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Battleground Snow

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Everything posted by Battleground Snow

  1. Battleground Snow
    Cold extension at least.... Someone defrost @sheikhy
  2. Battleground Snow
    Had a quick browse of the ensembles, and a few are hinting at height rises into scandi, Probably will get bulldozed away by the energy to the northwest later on, but maybe something to lookout for in future runs
  3. Battleground Snow
    Got to admit the rapid weakening of blocking modelled for 6/7 days was quite a kick in the teeth, especially as it doesn't like we even are getting wedges now. The explanation of the warming shifting the spv makes sense though. On a positive note the mjo really looks like gaining good amplitude, we haven't had a high orbit into 6 and 7 for a while I agree the situation should improve as we approach the final days of January, until then I'll be glad to be getting more sleep than 11pm-4am.
  4. Battleground Snow
    Where has this stupid shortwave marked in blue come from across the suites today. Hopefully it disappears again, but at 72 hours it's likely not going too!
  5. Battleground Snow
    Hello high amplitude, It's slowing down a little bit getting there though, so maybe 25-30th of January will be zonal........ Cold zonality with wedges
  6. Battleground Snow
    I think the output is sniffing the scandi heights maybe a couple of days too early, with mjo only getting into phase 6 around the 20th. With the lag a more realistic timeframe is probably around the 27th/28th @Scott Ingham If we can keep the pattern cold with wedges until then, that would be a bonus Original post: https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99760-model-output-discussion-colder-but-how-cold-and-for-how-long/?do=findComment&comment=5008453
  7. Battleground Snow
    I think the output is sniffing the scandi heights maybe a couple of days too early, with mjo only getting into phase 6 around the 20th. With the lag a more realistic timeframe is probably around the 27th/28th @Scott Ingham If we can keep the pattern cold with wedges until then, that would be a bonus
  8. Battleground Snow
    Wish the icon had run out to 180, when the gfs which is still playing catch up is trying to push for scandi, will most likely fail on this run.
  9. Battleground Snow
    Interesting icon over the esb, The low is also a little bit further north on the way to us
  10. Battleground Snow
    Incredibly cold minima under this setup
  11. Battleground Snow
    Wowsers, 168 is going to be a peach again
  12. Battleground Snow
    Yep, looks like it's gone off on one again early Seems to be against the other models regarding the separation, others have much better heights.
  13. Battleground Snow
    Oh boy we are close to unleashing the beast on the icon, if the Atlantic high can link up with the high over svalbard, that frigid air from Scandinavia is heading our way
  14. Battleground Snow
    Another incremental upgrade at 144 on ecm control, We are looking for the ridge in the Atlantic to link up with Greenland on the 00z runs.
  15. Battleground Snow
    156 is worth a post too, Probably a rough snow line up to the M4 on that
  16. Battleground Snow
    Very very nice UKMO 168
  17. Battleground Snow
    Already looking forward to the 168, fantastic chart in the heart of winter
  18. Battleground Snow
    Don't think so, this originated from north west of Ireland
  19. Battleground Snow
    Where has that random shortwave span up from that turns into a proper low west of Ireland? Shows you how things can pop up under cold unstable air
  20. Battleground Snow
    ECM 06z mean has trended the low slightly north. This is going to be a long 6 days watching this
  21. Battleground Snow
    That really is a decent shift in the right direction on mogreps if you compare it with the 00z set. Suggests the low doesn't get very close though
  22. Battleground Snow
    Arpege and jma are consistent with the initial push of colder air deeper south on their 06z runs
  23. Battleground Snow
    Yeh, it won't be pinned down for days yet, it did suprise me why the met office did a whole video on a system that is over a week away.
  24. Battleground Snow
    The main bit of the low isn't arriving until the next day
  25. Battleground Snow
    I'm liking the improvement upstream in the Atlantic for longevity on this run
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