cheeky_monkey

Im going for all the 5s...so 6.8c please

i was going to make a comment that if you take the winter as a whole and take the mean averages of your forecast values and actuals then as a season your were only -0.15c out...there how is that?

Exactly i have mentioned a few times in this thread this winter that people should look as to what is happening in the eastern Pacific and Western North American continent with that ridge and as to why there would be no severe outbreak of cold in the UK and there would be no Greenland high or Alaskan ridge whilst it was in place

is it?...because there has been a huge postive anomaly in the eastern Pacific throughout January and February.

Got to love the Express..so it has been the Coldest winter for '50 years'...wow really?

That is the joy of upcoming spring that the model discussion thread slowly returns to some kind of normality..its best not to go there from beginning of November until say mid March..i sometimes find myself willing any cold synoptics to fail not because i like mild weather or rain etc...i mean i dont even live in the UK..just so to upset the minority who make the place such a nightmare thread for everyone else. i have the bonus here believe it or not that Spring seemed to arrive at the start of January..no doubt April and May will be cold and miserable!

Wow we actually got some snow last night..after nearly 6 weeks of being completely dry..not a lot fell but Calgary is white again temporarily..most of the winter snow had slowly melted over the last 6 weeks..warms up again to be back above +10c by the weekend so the snow that has just fallen will be gone again pretty soon.

May 1992 was the last in a cluster of hot and sunny Mays 89 and 90 were also hot and sunny..dont remember June 92 being anything to write home about..do remember Aug 92 though as that was then i bought my first car..a 1984 Mark 1 Golf.

Didn't get any snow here over the weekend..in fact Friday and Saturday were incredibly mild...15c Fri and 13c Sat..in fact January and February have been mild and relatively snow-free much the same as last year

Show off!

Its plausible if heights rise across Alaska but that could take another 3/4 days after this chart and Feb is rapidly running out of time!

ecm is a much more plausible shot at cold now as the big high pressure cell on the west american coast has pulled far back into the Pacific this to me will allow heights to build rapidly across the Greenland Iceland area

Im glad it is not only me that sees the Pacific ridge as a huge fly in the ointment

actually they are expecting 30-40cm not inches!

this isn't the model discussion thread you know..so have so manners please!

Historic?..i think not

A shame for who?

I dont think Toronto will get hit like the Boston...20-25cm in Toronto which isn't that unusual for this time of year but Boston will get 60-70cm which is huge..seems like a short lived cold snap there though

I often talk about Autumn 2000 to colleagues here in Canada especially out on site when they moan if it rains for more than 2 days in a row..i was building a hotel in Dartmouth and we recorded 120 consecutive days with rainfall from mid August to Dec 22, 2000..it was one of the last projects where i was the site manager before i was promoted and became office based..even today i cant believe we managed to finish the project on time.

im still surprised not many people look at what is happening upstream across N America and the eastern Pacific..that big high pressure cell across Western Canada and the States just doesn't want to go anywhere this is keeping low pressure entrenched across Alaska and the Canadian Arctic..this High pressure needs to be pulled up into Alaska and the arctic for any shot of prolonged cold across Europe..this scenario we have now is what scuppered the last cold spell back in January..also the same set up occurred last January and February and the UK missed out on the cold then because of it..IMO

Isn't Balzac Billy just a guy dressed up in a ground hog costume?

For most people on this forum Alberta would be the ideal location to live... cold and snowy winters no rain or damp..summers sunny and warm with lots of thunderstorms..only downside spring is often cold and wet although it is short 6 weeks tops.

i think what many forget when commenting on models is that they model the global weather pattern and not a single region..often people only look at the European region and dont look at the rest of the northern hemisphere to see how what is going on outside of Europe that may effect the pattern a few days down the line...then they get upset and frustrated and slate the models for being inaccurate when things dont quite pan out as hoped.

Was a beautiful almost spring like weekend..wall to wall sunshine and temps of +8c..will stay the same all week with sunshine and temps above freezing...looking at the charts it has early spring written all over it...no cold shown in the next 10 days.

i think the early part Feb 1991 was similar..almost record warmth across eastern and North eastern America...and bitter cold across Europe...however i am struggling to see how this pattern is going to evolve?