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MP-R

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Everything posted by MP-R

  1. Managed to get to 30.4C today - and it felt lovely. At least this summer has managed to surpass 30 in all three months, even if there has been a lot of cack in between.
  2. This is the weather that comes to mind when somebody says August, not wet windy Atlantic dross that will no doubt get the upper hand from the equinox onwards. I suppose the most noticeable aspect of this weather this late is the lack of strength in the sun. It’s approaching 30C but it doesn’t feel scorching like late July or June or indeed early August last year. The different smell in the air was nice this morning though. Summer warmth rather than hints of autumn.
  3. Clear and 28C so far. Sun is noticeably weaker compared to the last time it was this warm.
  4. Beautiful start. Hopefully cloud won’t be an issue tomorrow. Would hate for this spell to be a one day wonder.
  5. Don't bin the whole month just because a few Septembers manage to achieve quieter spells here and there. It won't take long for autumnal conditions to take hold if that's your preference, some years earlier than others. Equally, it can be one of the best months for convective weather, whether in the form of 2017 Pm thunderstorms, 2016/14 plumes or 2011 rPm storms. Having said that, we are indeed overdue a settled September. Haven't had one since 2014 and before that 2009, so perhaps 2019 will continue the pattern of every five years a good September. In the short term, it looks like a cracking Bank Holiday weekend for those who enjoy warmth/heat and sunshine, or have outdoor plans (most people I would imagine), lasting until midweek before a change to something cooler. It doesn't look overly wet though, particularly in the south. GFS is flatter and likes the idea of higher pressure across the south, whereas ECM brings low pressure close to the southwest by September 1st.
  6. Sunny from start to finish. Tuesdays are doing ok this month at least.
  7. I wouldn't say onslaught, hardly a succession of barrel lows, just a return to normal conditions. I can only see high pressure holding firm into September, though, if there's a strong enough Scandi high for a link up. If this doesn't happen, I feel a N/S split at first that opens up the door to the jet moving south again. Alternatively, and one option that has appeared more than once, is high pressure to actually move NWwards, allowing low pressure to encroach from the southwest. Then of course, we are in to the great unknown as to whether any extra-tropical activity rears its head. Basically, let's enjoy this upcoming spell of weather first, then concentrate on post-breakdown as and when that happens. I just think some expectation management is needed with regards to prolonged nationwide high pressure.
  8. A common theme appears to be a very warm/hot final week of August, encompassing the Bank Holiday fortunately, before a resumption of the Atlantic to open up September - very plausible given the time of year and not uncommon following a plumey scenario. Typical that the one year I decide to go away at the end of August, there appears to be hot weather at the end of August grrr. If only we could've had these upcoming synoptics earlier in the month!
  9. After the early train of monsoon rains that dumped another 20mm, it dried and cleared up from mid morning into a bright septemberish sort of day.
  10. Tricky one, but sunshine hands down for me. I always get the feeling of 'what a waste' when it's warm but cloudy. However, when the sun is shining when it's cooler, I see it as a sort of bonus. Not only this, but one can catch the sun too while the sun also makes it feel less cool anyway.
  11. Looks like a standard ridge - trough - ridge - trough scenario beyond the weekend. Fairly standard for the time of year, and more likely to transpire than a lengthy settled spell in my opinion. Also of note is that the troughs are swinging down from the northwest with ridges building behind, so perhaps temperatures a little below average if this is case as we enter September. In the short term however, drying out a bit for many after today's showers (which are giving my location a thorough soaking at the moment). A brief blip of warmth on Friday and Saturday before something a little less settled from Sunday.
  12. Quite the streamer from the Severn this morning. Some torrential downpours.
  13. It was warmer at bedtime than the whole of yesterday, but then dropped to 13.7C overnight. Hints of brightness this morning but looks like the only shower in the whole region is heading straight for here. Sigh...
  14. Miserable day but nowhere near as wet as expected. Light rain all day so far. Cool though at only 16C.
  15. It would just be nice to have a sunny and warm bank holiday weekend. Not too bothered what happens after that but it would benefit so many to have a settled one.
  16. Actually been a very decent day again. High of 21C and 8.5 hours of sunshine. A far cry from yesterday and indeed tomorrow.
  17. ... but expecting one thing for the UK as a whole is silly anyway. Those temperatures are pretty standard in the south, especially the warm southeast. Obviously further northwest, one would expect a good few degrees below what is recorded in the southeast. I would actually expect higher temperatures than that across a large swathe of southern and central Europe, perhaps lower in Scandinavia and the Baltic. A number of places abroad are also wetter in summer than London/SE England/East Anglia. People moan about the weather in the UK because 9/10 it disappoints. I'm sure if it was sunnier overall, a bit warmer in summer, and seasons behaved instead of autumnal conditions turning up in August or summery conditions arriving in October when they largely go unnoticed, then that would make a big difference. It is not very easy to move abroad either so that is a very mal-informed opinion. I still say that the UK (Brexit aside) would be an ideal place to live if not for the weather! Sometimes it provides interest, and every now and again it is beautiful, but so much of the year is just bland and boring.
  18. Fancy having a nice Easter AND August bank holiday. Some nice ones from the past: Notice the long gap between 2007 and 2013!
  19. Assuming retrogression of the high towards Greenland, the question is whether a trough slides in underneath from the southwest, potentially bringing a wetter but still quite warm start to September, or low pressure over Scandinavia helps usher in more of northerly flow i.e. drier but much cooler. Interesting indeed. In the short term, however, perhaps Friday this week will be worse in terms of rain than the weekend itself (I certainly hope so given outdoor plans on Saturday), then an improvement beyond the weekend. Next week could be very decent indeed, leading to a 2017-esque Bank Holiday weekend.
  20. I always thought autumn colours were enhanced by more sunshine. A duller wetter summer would surely yield more of a damp squib in terms of colours. The only hints of autumn here so far (other than the horrendous weather) is the rusty looking chestnut trees and the faintest of yellow starting to appear on beech.
  21. I’m with you. I wish time would stop being wasted and the rest of August be largely settled and warm before a gentle slide into autumn through September.
  22. Yep some good flashes seen from here too and booming thunder. Still sounds quite distant although getting closer.
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