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chris55

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Everything posted by chris55

  1. chris55
    BBC (met) raw data not looking to bad for the higher parts of Gloucestershire, it's a. given its not everyone's cup of tea but does highlight the slight southerly adjustment and potential for those in other areas further south
  2. chris55
    Merry Christmas to all ?Hope your turkey is moist and your sprouts are crunchy latest ECM snow levels from Wednesdays low, As others have said exact track and nature of the system to be decided regarding rain/snow. But nice to have the risk of at least some seeing falling snow over the xmas week .
  3. chris55
    Just having a flick through the xmas eve models, and although they can be a little overplayed these ECM snow charts from the 00z run certainly highlight the risk of snow into Wednesday morning and again into Friday, Weds 6am from the initial slider Then we get another system coming into the colder air on Friday Friday 9am
  4. chris55
    Well slidergate part two is something to keep an eye on over the coming days, a little bit of interest to keep us coldies engaged over the xmas period. Probably slighty more marginal than slidergate part one but snow is a possibility. ECM 72-96 shows the track with the litttle wedge just ahead of the incoming and developing trough. A complex set up. Hopefully enough cold air can draw down from the north, courtesy of the shallow Greenland high, and we can avoid to much milder air being mixed in as the trough develops. 72 96
  5. chris55
    I do like a good wedge With quite a strong trend today to dig the jet notabley south I think some small surface highs behind passing lows could well be our best chance at getting some snow from the following system. One to watch for sure.
  6. chris55
    Yes, Wetterzentrel image rendering was a little deceptive on that 144 chart making the Greenland high look a little more robust than it was. However still a definite trend for that Alaskan ridge to migrate and hopefully disrupt the Atlantic enough to allow for some cold to spill down from the north.
  7. chris55
    ECM raising some eyebrows this morning, genuine Greenland high in the making. With the Alaskan ridge ridge migrating and splitting the PV!
  8. chris55
    Since when did you start consistently talking in riddles with lots of full stops...... I can't grasp your posts. Plain English is actually quite effective lol
  9. chris55
    ECM quite different from GFS at 168. GFS overlooking the depth of the troughs perhaps. ECM GFS
  10. chris55
    Hmmmmm, ECM looking interesting at 168 a more blocked pattern potentially developing?
  11. chris55
    Looks like a real change, we'll certainly feel it!! Variety is the spice of life eh, as long as it doesn't last all winter I'm quite looking forward to the mild week.
  12. chris55
    ECM 192 "I feel a disturbance in the force Luke" ECM perhaps sniffing a pattern change, the Atlantic conveyor wobbles.
  13. chris55
    Very cold GFS 00z operational in the mid term, U.K. sitting under a cold high Christmas Day with an easterly influence. Would be very seasonal. Though a big outlier on the ensembles, GFS keeps doing this, with the op out of kilter.
  14. chris55
    8 or so members take a nose dive just into xmas week, perhaps this will be the next trend to watch after we enter the milder spell next week.
  15. chris55
    P 10 GEFS delivers a Christmas treat, after the milder spell next week it will be interesting to see where the models end up regarding xmas and beyond with the positive background signals.
  16. chris55
    Car roof envy... I love it lol. And its very apparent around here. Stroud is surrounded by hills, with the town nestling in the convergence of the five valleys. That often means (as this event has shown) when town has a dusting the surrounding hills get a pasting ( a slushy inch in town Sunday - 6 inch pasting on the hills) and the car roofs in Tesco car park are hilarious. Some piled up some not so much. I was kind of in the middle. Quite incredible how elevation can effect snowfall in marginal events. One day we will see an event that's not marginal and everyone can join in the fun. Got a feeling we may not have to long to wait
  17. chris55
    -9 on the car this morning in the bottom of the valley, couldn't get the bloody car door open lol, had to go get a warm watering can of water. currently -1
  18. chris55
    Low cloud descended here, halted the temp drop.
  19. chris55
    Haven't checked the models for a few days but flicked through the GFS 12z and thought, oh cold weather may well hang on. Just checked ensembles and can see it's a clear outlier in the mid term. Is the op onto something or just simply out on its own. A milder week next week would suit me personally work wise but I get a sneaky feeling the cold is not finished with us yet.
  20. chris55
    I've just gone out to cover up my 'greek' plant, had it years and supposedly it's not hardy. It's done ok for the last 4 years but tonight I thought I bettter give it a helping hand, -14 is a very rare occurrence. stroud even got a showing on the BBC 6 o'clock news tonight :0 though to be fair if your below about 100meters there is not much laying, it's the hills that have caught the big falls, and that's where the temps are liable to drop to the -14c. today at 150m
  21. chris55
    My BBC app just made me lol looks angry..... ha bloody bloody cold anyway.
  22. chris55
    Suns come out now, stunning:)
  23. chris55
    Pretty grim here this morning, snows still in place, but it's the bleak type, bit drab and half melted, not exactly a winter wonderland.
  24. chris55
    In for a very cold night tomorrow brrrrrr.
  25. chris55
    I had to go through a small bit of woodland today when i took the dog out, i did do rather a brisk walk at that stage ! Real danger of falling branches with all this heavy wet snow. Also Woodchester mansion is beautiful, kind of like a secret valley, often catches the snowfall quite badly.
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