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Battleground Snow

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Everything posted by Battleground Snow

  1. Battleground Snow
    The wash showers have begun @sheikhy!!
  2. Battleground Snow
    Just a quick one on today's showers, they are already kicking off in the south east. This is what the hi Res has for 5am v current radar, should be some decent falls today
  3. Battleground Snow
    If only it was as simple as what happens in USA, Pacific high goes up, trough comes down = cold Arctic blast, thats some cold into the states btw on ukmo
  4. Battleground Snow
    Ukmo 168, gets the cold south very early.
  5. Battleground Snow
    Yeh, almost too much of a good thing in a sense, risks milder air encouraging from the south, but also raises the risk of high impact slider events
  6. Battleground Snow
    Ukmo v gfs v gem at 144. Not sure which one I like the most, all very good! Maybe gem just edges it Stronger Pacific push into the Arctic this morning on the models
  7. Battleground Snow
    Shortwave doesn't escape out of the Atlantic at 102 before the high closes it in. Also the Pacific is punching more into the pole already. Should be a pub run special from here on in
  8. Battleground Snow
    Yes more scope for the high to be sucked up and link with the Pacific high as per gem showed. Just day 5 now
  9. Battleground Snow
    I agree, could be right on rush hour too
  10. Battleground Snow
    The fact that the global models are seeing any convection is telling in it's self. The ukv will likely be under doing this also. Obviously most places won't see much, but there will be a sweet spot which will get 5-6cms Edit : finally found the first -13 too
  11. Battleground Snow
    Yep certainly can't argue with that mean up to day 8, But Tamara's post was also interesting regarding not expecting the extended ensembles to have a very good handle on things at range at the moment
  12. Battleground Snow
    Incredible ukmo 168 chart and we know where the gem went... Come on ecm you are due a boom run
  13. Battleground Snow
    Gem lining up for a slightly earlier timeframe for the polar plunge, Cross polar flow
  14. Battleground Snow
    Ukv prediction for 14z today. Actual radar, really could be some decent falls tomorrow.
  15. Battleground Snow
    ECM still adjusting now with the cold pool, poor performance over last 3 days.... Was always the furthest south of every model
  16. Battleground Snow
    Maybe we need to start paying more attention to the gem mean. Doesn't get rolled out much, but it showed this earlier as @Allseasons-Si posted. At least we know what the NOAA chart will look later , especially if they use a low blend from the ecm
  17. Battleground Snow
    Timberrrrr, only a few less cold options by day 8 there
  18. Battleground Snow
    Oh yeh, there will be some lighter ones for us from the wash if they make it, but lower heights and colder temperatures down south could make them pretty beefy
  19. Battleground Snow
    Small pocket of -14 uppers into the extreme south east on the latest 06z ukmo, Good luck to you guys, I think some places may get a fair few CMS under streamers.
  20. Battleground Snow
    Jff but a scandi surface high is trying to form, and look at the cold in that area.
  21. Battleground Snow
    Yes it's quite a difference by just 144, would be interesting to understand the reasons behind it
  22. Battleground Snow
    Considering it got a cold pool wrong at 36 hours I wouldn't be thinking it's correct at 192 to be honest
  23. Battleground Snow
    It's very quiet in here terms of posts on it! Might even cut off the high soon
  24. Battleground Snow
    Crazy difference across the arctic and Pacific between the gfs and ecm I think this run should make it on the 06z
  25. Battleground Snow
    Last one from me, Things looks incredibly finely balanced at 168, no time for booms yet, but the gefs mean is definitely trending back the right way. Ukmo resolute on the cold pool for Monday, expect a few surprises with showers, ukv should show some decent activity again when it updates.
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