A.J

One incident?.......go and have a look at the radar for the past several hours ( and still ongoing) for wilts/wales/oxon/berks & parts of somerset and then come back and say that today there was only one incident of a localised downpour and the Meto's warnings were unwarranted. In closing (and not directed at you specifically) some members in here need to look up what the Met Office warnings actually mean and their criteria before slagging them off in here ....Don't forget, the warning system is in place for Mr & Mrs Joe Public who dont' have access to information that we do here on NW....With reference to the warning system, the amber which is for an increased likelyhood of impacts from severe weather.....no where does it say definite and for every single location in the warning area.....to quote... " Yellow Warning: Yellow warnings can be issued for a range of weather situations. Many are issued when it is likely that the weather will cause some low level impacts, including some disruption to travel in a few places. Many people may be able to continue with their daily routine, but there will be some that will be directly impacted and so it is important to assess if you could be affected. Other yellow warnings are issued when the weather could bring much more severe impacts to the majority of people but the certainty of those impacts occurring is much lower. It is important to read the content of yellow warnings to determine which weather situation is being covered by the yellow warning. Amber Warning: There is an increased likelihood of impacts from severe weather, which could potentially disrupt your plans. This means there is the possibility of travel delays, road and rail closures, power cuts and the potential risk to life and property. You should think about changing your plans and taking action to protect yourself and your property. You may want to consider the impact of the weather on your family and your community and whether there is anything you need to do ahead of the severe weather to minimise the impact. Red Warning: Dangerous weather is expected and, if you haven’t already done so, you should take action now to keep yourself and others safe from the impact of the severe weather. It is very likely that there will be a risk to life, with substantial disruption to travel, energy supplies and possibly widespread damage to property and infrastructure. You should avoid travelling, where possible, and follow the advice of the emergency services and local authorities."

I find an ironic observation that people who don't receive severe weather in their very own back yard are the ones who complain about unwarranted met office warnings...... The met office amber warning is for parts of the west country and wales and is for the potential of excessive rain & potential flooding....I'm in the amber warning area and given the deluge we've had this afternoon and evening and surface flooding on roads, it's entirely appropriate.................Sorry, but it grinds my gears, the met office get a lot of unwarranted & unjustified criticism, they are professional forecasters and apart from the very few pro's on NW, I'd like any armchair expert on here to do better

I have to correct you a little on that bolded bit......I'm south of the M4, have distant rumbles and it's been rumbling on and off for the past 2-3 hours

I can't stop laughing about how quickly you'll alienate members on this forum with that kind of daft post

some torrential rain with a few rumbles mixed in now passing away to the WNW

it' a general lack of insolation in the relevant areas

flash and rumble!

faint rumble (I think) to my NE, somewhere near Wootton Bassett

you forgot to add, 'from a total IMBY perspective'.......I appreciate you don't think anything will spark in your locale but your inadvertant generalization will cause confusion in the thread

I disagree NC...as stated in an other post and indeed on most hi-res modelling, from roughly now onwards is the time to sky/radar watch

sferic detection just north of Brizzle

yup, agreed Ben we've gone from this... to this... in 40 mins

some sharpish showers breaking out now over parts of the west country as the elevated clag starts to break up

one thing I've learnt over the years is if you want a spectacular frontal display, always keep your eye on *ahem* 'Brest' I'm talking about the weather you pervs.....lol

Altocumulus Grimsleyanus?

lol.....love that cloud name...a cloud that can't be arsed.....I'm going to use it in conversation....." I had a few beers last night, didn't get much sleep so I feel a bit cumulus mediocris" lol

here's a shoe in prediction for ya.....looking at few posts on this page, i predict a riot

have you quoted the wrong post?......I'm a bit confused over what this has to do with my post....cheers

Yes QS, I agree.....daytime storm chanced are limited here due to detritus......for the evening/overnight?...good potential...........my feelings are that the forecasts are right in terms of what weather to expect, but the timings are wrong due to dead mcs crud, hence why I feel round 1 of surface based storms will be further north, but there is the potential for a round 2 for southern areas starting late afternoon/evening

as a guesstimate, I'd go considerably further north......southern extent a line from Cheltenham to London....northern extent north Wales to the Humber, with a sweet spot Brum to Lincolnshire,,,,,some isolated storms may fire behind the mid level detritus given enough insolation and given the energy available may be quite strong if they do occur (surrey/hants/sussex)

yay, another day of almost total cloud cover and light rain beckons....thats the last 7 days weather here.....I cannot wait for this utterly crap spell of weather to end, so depressing

intrigued isn't the word I'd use to describe it....'alarming for storm chances in the current risk area' is how I'd describe this encroaching mid-level crud

the sun's out here but plenty of mid-level coud as well......hmm...at first glance the radar is not very inspiring but I've not had chance to peruse hi-res modelling.....however, I'm concerned and with the closeness of the leading edge of that decaying MCS, I'm already inclined to shunt the main risk zone for strong SB storms a good 100 miles further north.......thick cloud cover = no insolation = no sb storms as the general rule.....we shall see

100% low cloud cover but I know Ac Cas is above the clag as my Grimometer is pinging like crazy!

just saw the latest met office forecast so I just told the missus to not be alarmed but there could be the odd flash and a few bangs later on tonight....she just laughed and said...."at your age and in your shape?.....I don't think so!"........*sigh*