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Scott Ingham

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Everything posted by Scott Ingham

  1. I think tomorrow morning will see these corrections you speak of
  2. Great analysis and totally plausable but im kind of in Catacols boat here when flushing out of westerlies from a very low base rate anyway in my opinion shouldnt be blowing up the vortex like its shown to do. Maybe the models are over reacting and going to previous climo on the flushing out and will ease on this strength the nearer we get? You know my oponion as im sure a village in Mozambique does by now and i have a simialar attitude to it all that you do. All said and done as with any ssw its fascinating as it should be for any weather enthusiast to watch it unfold and equally as frustrating!
  3. Very encouraging to see showers building in situ. Good sign for the stuff over the North Sea to keep its intensity
  4. I agree sunday and monday first half but -8s and -9s tuesday and wednesday will be suffiecient in my opinion mate. Heights have also trended further north as well
  5. Leeds is looking a better spot than South Yorkshire on current runs but i feel we could all see something Also thank you for the kind comments!
  6. I think the warmth of the sea is generating way beefier showers and cold is being under estimated big time
  7. Thats my thinking. Think ecm 12z yesterday That for me is where we go
  8. Day 14 may be flatter but not day 8/9/10 on the ECM. Dont you agree its too progressive? I also beleive the blip will coincide with a snowier battleground set up
  9. Yes we now have a warning out for 1-2 cms to lower levels. 850s pushed in on north easterly to easterly winds always upgrade within the last 96 hours when entrnched cold has been here for a while
  10. I categorically believe we wont see a breakdown as shown. I am hugely confident this is all down to models not knowing how to deal with all the changes above us. Im with you and Steve Murr on this. It was warned models would be up and down 2 days ago
  11. All very possible. I have heard on the grapevine the milder maritime air is now forecast into east Sheffield later though so dont be surprised if we dont see snow later when the wind shifts
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