chris55

With the forecast Synoptics some spring snowfall looks a real possibility for many lowland areas of the UK. We do need to distinguish between deep winter cold and deep spring cold though, and with the seasons changing and the sun strengthening expectations need to be representative of the season. For me personally the joy of snow is in the waiting, the watching and then the sledging.....(but more realistically the early morning walk with the dog on the fresh snow) Once that's done I'm happy and at this time of year, even with sensational Synoptics, the season will dictate a less extreme, but still fantastic spell. heres hoping we get to test out the prognosis:)

192, winds go northerly with a large Atlantic ridge in place. A very cold run.

EC 168, nice retrogression.

Plenty of snow for the U.K. at 144!

EC 120!! great angle of attack!! Main thrust of cold much further north.

We look to be firming up on the initial interaction between the disrupting Atlantic system, WAA and the developing Scandi high. Day 4 from both UKMO and ECM show this. How things progress from this point will no doubt change in the coming runs, but one things for sure and that is we are certainly in the hunt for another marked cold spell, even though it is mid March!

168, main thrust of instability/cold to the south, but with some very cold air engulfing the UK

High being squeezed from the north and south, cold air heading west! Thats some mega cold pool for March!!

Yes Steve ECM looking loaded at t96, very similar to UKMO at the same time period, will be interesting to see where it ends up. 120 and the high is well positioned!

UKMO 144 poised to bring in some remarkably cold air for the time of year . Quite a chart really!

Something's brewing... With the record breaking SSW we have recently seen and subsequent shifting of the Strat profile and lack of westerly winds up high, plus further down welling of patterns, it doesn't surprise me that the models are toying with the idea of another shot of proper cold air as we head through March. The probability of another true beast is quite low simply going on historic probabilities, however some more widespread snowfall is certainly a possibility ️ Will be viewing the coming days runs with renewed wintry interest

I'm liking the UKMO at 144, the flow gets forced under the developing wedge of high pressure to the north pushing through into Scandi. In turn, with a stronger signal beyond this stage for an Atlantic/Greenland ridge and sceuro trough (going on info posted in here regarding the spreads etc) we could well drag in some very cold air. It seems the eventual pattern will be with some kind of Atlantic ridge it's just how we get there that could potentially inlvove another beast of sorts. but as I said UKMO 144 looking quite good if you read the potential developments from here I know we are not seeing any WAA to inflate the high at our longitude, like the ICON shows, but in a way this could well help in the longer term with the WAA well to the west.....we shall see eh.

The mini beast looks good mini'ish but still beastly :0

Arrival ....

168 #beastpart2 incoming

Yes yes.... a bit slow lol, but bloody hell! 144.....? Edit ??????

Not sure of the model lol, but some much needed vertical WAA there ! Edit... ECM on one lol

Something's brewing.... with tonight's UKMO continuing from the 00z and the Icon looking seriously poised at 180 a slimmed down (but still potent) repeat of the beast is not out of the question. Icon 180 UKMO 144

UKMO 144 once again highlighting the chance of a pressure rise to the north with a very cold pool associated. Atlantic ridge, disrupting trough to the far west, southerly jet and a cheeky Artic high nosing in to the north east. one to watch

Even though it's March, and even though we just experienced one of the coldest, snowiest periods of recent years thanks to a proper easterly flow. I can't help but look for the last chance saloon when it comes to winter weather. We are still in March and after the record breaking SSW, colder more blocked conditions are surely more favourable than milder springlike ones, whether we like it or not! UKMO did catch my eye this evening when checking the runs, coupled with the ECM from yesterday, and the general background signal, it would not surprise me if we did end up seeing one last hurrah from winter 17/18 which overall has been pretty darned good. It will be interesting to look back on March as a whole when it's done and see if that record SSW had the legs to deliver more than the initial beast....

One last beast before spring..... well why not give it a go eh

Was snowing again lol, after today's thaw was not expecting it. Stopped now.

Welcome to Siberia, that's what it feels like out there! strong wind, grey skies, deep snow, drifting snow. Quite amazing really :0 going to attempt to dig out my car and head of to work at 730. Should be fun wouldnt be surprised to see even more snow for a time today reading reports and looking at the radar.

And still caning down with snow amazaballs

Still snowing in Stroud :0 Going on for another 7 hours of snow today, hard to measure but at least another 10cm added to yesterday's snowfall. quite amazing!