Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

mulzy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,067

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mulzy

  1. mulzy
    ECM rock solid out to day 6. -10 850s widely over the UK by then!
  2. mulzy
    Block as depicted by the eps mean just about holding on from days 6-9. Lower heights to the west encroaching - there will be some milder runs at this stage. Clusters will reveal more later.
  3. mulzy
    Early doors on the eps - pretty good support for the operational. In fact many runs will be colder. London 850s at day 6: Mean =-5.5C, Control=-8C.
  4. mulzy
    Hang on, ECM actually not too bad at day 4... Compare with GFS
  5. mulzy
    Indeed it is. I am now looking at the long range CFS December 2018 charts (does it go out that far?). Maybe, just maybe we might have a little lying snow then!
  6. mulzy
    UKMO is poor compared to its 0z run BUT it's still better than the GFS. However, a very disappointing start to the evening runs in my opinion
  7. mulzy
    For a faster evolution to cold, try the GEM!
  8. mulzy
    The interesting bit is east of the UK (what we can't see). I think this is not bad chart at all with the trigger low possibly in play just to the east.
  9. mulzy
    Chillax folks - the EPS is looking very good out to days 7/8/9 (better than this morning's set).
  10. mulzy
    If we have snow on the ground, that will knock a degree or so off these temperatures. Whatever, we are still looking at quite a notable wintry period.
  11. mulzy
    Even then the GFS will probably flip to mild!
  12. mulzy
    JFF, but the eps control run is crazy from days 12 to 15 (-12/-13C 850s widely across the UK).
  13. mulzy
    ECM is still flat-ish. Dear oh dear, the drama!
  14. mulzy
    GEM singing from the NW Coldies hymnbook!
  15. mulzy
    Sure - day 15 not too shabby though!
  16. mulzy
    GEFS much more amplified at T+162 (12z vs 6z).
  17. mulzy
    Indeed Nick. We can not dismiss the ECM like some members are doing - that’s pure denial. We probably need to wait for the rest of the ECM suite but a number of ECM / EPS runs are saying no to a quick tropospheric response.
  18. mulzy
    Disappointing medium range charts this morning. ECM Det continues with it's flatter evolution which has support from its ensemble suite. It's fair to say this could be a slow burner... EPS Day 10 mean GEFS Day 10 Mean GEPS Day 10 Mean
  19. mulzy
    Days 11-13 shows the lower heights to the west having more of an influence but we do get a decent set up with very strong heights directly to our north by day 15.
  20. mulzy
    Disappointing ECM suite this morning. The eps mean at day 7 doesn't show much Atlantic ridging while the day 10 mean still shows the Canadian segment of the vortex still having an influence. Maybe the Atlantic height rise horse has bolted in the day 7-9 range? Tonight will reveal more...
  21. mulzy
    I don't think it will be 'super cold' but hopefully trending in the right direction. Control looks decent.
  22. mulzy
    Extended eps stays on track; higher than normal heights to the north, lower than normal heights to the south. Slight change of emphasis in that towards the later end (days 14-15), the focus of the higher heights is moving west towards eastern Greenland.
  23. mulzy
    Very zonal 12z ECM, though the PV does relent at the end of the run. Where it would go from there, no-one can say but no eye candy within the 10 day range for sure.
  24. mulzy
    Temperatures on the rise here with the arrival of some stratus type layer. 2.3C
  25. mulzy
    The fact that people are planning to stay up all night shows how desperate times are. 2.1C here now.
×
×
  • Create New...