing we have a decent cold snap coming up and FI charts with all sorts of very interesting options. Where is everyone?
  18. Yes seen it all before, no UKMET leads to disappointment.
  19. Waxing and waning!! Ha, you have been reading too much of Fergie's weather language book! Only today it looks like a toppler could be a good bet, this still has time to change. I think the met and even John Holmes have been caught out by the change in pattern especially with regards to the 500mb charts.
  20. Funny how things change. You post chart after chart showing low heights over Greenland. Then when pressure does rise over greenland you forget to dicuss what that actually could mean for the UK and talk about westerlys at T360!!
  21. So a climb up yesterday now a climb down today? You always live up to your profile name! As you say winter not started but great trend in my book to see charts like this so early.
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