mushymanrob

im not taking sides here, but i agree, im only interested in what im getting, its frustrating and annoying to see other people gewtting what i want. many areas enjoyed heat today - i didnt, today was a lost day, it was bloody horrid.. (in comparison). im not bothered what other areas got - i got crap. oopsie... quoted the wrong post, should have been cheeses post above this one quoted.

gutted this high wont sit just to our east for a week more or so, a light southerly draft would have brought with it all that heat and humidity... id have loved that... but we have 1 more day, if this grey muck clears.

im under that muck.... not impressed.

depends on what you call a guarantee... id have thought its as good as certain that we are entering an unsettled westerly pattern, not 100% but id be shocked if every model suite got it that wrong.

not happy... its cool fresh and overcast here today.... BOOO!

ok, i might be out with the timing, granted, but i would be extremely suprised if we didnt get more heat. i cannot think of a june hot spell (2 in fact) that didnt lead to something hotter/longer further down the line. so IF this is all we get, which is possible, itll be rather unusual.

possible, the longwave pattern of ridging and troughing would suggest the next ridging will be in early july. until then we will be dominated/driven by a mean upper trough to our north, as knockers post above highlights. edit....ive just seen glacier points post in serious thread... i did write this before id read his post, and i had mentioned this previously. i just didnt want to be thought of as copying him..

well its not a hard fast rule, thats true, but most times we have a hot spell or two in june its because the long wave pattern is likely to repeat. i havnt the data, but out of memory i can remember very few summers with 'early' hot spells are the only ones we get... 1970 and 1978 are two. 76, 95, 03, 06 are top of my head examples of those that do go on to produce further hot spells. so id suggest more heat is more likely then no more heat.

oh yes i forgot, we are still officially in spring! well someone better tell the models that because its certainly summer now! interesting about the first time since '95 we have had 5 consecutive days of 30c, it bodes well for the rest of summer (unless you dont like heat).

noaa anomalies dont support such a deep low, well not of any duration, so IF there is one, itll be brief.

yesterday evening highlighted for me the difference between early and late heat. sitting outside watching/listening to the swifts playing overhead whilst smelling the scents of the fresh flowering lilies. wonderful, and not something you can do with late heat.

i dont struggle to work in this heat...i just get on with it... prefer this to rain..

well clearly thats not the case as many are loving it! me included!....

wouldnt surprise me.... we appear to have a longwave pattern of troughing and ridging over a 2-3 week period for a while now. id expect the next ridging event to be early july after a trough dominated week or two after the breakdown. id be very surprised if this hot spell was the last we got this season, in fact i think it would be quite remarkable.

patchy cloud has robbed us of our first 30c.. falling short at 29c. hot = great, i agree and yah boo sucks to the moaning minnies!

flowers dont give you hayfever, they had heavy sticky pollen that bees use to pollinate with, hayfever comes from wind bourne grass/tree pollen.

its more a case of when, not if, with such hight temps plus increasing humidity high CAPE values are highly likely

wow...look at these CAPE values for weds evening, looking like there could be some tremendous storms if this becomes reality.

part of the beauty of heat, is keeping cool or cooling off.... just like in winter people who like cold like dressing up warm... its not a real summer without at least 1 hot spell, it brings out the scents of the summer flowers, its a joy to sit outside having a drink on a summers evening listening to the swifts screaming overhead.

yes i am enjoying myself very much. whether i enjopy the heat or not has no bareing to those living in iberia, they will still get the heat (which of course is not unusual for them).

.... and idiots making sweeping statements apparently!

thinking the breakdown later next week will be a messy affair. i dont buy the rapid shift some runs suggest.

best june weather since 06, i believe, junes have been pretty poor away from some favoured areas like the southeast and the south and west in 2013. in 44 years of grass cutting, this has been the longest gap between 'browned off' drought stressed grass , 11 years, 06, was the last major event. im overdue.

how accurate are they?... i mean, early july is over 2 weeks away, ill not worry much about that until/unless the noaa anomaly charts show it. and indeed my punt might well be misplaced, but on the whole its not often we get hot weather in june then nothing else for the rest of summer. usually hot weather in june leads to hot weather in july. but we will see, for now im going to enjoy the next week.. at least some heat is in the bag.

just for a punt, i reckon the next ridge after this weeks could be 'the one' that produces a lengthy hot spell. we are long overdue for a nationwide hot summer (and not just a hot spell like 2013). all the signals this far are suggesting this might be the year. im watching the next ridge on the anomaly charts, moving out of north america and heading our way. after the breakdown in about a weeks time or so (the noaa 6-10 dayer still suggests high pressure in control out to day 8 the middle of the period) , so i wouldnt be surprised if the breakdown was put back... but there should be a quieter spell with normal/average conditions before that high builds in by around the end of week 1 in july.