MP-R

Some lovely cloudscapes today, including this anvil.

Rain has popped up in the last half hour and is now moderate to heavy.

Never seen a streamer in that place at that angle before. Very interesting!

The weather has certainly been more eventful and I do like the torrential downpours that have frequented this week. They’ve been truly tropical in intensity sometimes. However, any outdoor exercise has come to an abrupt end, the local paths and woods are now all muddy, and just day to day activities require coat, umbrella, less nice clothing etc. So overall I’m sure we can agree that most will find this spell of weather rather annoying, even if it is the time of year to expect it. I’m looking forward to midweek when we have a dry interlude, and perhaps the first crisp feeling day.

Plenty wet enough outside tonight! 11mm had fallen before this system arrived, and now up to 26mm, which will bring today to being the second wettest day of the year so far.

A good old fashioned autumn by the looks of it, at least as far as one can see in the models. It's how I remember autumn. 21st September to 21st December is my wettest quarter on average and this year looks like answering to that for the moment. No pseudo-summer on the horizon.

There was a northerly in October 2013? There certainly was in 2012; that winter was considerably better.

First torrential downpour of the day, in true 'shower on, shower off' style.

Intermittent heavyish showers today but nothing out of the ordinary. Looks like the worst of the precipitation will pass to our north this afternoon. Some real torrential rain over Wales at the moment!

Have missed the worst of the rain so far as it’s gone either side.

Absolute monsoon out there now. Roads are positively swamped. Amazing what happens when downpours start moving off the Severn Estuary!

Rather, it's what we've always been. Thunderstorms have never been regular during the winter months.

Indeed. Anything Dec-Feb is a bonus of course. Better than nothing I guess.

Don’t give up hope just yet. October and November could still deliver. Not summer style storms obviously, but I had two last November. On the 12th, the thunder was loud enough to set off car alarms and a monumental hailstorm followed. From a big standard cyclonic SWerly.

Have already had a few rumbles of thunder from a cell that was just red on the radar so they don’t need to max out on rainfall scales or show all strikes on the lightning map.

Had a few rumbles of thunder from a passing cell very recently.

Just had a rumble of thunder here. Cell nearby.

Just stepped out onto the back patio and it still feels warm out - like a summer night, September version.

I didn’t realise it was 25C being sat at a rooftop bar this afternoon, but it was. Largely because the sun wasn’t too strong and it was also blowing a hoolie. So different to 25C in summer. Its happened plenty of times before though.

If I had to be choosy I’d go for 1st-19th June 2007, 20th-30th June 2012, 1st-20th July if either as both were diabolical, 21st-31st July 2012, and August 2012. The Julys of both were pretty poor but 2012 at least had a summery last third. June 2007 was more thundery and, while unsettled, August 2012 was the best month of that summer. Re this summer, I think it balances out as average here, purely by pulling together extremes of wet (1st half of June), dry (late June and July), sunshine and temps. I recorded my coldest June day ever. August was, again, the least notable month - it’s never great or awful, although the first and final third were often fine and warm or hot. Just a shame the weather didn’t cooperate with key Bristol events, namely the harbour festival on 19th-21st July and balloon fiesta on 08th-11th August. Then again, Glastonbury was bone dry for once and the August bank holiday was lovely, better than 2017. Finally, it was also good to record some thunder this year. The real treat was that superb lightning storm that started late on my birthday (23/07) and went into the 24th. Next year, I would like a much better June, more sunshine overall and a few more thunderstorms. Temperature wise it was a nice summer this year after the chilly May and start to June.

Similar diurnal ranges to May, just without the sun strength and later sunrises.

Other than being devoid of interest, this week’s weather has been (bar monday) incredible. It’s been as unreal as that warm week in February for the clarity of skies. I keep having to remind myself it’s September! Its been great not needing to worry about coats and umbrellas and the countryside is starting to develop the lovely autumnal mellowness. October will no doubt start warm as it often does. Even the colder Octobers like 2010, 2008 and 2003 had warm periods earlier on.

It’s been a week of autumn in the morning and summer in the afternoon here, quickly becoming autumn again in the evening. Can’t conplain. The colours are also beginning to show their hand.

I think you’ve answered your own question. This also wasn’t my original rebuttals. Granted I can think of more examples of highs in that area in October and November than September but that’s for another thread. So I’ll repeat for one final time - weather off the Atlantic in mid/late September is hardly against the norm.

No no I read your post, which you can clearly see by the fact I quoted a particular part of it. I take on board what you say and repeat that Atlantic weather come mid/late September is perfectly normal. High pressure west of scandi of course much less normal but not unusual.