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Battleground Snow

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Everything posted by Battleground Snow

  1. Battleground Snow
    There are a fair few of the ensembles that mirror the gem. I've attached a few @ICE COLD Ironically the control is snow for most even though it's supposed to be the same as the OP.
  2. Battleground Snow
    Arpege v icon at 114. I like the clean gap between the lobes on arpege, more room for margin of error.
  3. Battleground Snow
    This chase has felt like an endurance event, but it feels like we are entering the final mile of the marathon now with the prize in sight . ECM and gfs mjo charts are really kicking it around to 6 quite quickly now. (Scandi heights in the last week of January could be bitterly cold)
  4. Battleground Snow
    Looks like it's trending back to a more robust block in the earlier timeframe after a little wobble overnight, results in the cold air getting further south faster. 06z ecm
  5. Battleground Snow
    Looks great, big cold cluster and still on the way down by the 18th
  6. Battleground Snow
    Brisk JMA at day 5!
  7. Battleground Snow
    I don't think short term upgrades are off the table either, Arpege showing a much stronger block into greeny
  8. Battleground Snow
    Here comes the scandi height rise
  9. Battleground Snow
    Gem v gfs for comparison and we know where that went by day 10.
  10. Battleground Snow
    Easier to see the reason why on the anomaly charts. Perhaps it's sniffing the gem route?
  11. Battleground Snow
    Yeh this might get interesting around 168 Heights a little stronger in the north Atlantic pushing the pattern further south
  12. Battleground Snow
    Gem at 240 is a hemispherically very cold pattern by the way, would be a slow way back to mild from there . Ukmo at 168 is very nice too
  13. Battleground Snow
    Yeh certainly no complaints from me, Good runs this morning, good to see the back of those gfs runs from yesterday too
  14. Battleground Snow
    Yep by day 8/9, both gem and gfs are snowy runs
  15. Battleground Snow
    I think that's a fair assessment this morning, Perhaps ukmo and ecm might be a little better, at 168, but the situation remains very fluid over Greenland People won't like the short delay, but the overall pattern hasn't changed drastically
  16. Battleground Snow
    Gem is holding on better in Greenland, I imagine this run will get snowy later on too
  17. Battleground Snow
    Agreed, looks like we are relying on residual heights south of Greenland to send that jet south now Still could be a snowy outcome further down the line. Ukmo moved a little to the gfs, but gfs has also moved the other way a little too.
  18. Battleground Snow
    Still no agreement at 120. Ukmo the cleanest northernly still
  19. Battleground Snow
    Look how similar ukmo and ecm has the polar profile, Gfs keeps changing it run to run. See you all tomorrow
  20. Battleground Snow
    Jma not too dissimilar from the ecm run I Still think the output past 120 is liable to swings at the moment
  21. Battleground Snow
    Gem is still messing around 2, Looks like will be a huge error by the north American models at 96 hours
  22. Battleground Snow
  23. Battleground Snow
    Looking forward to seeing the gfs backtrack in 30 mins, it probably will do it's step by step adjustment though
  24. Battleground Snow
    Yeh agreed, get that initial plunge as far south as possible to give southern members deep cold, then if the Azores low does attack from the west more people are in the game. Gfs did actually move in the early 72-96 towards euros period, but then went Haywire
  25. Battleground Snow
    The "with winds from the north or north-east " caught my attention in the extended. Perhaps ties in with this mjo chart form the ecm Btw does anyone know if the met office mjo chart is publicly available anywhere? I've asked them in the past, but they they just blank me 06z ecm is consistent with the 00z run in the early timeframe
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