A.J

getting interesting here.....2C with a dew point of 1C, ppn approaching from the east........ 150 meters a/s/l

^^ the post which has the best chance of verifying talk about confusing , this thread suffers from bi-polar disorder........navgem's the worst!.......no wait, it's the best!......no wait, has the worst verification stats!.......on the other hand, it has the best..........now, it shows mild, it's crap but hang on T850's are upgrading, the navgem is once again the 'korean meatballs' of models!!......Jeez, this thread has more plot twists than oscar winning 'whodunnit!'....Scooby Doo's got more of a clue!......lol

OK folks, it's that time of year again when NW goes 'cliche' crazy...............So with that in mind, it's eyes down and time to play NetWeather Cliche Bingo !!!

only 3 exclamation marks on the 'Shakyometer'?.......definitely more runs needed!

even more promising Matt, my local tesco has Rhubarb & Ginger Gin on special.......£12 a bottle....guess who's getting mullered this weekend?

aye, some posters are so far up other posters backsides, it's hard to work out where one poster ends and anpther one starts....lol

blimey, am watching the ABC feed in a hotel and just saw the roof get blown off and down onto a couple of SUV's

if the GFS is correct, walk out sunday morning and you'll end up landing somewhere near Denmark!

one of the great things of iptv, I'm getting to watch the weather channel live.....great analysis & footage

no storms here, a tad too far north, but a solid 3 hours of moderate/heavy rain earlier which was much needed

hot and humid again....the sun though partly hidden by thickening Ac Cas from the SW whlst crystal clear skies to the west and north.....I mentioned in the convective thread a couple of hours ago that the plume is destabalsing further west than modeled, but even so I'm probably still too far west for anything here, but might get a distant light show after dark maybe?.....for thunderstorms I'd say a line roughly weymouth NE to Reading eastwards

hmm,, interesting.....rapid elevated convection developing considerably further west than modeled in the English Channel.....might even scrape something IMBY..

finally got some thunder and lightning here.....get in my son!

yup, a complete pile of poop today

everyone's forgotten about the drought zone along the M4 corridor....rainfall is a once in a generation thing here, and thunderstorms are now nothing but a mythical beast...lol

ah, I think see what you mean, i.e storms tracking almost due east from the west country?.......that actually might happen tonight believe it or not as a cold front sweeps eastwards across southern districts, the forcing could trigger some storms along/just ahead of the front which would track eastwards.....but yes apart from the classic 'Bristol Channel' streamer, west to east storms do seem quite rare

I'd disagree with 'flash bangs' post to be fair, there have been plenty of storms over the past few summers affecting the west country....IMHO it's more to do with the angle of attack.....in recent summers we've had more negatively tilted troughs affecting southern england bucking the trend allowing WAA from the south to affect more of southern and south west england, hence a larger amount of storms tracking northwards or even NNW (troughing of course acts as the trigger to destabilise warm plume)The norm though normally in summers is for more positively tilted troughs IMHO which lead to the classic 'kent clipper' MCS as storms fire over northern france and track readily NE to affect the south east and benelux.....This year there's been a lack of both simply due to high pressure domination over/near the UK

Yup, steering motion just east of north, quite a robust cell as well, with another firing over the Cherbourg Penn......subtle forcing in play as the predicted shortwave starts to destabalize the mid-levels....pretty well modelled so far by the hi-res suite

still plenty of turkey towers going up to the south and east as nocturnal cooling starts to kick in......probably a tad too far west for an overheader (what i'd give to be just 50 miles east of here!) but a possible distant lightshow in a few hours time?

just had a wee peek outside here..........definitely elevated convection close by with thickening Ac Cas, with radar echoes just to my east and south

some showers breaking out east dorset/wilts now

yes, probably a tad too far west here as well.......in saying that, towering Ac Cas is streaming by here currently, so never say never

yup, same here

it's ironic as I'm looking currently at the GFS for next week my Windows 10 task manager has just thrown up an alert for abnormal high temps on my CPU

yes....a layer of warm air, in this instance at the 700hpa layer acting as a lid......nocturnal cooling though might reverse this to a certain degree as mapantz referred to