terrier

Well looks like I was wrong got a couple of cms here in Huddersfield. Does look like the band is weakening to the north now though.

More or less died out here in Huddersfield now. 30min snowfall that's been it. Looks like it's fragmenting on the radar now.

Looks to me looking at the radar that the band is already decaying. Not convinced we will see anything of significance to be honest.

I will be amazed if we get snowfall across west and South Yorkshire that settles if I'm honest. The hills look to be killing the eastward extent of the front.

Think Manchester is the sweet spot today think it will stall over Lancashire looking at the latest bbc weather on news 24.

Not doom and gloom just saying what the models are showing at the moment. And in my opinion I think it will be very marginal snow wise for our region with the systems stalling out west before they get chance to hit our part of the world

Can't really see us getting much snow over weekend and into early next week. The fronts don't look to get anywhere near our region really. Then back to milder air midweek onwards.

Yes just looks cold tonight with a few wintry showers down east coast over weekend.

Don't know how u can say it's odds against when even the modes are flip flopping all over the place even this week.

Well this cold spell is looking very underwhelming. Just been out 7c in car with light rain. Looking at bbc weather website for West Yorkshire it shows a frost fri to Sunday then turning milder. Very disappointing. Hopefully Feb March might deliver but won't hold out much hope.

Well we have the gfs ukmo and ecm showing a cold spell all next week. Don't look at day 10 on the charts as gospel. Yes they may be showing things turning milder towards next weekend but for now let's enjoy the cold spell coming up. And don't forget we should start seeing the affects of glacier points torpedo coming into range before long. Think fi starts around t120 and a lot can and probably will change enjoy guys.

Still think the gfs is barking up the wrong tree here. Think I will back the euro output here as they are much better in the overall reliability stakes. There is a reason the ecm is the top model. Still expect gfs to back down in next 24 hours.

So the ecm backs the ukmo and gem. Expect the gfs to backtrack either on the 18z run or 00z run. Think it looks like the gfs is barking up the wrong tree here. Expect it to backtrack now.

So we have cross model agreement more or less from the big 3 tonight. Well done to the gfs 18z on Wednesday night for picking up this new signal. Looks like a short sharp cold spell before we're back into the milder air by Friday next week. We see on the ecm tonight what Steve murr feared earlier. And like he said it does now look like it's game over for anything sustained cold wise.

So what can we say about the models. Well the gfs ukmo show us in a colder pattern next week before milder air moves towards the uk next weekend which is 7 days away so a lot could change. Now onto the ecm similar scenario cold next week then like the gfs brings in the milder air next weekend. Don't really ever thing we was entering a deep freeze. But what the output does show is at least us trending colder next week. And who knows we're we go from here. Hopefully we see glacier points torpedo still come to fruition at some point. Still think Feb March could be our best chance of sustained cold weather.

Ukmo now moves towards the gfs at t120 expect Ecm this evening to move closer to gfs aswell. Seems like the gfs has picked up this signal since the 18z on Wednesday night. Expect a colder week next week then who knows.

It does look like a big afternoon coming up on the models. Like mr murr has said what we don't want to see is a se cut off low on the models because it really is game over if that happens. Let's see what the gfs12z brings and the ecm and ukmo.

So the ecm moves towards the gfs output ukmo looks odd one out. So it looks like a 3/4 day cold spell before Atlantic moves back in. Could see a snowy outbreak further north before we are back into milder air. Looks like met call it spot on once again.

So it's looking like a 3/4 day cold spell before milder air moves In again looking at the gfs output. I think the gfs picked this up on Thursday nights 18z run thought it was an outliner but looks like it may have picked up the correct signal. And I'm wondering if it's showing something similar to mogreps because it looks to tie in well with the met outlook. Interesting ecm coming up that's for sure.

Ecm looks fantastic tonight but I remember that ecm a few years ago. Think I will wait for the met to jump on board though as they still don't seem convinced. Still got a sneaky suspicion that mogreps model is seeing things a lot differently to the ecm. But time will tell I guess.

I know it's early in the run but the ecm at t120 looks closer to the gfs than the ukmo. lets see where rest of run heads.

Not really liking the look of the gfs 12z the Azores low looks like coming into play and the cold gets delayed till Monday now on this run. Looks like the 18z last night. Think I will see what the ensembles say but I'm scratching my head wondering if the gfs has picked up a new signal.

Looks like I might finally get some decent overtime in on my gritting route. Joking aside it does look mainly dry but as we all know instability can crop up almost anywhere bringing showers or longer spells of snow.

Think it's pretty obvious the mogreps model is seeing things differently. Surely they would of changed there wording slightly by now, just wondering if that low is going to smash through the block. Certainly seems like the met office think so interesting times ahead I feel.

Great ecm this morning and gfs. But a word of caution with the met still not on board I'm starting to wonder if the mogreps model is seeing things differently. guess we will know more in the days ahead. But until the experts start changing there outlook I will remain sceptical of the models for the time been anyway. As we see that low on the ecm at day 6 moving towards the Azores which would tie in with there outlook.