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chris55

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Everything posted by chris55

  1. chris55
    Yea same here, settling on grass cars bushes etc but struggling on paths and roads. will make for a very icey start tomorrow early on if the sky's clear as forecast.
  2. chris55
    No Elly lol x missed it, proper snow in Stroud and Cheltenham by the looks of it :):):) also locations don't show up on mobile, got you down as a local now
  3. chris55
    Chucking it down now :0
  4. chris55
    That met image just got me off the sofa lol, and yep, moderate snowfall in the garden edit and thats the forecats one as mapanz pointed out, pretty good lol
  5. chris55
    Yea nice isn't it. Also anyone catch the new BBC graphics on points west with Ian? First impressions were pretty dam good I remember when the picture graphics got replaced back in 2006/7 and the hatred that ensued, but at first glance this next step looked alright. Ian said it's like having a new toy, and that there's plenty of scope for more individual forecasts etc, he even went with the 'snow radar' instead of rainfall.
  6. chris55
    I just discovered the new met office app for IOS and the Radar is pretty sweet IMO, always used the desktop radar which was very clunky on smartphones. Doesnt show snow/rain differences but very smooth and gives last 6 hours in a lovely format. check it out.
  7. chris55
    Left for work at 7am this morning, cold with a sprinkle of snow on the car, got to Eastington 5 miles west and an inch of gruapal/soft hail/snow covering everything ( very unusual to have the white stuff that way and not in Stroud) a random heavy shower was the reason and was no doubt the cause of the motorway accident that caused absolute traffic chaos this morning (luckily none seriously injured, 6 cars involved) flurries on and off all day. Now back home and seeing some slightly heavier flurries, a light sprinkling settling. With a hard frost later should make for a lovely early morning. Overall a really wintry day.
  8. chris55
    From a laymans perspective this upcoming warming looks very well placed to deliver some colder easterly conditions to the UK if the trip follows suit. And that second warning says ' Canadian PV....your time is done ....see you next winter" interesting times, and the first official SSW for years
  9. chris55
    WOW what a chart!! Heavy slow moving snowfall for many!!! There would be quite a complex series of fronts over us I would think.
  10. chris55
    ECM looking much better than GFS on the 00z ops 144, Azore high nicely displaced way out to the west, a much less progressive Atlantic and a nice 'heavy' cold pool out east. The UK very cold, snow showers about and potential for the incoming front to edge in. Lovely
  11. chris55
    Classic beast from the east, this run is probably the coldest we have seen for years within the 96-168 period.
  12. chris55
    EC 144 Great chart, coldest uppers of the winter from a very cold east.
  13. chris55
    Cold ECM this morning!! Brrrrrr.
  14. chris55
    Can't believe the mods haven't deleted all the * I have just had to scroll through!! Sifting through rubbish, EC really gaining momentum on a much colder outlook, with a cold continental feed seeing a cold PM Atlantic bumping up against - with the mild sectors squeezed to little more than whiff over Ireland. The Atlantic has thrown more cold systems from the northwest this winter (with the two midlands snow events in December) than I can remember in recent years, and this time they are hitting a cold block to the east, could well be some notable snowfalls if it verifies.
  15. chris55
    Wedge being squeezed at 144, but vertical WAA could well build the high, though it may be to Far East?
  16. chris55
    UKMO has been leading the way over the last few days with tonight's ECM following, of course we need verification for any model to be correct, but as of tonight UKMO looks to have called things regarding Scandi 'wedges'. Can we build a proper high from this point, quite possibly!
  17. chris55
    Looking at UKMO on Wetter I'd say it has some potential to build the ridge over Scandi. Im an old school boy and can read the way the charts are rendered on wetter much better then Metiociel. To me UKMO 144 looks pretty good. look at the vertical advection north of Iceland, should build the ridge. (Haven't seen the 168 mind)
  18. chris55
    Not very scientific I know, but after many years of model watching I always take note when the ECM Deblit ensemble mean begins to hover around 0c. More often than not this is a precursor to a colder spell for the U.K. This, along with GFS ens and the tweets from Ian regarding GLOSEA it looks a strong possibility of things setting up for a colder period into February.
  19. chris55
    Sleet at 100m but I can see some white up at 150m. Basically wet and cold.
  20. chris55
    Certainly a growing trend (on the GFS op at least) for a large and substantial area of high pressure to build in our vacinity as we move into the mid term (beyond day 7). A settled and potentially foggy period could be on the cards, would make a nice change for those working outside! Then once the high builds we have plenty of interest in where it may end up with any potential retrogression .
  21. chris55
    Evening Bellanite yep, quite an impressive little shower there, all snow as well. Nice little dusting to all surfaces. Wasn't sure if any of the showers would make it to our neck of the woods so chuffed lol. Should make for a pretty dawn.
  22. chris55
    Big shower over south Wales now, hopefully heading towards Gloucestershire!
  23. chris55
    Moving beyond the uncertain track of Thursdays low, the potential slider into the weekend has been there for the past few runs on GFS. I had my eye on it yesterday though it looked as though milder air would follow directly behind, negating any interest in snowfall that may have temporarily fallen. However with the uncertainty highlighted by many on here, and Ian Fergusans tweet (regarding where we will end up beyond this weekend) this slider may well prove to be more interesting than it initially looked. If we can get the wedge of heights that initiates the trough disruption/slide to build and turn into a more substati block we could be in business. one to watch!
  24. chris55
    GFS ensemble highlight the marked change in the mid term with a much milder/less cold outlook. Thursdays storm intensifies and interacts with the trough subsequently driving it north east instead of continuing to dig down south east into Europe hence the lack of convincing blocking into the weekend.
  25. chris55
    The runner runs.... this feature will be one to watch re potential snowfall. Way to far out for detailed analysis though.
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