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A.J

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Everything posted by A.J

  1. A.J
    I think many are suffering from 'model heatwave fatigue'..... i.e anything short of 33c is just....well.....'meh'.......28c is just so 'yesterday' my thoughts on the overnight runs and this mornings 6z GFS are that they are just variations on an overall theme....low pressure parked to the west of the UK allowing a southerly draw with inter-run model runs moving the LP eastwards/westwards like the flip of a coin.....take for example the following atlantic/euro T850/pressure charts...These are snapshots from the 00z & 06z GFS at T174 which is bordering into FI.....to my eyes it is a variation on a theme, in this instance, the model deepens the atlantic low by a few hpa and changes the orientation of it, the result being the southerly draw morphing into a SWerly flow, something that will probably change in future runs in one way or another 00z 06z
  2. A.J
    I'm getting bored with the outputs.....I mean, high 20's celcius is sooooo 'june 2018'...... and, dare I say it, day of sub 25C temps will have me reaching the the thermals, woolly hat, scarf & mits........me, spoilt by the weather?....never!
  3. A.J
    a shower here a while back.....in the clear slot on radar but storms within 30 miles to the south and west
  4. A.J
    so much for a cooler day....25C yet again!
  5. A.J
    so to summarise, the 'breakdown' has broken down....no one call the RAC please!.............I was concerned when I saw Steve Murr post earlier though and went straight to the T850 charts to see if the -20C isotherm was inbound, now that would be a breakdown....lol
  6. A.J
    how on earth can a model 'scream' anything at T200+ ??.....pop your post in the moans/ramps thread as unless reworded such as 'GFS 12z in isolation on this particular run shows a possiblility, and admittedly, only a potential, for more cyclonic conditions in deep FI which as we all know has as much chance of verifying as t**s on fish' is completely OTT............. I am exaggerating a tad, but sheesh, your post is a bit dramatic to be fair
  7. A.J
    that's good news....I've always said, get the cold in first.....and the snow will come
  8. A.J
    sweating buckets here......local weather stations are hovering around 28-29C currently and still no sight of any rain!
  9. A.J
    Some thicker mid level cloud now starting to block out the sun though still clear to the north and East.....currently 27c and humid
  10. A.J
    Hot and sunny here.....some mid level cloud to the South and West.......my interest though is on the rash of storms developing near the channel islands as there generally drifting northwards
  11. A.J
    mine's seen better days
  12. A.J
    never say never Tom, we're in with a shout tomorrow
  13. A.J
    a narrow area of mid level instability passing over now.....Ac Floccus and even a bit of Cas
  14. A.J
    my house seems to be a heat magnet and Im really struggling to sleep as the house is so warm at night.....weird, because the humidity is low?
  15. A.J
    can the mod team please vet and remove the recent spam members......cheers
  16. A.J
    yes, a lovely day so far (as indeed was yesterday)....As Knocker posted in the short term model thread yesterday, clearer air has made its way into our region and it's a welcome change for the cloud & humidity from last week!
  17. A.J
    I think he ran out of weather forums to be booted off from, unless he's masquerading as one of the new members.............Still, one can't question his passion & love of severe weather, remarkable!
  18. A.J
    yep, I can see lightning flashing away to the North/NW from down here Swindon way
  19. A.J
    looking promising soon for your area!
  20. A.J
    fogging hell, that's a lot of rain!
  21. A.J
    it must have got up and fogged off
  22. A.J
    for my location it was well justified...nuff said
  23. A.J
    quote trimmed.....look up the definition & criteria.....i.e projected weather has the potential.....the clue is in the word....that is what some members are missing.....anyhoos, I'll leave it there to save me getting bombarded with messages to 'shut the fog up, and go fog myself'..............lol
  24. A.J
    as it relates to todays convective discussion then it's relevant to this thread....you can always skip through if it's not to your taste
  25. A.J
    I swear to God, some on here think that this is the definition for a Met Office amber alert....lol
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